jldugger

35 ms·

571.
by jldugger 3y ago
In what sense was the Evergrande situation caused by geopolitics? I was under the impression causes and effects were wholly domestic.
572.
by jldugger 3y ago
Well, status.slack.com says they're currently having an outage, that has been ongoing for multiple days.
573.
by jldugger 3y ago
Maybe, but the cost accounting is already a nightmare.
574.
by jldugger 3y ago
>edit: Hmm or maybe not? I still sometimes confuse aws terminology. Perhaps it is all in us-east—1, just in different availability zones (buildings?) Correct, us-east-1 has several AZs, names like us-east-1a, us-east-1b etc. IIRC us-east
575.
by jldugger 3y ago
Indeed, this is the main problem I run into. We have to scale up capacity before the traffic can be redirected or you basically double the scope of the outage briefly. Which involves multiple layers of capacity bringup -- ASG brings up new
576.
by jldugger 3y ago
> other people with similar issues who stumble upon your thread might not realize that you have that additional context, and the answer is just as much for them as it is for you IMO, this is what books are for: advice for some form of la
577.
by jldugger 3y ago
Okay, but I've been in plenty of conversations where I ask "I read in a book that we should be doing X, how are people doing X?"[1], and the answers I got, _from a community that included the book author_, were "first, m
578.
by jldugger 3y ago
This is twisting my brain a bit -- there's a third possible version, where the only info you have is the day of week. Something like "i have a child, one of whom was born on tuesday. what are the odds the other is a boy?" per
579.
by jldugger 3y ago
> on the other hand the second problem is you saying: "all parents with a b born on tuesday, report to be examined!". note that most of the parents that were in the question 1 selected population are now excluded. try to imagin
580.
by jldugger 3y ago
> When reporting on a local restaurant they, allegedly broke into the social media and other accounts of the owner. I don't remember that allegation, can you share a link?
581.
by jldugger 3y ago
> I tell you I have two children, and (at least) one of them is a boy born on a Tuesday. What probability should you assign to the event that I have two boys? > My initial reaction was that the information about the Tuesday was irrele
582.
by jldugger 3y ago
This article isn't about the birthday paradox though.
583.
by jldugger 3y ago
> many people have about problems such as this, which are about what is known as epistemic probability Funnily enough, I'm currently reading _Against the Gods_ (1996) and the chapter I'm on covers exactly this distinction. What
584.
by jldugger 3y ago
Only in the sense that the problem with pyramid schemes is that people stop buying in.
585.
by jldugger 3y ago
I think the point is you can probably ignore everyone who isn't giving a Nobel acceptance speech.
586.
by jldugger 3y ago
> lol I don’t know where you got this impression but during the one-child policy phase it’s widely known that people would underreport their kids to avoid fines. The news mostly. But also this guy[1], who I guess is using the leaked data
587.
by jldugger 3y ago
> I'm guessing that you don't actually dive into each paper to 100% understand it Depends on the paper's content but there's often sections that you don't need to 100% understand to get value. For example, in sur
588.
by jldugger 3y ago
I feel like you're giving advice on how to become a PhD student, and frankly, that's not the point of the question, and if it is: any grad student who can't read papers should ask their advisor for advice. So I take OP's
589.
by jldugger 3y ago
From there, just keep a reading queue. If you notice a particular journal is a good source of material, consider subscribing to it.
590.
by jldugger 3y ago
For just getting started I recommend collections: 1. Ideas That Created The Future[1]. It's a collection of fiftyish classic CS papers, with some commentary. 2. Wikipedia's list[2]. 3. Test of Time awards[3]. These are papers that
591.
by jldugger 3y ago
> Isn't the population of China much bigger as well? Yes, but official government stats have also been overstating the population a bit. I think it mostly affects the younger generation at present though.
592.
by jldugger 3y ago
I could swear one of his research projects involved asking people to make a mug and pricing it out after they finished. But I guess it was Kahneman that researched mugs? Whoops
593.
by jldugger 3y ago
> Note: By theory I merely mean the rationale for investigating the effect of x on y. A theory can be as simple as “I think people value a mug more once they own it”. Hoo boy, the [2019] is well deserved on this one -- that's a dan
594.
by jldugger 3y ago
> You know for a fact China's going to JUMP on this, figure out if it works or not, and iterate. Doesn't China also have a huge incentive problem in research? I've seen plenty of stories about low impact journals feeding t
595.
by jldugger 3y ago
> No research job lets you spend 6 months redoing stuff just to make sure it’s 100%. These jobs do exist[1], and we as a society need to figure out how to stop organizing research around a single manager (professor) with zero meaningful
596.
by jldugger 3y ago
Going by Blind comments, they are enthusiastically cheering the demise of California. For every "lived in texas, found a company" commenter there's like ten "relocated my job to a more sufficiently republican locale&quot
597.
by jldugger 3y ago
I've worked in unclassified roles (not faculty). Academia likes to talk a good game about freedom but their annual appointments make it clear the money you get is at the governor's discretion. It's probably a mistake to exerc
598.
by jldugger 3y ago
>If anyone is interested in doing stock picking, at least seriously, I would recommend that they first read A Random Walk Down Wall Street tl;dr: Don't. And if you do, don't tell anyone about it or it will go away.
599.
by jldugger 3y ago
They're not randomly placed but I have no idea how one would do that. Or why -- you have a pen tool and bezier curves.
600.
by jldugger 3y ago
Most of them seem fine but that first one is pure "chip away at everything that doesn't look like David."[1] [1]: https://quoteinvestigator.com/2014/06/22/chip-away/

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