jjk166

17 ms·

391.
by jjk166 9mo ago
> Yes the UN provides yearly estimates, but it looks like this was a separate, one-off research project Yeah, a one off research project that used different methods from every year before or since got totally different results. That was
392.
by jjk166 9mo ago
> It's an article, not a 20 page research analysis. It provides detail aappropriate to its scope. And if it merely cited the 20 page research analysis someone else did, that would be fine, but it doesn't. The article also is ra
393.
by jjk166 9mo ago
The only one of those that is an example is Nigeria. All the others are just listed as examples of countries that have not conducted a census in an extremely long time. While that's a good reason to think the numbers are probably inacc
394.
by jjk166 9mo ago
The article argues, but does not provide evidence. It specifically says the UN used surveys immediately after saying surveys don't work here. There's no validation that estimates from satellite imagery are better than the methods
395.
by jjk166 9mo ago
How can any estimate, even a very poor estimate, be not genuine if there isn't a known better estimate? If I estimate there are 8 alien civilizations in the milky way it may be a truly terrible estimate, and the methods by which I came
396.
by jjk166 9mo ago
> That is literally what the article describes, though, in Papua New Guinea. No it doesn't. It says the UN came up with a different estimate, which the UN wound up not adopting. There is no evidence that the UN estimate actually use
397.
by jjk166 9mo ago
> The math isn't mathing. How do you have explosive population growth when birth control is brutally enforced? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_momentum
398.
by jjk166 9mo ago
Fake is generally the wrong word. Inaccurate would be much more appropriate. Every population estimate is just that. There is going to be error. The error may be small or large, and it may be biased in one direction or another, but there is
399.
by jjk166 9mo ago
> Both warm-blooded dinosaurs and the Chicxulub impact were both theories dismissed as fringe for decades before overwhelming evidence led to them being accepted as likely. In no small way thanks to Jurassic Park. The main rejection of t
400.
by jjk166 9mo ago
The US imports about 30% of its lumber. Canada is the largest source of imported lumber, but it's still less than a quarter of all lumber consumed in the US. Surprisingly, the limit on US production is not trees but sawmill capacity. S
401.
by jjk166 9mo ago
There aren't a lot of things I would claim Russia is a leader in, but state sponsored hacking and spying on its own people would both definitely make the list. That's not to say no one has cracked it, but if the Russians couldn&#x
402.
by jjk166 9mo ago
Conspiracy requires an agreement to commit an illegal act, and entering into that agreement must be intentional.
403.
by jjk166 9mo ago
That's not the point of civil disobedience, it's an unfortunate side effect. You praise a martyr for their sacrifice, you deplore that the sacrifice was necessary.
404.
by jjk166 9mo ago
Can't argue with their 110% conviction rate, North Korean tactics work.
405.
by jjk166 9mo ago
Pottsville wasn't founded as a mining settlement. It was an industrial hub that built up around the nearby forge purchased by John Potts. It had a large textile industry and still has America's oldest brewery. In addition to indus
406.
by jjk166 9mo ago
I think we've known since the time of Socrates that the practice of philosophy is not the practice of happy living. Philosophers tend to be miserable. Socrates himself chose to drink poison over moving to a different city. I think most
407.
by jjk166 9mo ago
Weird that when you're in Nevada the eye moves fast enough for you to react when going at 80 mph but in Arizona your eyes can only move fast enough for 75 mph, and in California no ones eyes move fast enough to react over 70 mph.
408.
by jjk166 9mo ago
> Let's say 1 kWh = 50 gallons. UN estimates talk about at least 50 gallons/day per person. The energy cost of desalination is to convert sea water into freshwater. A person utilizes lots of water per day, but that water doesn&
409.
by jjk166 9mo ago
> The city needs 1.2 billion m3 cubic meters of fresh water, and is on average 1200 meters above sea level. Let's not even count actually transporting that water, let's just discuss pumping it. > E = mgh, blabla, this requir
410.
by jjk166 9mo ago
You won't ever have the exact same set of initial conditions in any experiment. You drop two balls from the tower of pisa and do it again you have different air conditions, the planet has moved, the tower may have leaned slightly more,
411.
by jjk166 9mo ago
> Falsifying the logical inverse of X is identical to verifying X. That's exactly the point. The issue with positivist hypotheses is that you can find evidence that supports, but does not actually verify, the claim. This seems convi
412.
by jjk166 9mo ago
I'm not arguing anything here, I am trying to help you realize that you aren't talking about what you think you're talking about. I am not referring to methodology "in the strict sense of science" indeed I don'
413.
by jjk166 9mo ago
Same way as the hard sciences - you make a prediction for something that you would never observe if the hypothesis is true, and then you go look for it. If you find it, then the hypothesis must be rejected. I might suspect that hunter gathe
414.
by jjk166 9mo ago
Falsifying the logical inverse is fine. The key though is that showing the inverse of what you believe can not be true is much harder than showing that what you believe might be true. Preregistration only helps with a select set of research
415.
by jjk166 9mo ago
This is why the goal of experiments needs to be falsifying hypotheses. If you can make a model that fits the raw data without absurd assumptions which contradicts your hypothesis, then the data doesn't support your hypothesis. If you&#
416.
by jjk166 9mo ago
So your argument is don't use an off the shelf tool (5 stages) that gets the job done, build your own tool (10 or 3 or none) every time which likely doesn't offer any advantage over the standard tool? I don't think you really
417.
by jjk166 9mo ago
> No, not against. One is a subset of the other. but you are free to prove me wrong. So what do you mean by "Design Thinking does with its sole existence what Systems Thinking tried to avoid"? > Are you sure about the meanin
418.
by jjk166 9mo ago
So your argument is don't use an off the shelf tool that gets the job done, build your own tool every time which likely doesn't offer any advantage over the standard tool? If you think using Design Thinking goes against Systems Th
419.
by jjk166 9mo ago
> Obviously a door with a handle shouldn't be a push door, I don't really think you need to write a book about it. And yet we've all encountered push doors with handles many times. > And the types of people creating bad
420.
by jjk166 9mo ago
There is some nuance to risk management here. Yes, no one can make something that has genuinely zero risk, but we can and must eliminate particular known risks. A fix being too expensive is not a valid excuse. There are plenty of things we

More ›