kalkin

8 ms·

91.
by kalkin 9mo ago
This is interesting partly because Alex Karp (at least used to) occasionally claim to be a socialist when it was inconvenient or uncool to be defined as a standard issue rightwinger. Never thought that meant much myself - any more than it&#
92.
by kalkin 10mo ago
More the former. Re the latter, it's not so much that I'm annoyed he doesn't agree with the AI2027 people, it's that (he spends a few paragraphs talking about them while) he doesn't appear to have bothered trying to
93.
by kalkin 10mo ago
I have nonspecific positive associations with Dan Wang's name, so I rolled my eyes a bit but kept going when "If the Bay Area once had an impish side, it has gone the way of most hardware tinkerers and hippie communes" was fo
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by kalkin 10mo ago
How do you imagine existing benchmarks were created?
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by kalkin 10mo ago
If you can't define intelligence in a way that distinguishes AIs from people (and doesn't just bake that conclusion baldly into the definition), consider whether your insistence that only one is REAL is a conclusion from reasoning
96.
by kalkin 10mo ago
Charitably I'm guessing it's supposed to be an allusion to the chart with cost per word? Which is measuring an input cost not an output value, so the criticism still doesn't quite make sense, but it's the best I can do..
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by kalkin 10mo ago
Did they turn out to be right? Maybe, I'm not familiar with the research here, but no evidence for that has actually been posted. This study being untrustworthy doesn't make it prove its opposite instead.
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by kalkin 11mo ago
Scale AI wrote a paper a year ago comparing various models performance on benchmarks to performance on similar but held-out questions. Generally the closed source models performed better, and Mistral came out looking pretty badly: https:&#
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by kalkin 11mo ago
Yes, this is by no means only a U.S. problem. Some countries are worse, even where birth rate trends seem like they should make it more obviously self-destructive. A tendency towards xenophobia seems to be an unfortunate human universal, al
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by kalkin 11mo ago
In many circumstances - including when that person is married to a US citizen, or when they'll likely be killed on return to their country of birth - it is indeed crazy and cruel. (In more ordinary circumstances it's merely arbitr
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by kalkin 11mo ago
I appreciate that this comment is much less prescriptive. I don't think I disagree with you about any general best practices here (although I do think unwrap can be fine when you can locally verify the error or nil case is unreachable
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by kalkin 11mo ago
Unless you work at Cloudflare it seems very unlikely that you have enough information about systems and tradeoffs there to make these flat assertions about what "should have" happened. Systems can do worse things than crashing in
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by kalkin 11mo ago
Ah cool that site's robots.txt is still broken, just like it was when it first came up on HN...
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by kalkin 11mo ago
That's not Pascal's Wager unless they're saying AGI has infinitesimal probability but infinite payoff, or something like that. If they think AGI is likely, they may be wrong but it's just technological optimism.
105.
by kalkin 11mo ago
Seems like a philosophy question, with maybe some input from neuroscience and ML interpretability. I'm not sure what faith in science fiction has to do with it.
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by kalkin 11mo ago
What is the definition of Pascal's Wager in your mind?
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by kalkin 11mo ago
Conflating consciousness and intelligence is going to hopelessly confuse any attempt to understand if or when a machine might achieve either. (I think there's no reasonable definition of intelligence under which LLMs don't possess
108.
by kalkin 11mo ago
Right. Nobody makes a Pascal's wager-style argument in _favor_ of investing in AGI. People have sometimes made one against building AGI, on existential risk grounds. The OP author is about as confused on this as the water usage point..
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by kalkin 11mo ago
Where do those numbers come from?
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by kalkin 1y ago
I don't think this robots.txt is valid: User-agent: Googlebot PetalBot Bingbot YandexBot Kagibot Disallow: /bomb/\* Disallow: /bomb Disallow: /babble/\* Sitemap: https://maurycyz.com&#x2F
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by kalkin 1y ago
The weirdest thing about the zero-sum rhetoric to me is: when one person is demanding to benefit at the expense of someone else, if I'm neither of them, why am I supposed to care? Suppose I'm not an American--like plenty of HN com
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by kalkin 1y ago
> Immigration helps the countries top-line metrics, but it rarely helps the citizens inside the country. What study does one "have to do" to support _this_ claim?
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by kalkin 1y ago
I'm not quickly finding whether Kyle Fish, who's Anthropic's model welfare researcher, has a PhD, but he did very recently co-author a paper with David Chalmers and several other academics: https://eleosai.org&#x2F
114.
by kalkin 1y ago
The second article is marginally more on point - 24% fewer crashes for vehicles with lane keeping assist (so my guess at the meaning of the 23% stat may have been wrong). But the 95pct confidence interval is 2-42% and the study acknowledges
115.
by kalkin 1y ago
What the first article actually says: "Lane departure warning and prevention systems could address as many as 23% of fatal crashes involving passenger vehicles." That appears to be something like a stat about how many fatal crashe
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by kalkin 1y ago
> I find it difficult to imagine this Luckily, this is something that can be studied and has been. Sticking a stereotypically Black name on a resume on average substantially decreases the likelihood that the applicant will get past a res
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by kalkin 1y ago
Evidence?
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by kalkin 1y ago
The Homeland Security Secretary today described LA as a "city of criminals". It's hard to see how it could be anything but willful ignorance or self-delusion at this point to think that the Trump administration's intenti
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by kalkin 1y ago
Have any federal buildings been attacked?
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by kalkin 1y ago
I'm confused-do you support peaceful protest, or do you think that protests always descend into anarchy and require assault rifles to be brought out to kill some people? What if police attack a peaceful protest--say trampling a lone pe

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