johnwheeler

8 ms·

91.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
It's that whole "this time it's different" argument I guess. This time it really does feel different is my worry.
92.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
Nor is it an impossibility. If the AI stays like it is right now, I think we're fine. In fact I would probably opt for that. I don't know what I would do.
93.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
I'm not trying to be snarky at all but maybe you're less experienced at prompting than me or you just have to work on some really gnarly code. Is that a possibility? Because yours is the argument that I can't say for myself.
94.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
When I started there used to be database analysts and server administrators. There still are but they're in far fewer supply because developers have mostly taken on those roles. And I think you're right. Cross-function is super im
95.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
This is a really weak argument.
96.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
Right, the only problem I have with this argument is that past performance is no indicator of future results.
97.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
right, I think in the near term, the worry isn't about replacing people wholesale but just replacing most or more people and causing serious economic disruption. In the limit, you would have a CEO who commands the AI to do everything,
98.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
it's not about people disagreeing with my assessment. It's that people keep saying, "I'm not afraid of AI because it makes mistakes." That's the main argument I've heard. I don't know if those people
99.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
I guess the main thing people aren't taking into account from what I see is that the models are substantially improving. Claude Opus 4.5 is markedly better than Claude Sonnet 3.7. If the jump to version 5 represents such a leap, I see
100.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
Thank you for your response. This is exactly the type of commentary I'm talking about. The key phrase is "at the moment." It's not that developers will be replaced, but there will be far less need for developers, is what
101.
Ask HN: Are you afraid of AI making you unemployable within the next few years?
15 points by johnwheeler 10mo ago|52 comments
102.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
Employed. My contention is the AI is getting so good at doing tech related things that you'll need far fewer employees. I think Claude Code 4.5 is already there. Honestly, it just needs to permeate the market.
103.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
To each their own. I can definitely understand that sentiment, although I'm 46 years old, and I've turned more conservative over the last few years, I still really like Obama. I also like Trump, though. It's kind of weird. Do
104.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
Yes, I agree with this sentiment. A little better or a little worse, hopefully not too bad. But I think the same feeling of dread will persist, especially going into 2027, particularly around artificial intelligence for tech workers. My con
105.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
Tech folk. Anyone really.
106.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
It's like Penn and Teller say: "Everyone thinks the world is getting worse, but it's always getting better." I hope you're right. Maybe it's just my age creeping up on me and turning me into a cynic. Anyway, go
107.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
I can't imagine a public execution; that seems insane. I know the world is crazy right now, but I don't know about this.
108.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
Donald Trump because he made a bet is my guess.
109.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
Who in the hell would trust someone like Sam Altman with this? Idea poacher. That's what they should call the program.
110.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
To me, this is wishful thinking. The more I see these "our jobs are safe" claims, the more I fear our jobs are not safe, and people are just trying to convince themselves which is an indicator of turmoil ahead.
111.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
- Tech layoffs grow 100% YoY - Multiple interest rate cuts instead of 1 - News about prosecutions for insider trading on Polymarket. - Bitcoin will touch a multi-year low. MSTR becomes insolvent. - Google Gemini will overtake ChatGPT in DAU
112.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
My mom died of cancer and had to suffer through chemo. It was in the early 2000s, so I'm curious to know if you know anything about these new chemos and what makes them different.
113.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
I have never once seen a promising cancer treatment I've heard of on the news help people. You hear about the breakthrough treatments all the time, but when people get cancer, all you ever hear about is people getting chemotherapy and
114.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
It's kind of annoying when someone shows what they're working on, and the first comment is always, "Oh yeah, here's some alternatives." It feels like less like you're trying to be helpful and more like you&#x27
115.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
These opinions are not helpful.
116.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
Sounds like my bookshelf
117.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
…proceeds to replace junior devs with AI
118.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
I think China generally pirates all of our software in the U.S.
119.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
Someone needs to explain vendor lock-in to them.
120.
by johnwheeler 10mo ago
Is this your cheeky and coy way of saying that objectivity is not possible? What's really the difference between impartiality and objectivity in this context? Sounds like you're just being a wordsmith.

More ›