jncfhnb

26 ms·

541.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
With a relatively small variant to make it gradient boosted trees it’s pretty much as good as it gets for tabular data these days
542.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
We’ve faced more headwinds… and experienced vast worse economic conditions too. The current situation is one of uncertainty that things may get worse. It’s not even a recession.
543.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
I thought for sure it was war in Europe, bubbles burst in Chinese real estate, and a general fracturing in the west vs the rest globalization but ok
544.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
McKinsey is not a part of the Big 4. The Big 4 refers to the big four auditing firms.
545.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
I don’t do that kind of thing but for what it’s worth The value of coming in and listening to what smart people are saying and then telling the C Suite to actually do it is hugely valuable when the organization is otherwise paralyzed by bur
546.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
I mean we’re not allowed to say anything either way
547.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
I’m pretty sure my average multiple is 6x
548.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
McKinsey isn’t in the auditing business at all. And those that do play both went the other way, transitioning from auditing into consulting. There’s a ton of competition in consulting in general.
549.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
Current McKinsey here. I don’t think anyone expects the current difficulties to last indefinitely. Its fairly well established that consulting struggles during times of economic uncertainty (but does fine when things are outright bad or go
550.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
That’s just stupid. Even at its most evil, a policy optimized for cold economic efficiency with no ethics would have more resources for children because children are a valuable investment.
551.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
He was also a mentally ill drug addict by the sound of it. People are so quick to defensively yell “just because this guy is an unemployed (homeless?) mentally ill drug addict with chronic health conditions doesn’t mean he should be killed”
552.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
Getting killed by animals is an idiotically painful way to die
553.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
Because it’s a difficult, unsolved problem and there’s no evidence that they are making progress on it.
554.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
That claim is pointless. People are not going to purchase a dedicated clothes folding robot. The point of a humanoid robot is general problem solving. That is the whole value prop. Obviously you can design better forms for specific tasks, b
555.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
The human world is generally designed for the human form. You don’t need four arms to do most tasks, but you often need two. You often need fingers to manipulate objects in specific ways. You can’t realistically fly while safely doing munda
556.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
> Wage Effects: AI's productivity benefits may not substantially raise wages, particularly for low-skill workers. Yeah no shit. It’s going to spike them down hard.
557.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
Could hit double digits next time
558.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
Nobody wants mechanical arms attached to their sink and every other object that may require work. Mind you they may not want an android in their home either. Laundry and washing dishes is not just “putting things in a spot”. Perhaps you don
559.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
It’s not obvious that they have any chance of delivering an autonomous robot
560.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
If you’re talking about industrial tasks then you want efficiency and precision. If you’re talking about mundane variety of tasks then you want generalizeability. Having a robot bake A cake and then wash the dishes. Not sensical to build a
561.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
A human has to be paid for being present. A robot can be remotely activated as needed. If you need 5 minutes of labor somewhere over an 8 hour period, you can pay for 5 minutes if labor by having a person that jumps between bots.
562.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
Reads like the opinion of a guy whose wife does all the laundry
563.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
That is because humanoid robots are general purpose forms, rather than purpose built forms. Factory robotics is mostly just conveyor belts and pusher whatevers. Not even something resembling a droid of any kind.
564.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
A human form factor is not required or optimized for any specific task, but it does generalize which is potentially very useful.
565.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
A house keeper? No. Imo the use case is for jobs that are easy, necessary, and low utilization where you mostly pay people to be present and available but not actually doing anything. The value here is the ability to scale up and down quick
566.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
Remotely controlled humanoid robots are pretty cool though, aren’t they? Like, potentially hugely valuable?
567.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
There’s a few dynamics at different scales. Worse conditions are associated with subsistence farming and manual labor where children are more immediately valuable. Child care tends to be easier in more rural communities. Birth control acces
568.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
Housing prices are an economic condition…
569.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
No, just guessing what you and frankly 80%+ of the community wants
570.
by jncfhnb 2y ago
That’s great. But your situation doesn’t scale to everyone’s and you’re still below replacement rate (slightly above 2).

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