jerf

20 ms·

241.
by jerf 3mo ago
One thing that may help your transition is that you can point both systems at the same media files so it's not an immediate commitment. I did that, then one day Plex borked itself as it periodically did for me and I just didn't bo
242.
by jerf 3mo ago
What information do you have that people are actually paying this price? There are plenty of situations where a business must charge over X for one reason and must charge under Y for another, where Y < X. What happens is generally they g
243.
by jerf 3mo ago
If a human writes a given paragraph, I know it has attained a minimum level of awareness in some human mind at some point. If an AI writes a paper, I have no guarantee that it has reached that minimum. We also fear, with some reason, a corr
244.
by jerf 3mo ago
It seems to me that the US AI industry has bet the farm on the idea that AI will enhance AI itself, so any small advantage will magnify recursively into an unstoppable advantage. Therefore it is vital that they spend as much as is necessary
245.
by jerf 3mo ago
You can't get a fad like this with a true believer rate of 0. Too unstable. You have to have some true believers in the mix to see this situation arise, preferably widely distributed throughout the population.
246.
by jerf 3mo ago
In this moment, the opposite is happening. Everything is getting called "AI", whether it uses LLMs to prompt LLMs about how to prompt LLMs, uses "conventional" machine learning, or just looks mysterious enough that they
247.
by jerf 3mo ago
Just for the sake of argument and using some admittedly insane numbers, give me Opus 4.5 at a tenth the cost and running ten times as fast and I'd take that for almost any coding task over any current frontier model. There was a real p
248.
by jerf 3mo ago
We're still in the early phases of the pendulum swinging back. We haven't even gotten to the part where the real power has shifted. I expect HN in general doesn't want to hear that but psychohistory is what it is. "A ren
249.
by jerf 3mo ago
Answer the question "how much does 5 cents of LLM computation in July 2026 cost in July 2005" and you'll have the answer to your question. Don't forget to account for all the costs. It's not just that CPUs are X tim
250.
by jerf 3mo ago
There's a causal relationship there, often expressed in some form of the idea "the pendulum swings". Heresy-hunting inevitably produces the backlash. It's fun during the upswing to push harder to punish the heretics more
251.
by jerf 3mo ago
If those prebuilts are desktop sized, I don't think they count as being the same. The form factor has a price associated with it, and has for a long time. If you're willing to let the size drift up you can do better... which is ex
252.
by jerf 3mo ago
The sad thing is, they're not. A lot of people have not been paying attention to PC costs. This is what they cost now. I've seen a few "make your own" builds online. If you use new parts, you might save 80$, and you gene
253.
by jerf 3mo ago
The real fun comes later when the US Federal Government taxes us on the forgiven debt as income.
254.
by jerf 3mo ago
This is generational debt for a Kardashev Type III civilization. If there are individuals who are being charged "the whole of the GDP the human race has ever produced", then Amazon is claiming the rest of the world owes them a fai
255.
by jerf 3mo ago
There are other possible fission options that don't involve detonating actual bombs out the back of the rocket: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_propulsion#Spacecraft I'm a fan of the nuclear lightbulb m
256.
by jerf 3mo ago
Market cap has been that sort of fiction from the beginning. It's never been a terribly useful number. There's really no fixing it because the only way to "truly" value a company is to sell it, for real, on the open mark
257.
by jerf 3mo ago
INT 18 WIS 3 is a terribly dangerous build in this world.
258.
by jerf 3mo ago
There is no general solution other than brute force. That's not a terribly difficult extension of the halting problem, it just takes more paperwork to deal with the edge cases, but you'll get to that result. The same basic techniq
259.
by jerf 3mo ago
For the finite case, the more relevant question is, can you predict whether or not the computation will halt in less time than 1. executing the algorithm and 2. checking whether or not the algorithm ever loops? Bear in mind checking whether
260.
by jerf 3mo ago
I think there's an equivocation of "computable" going on here. Mathematicians talk about a lot of things like "uncomputable sequences" but that is usually making a statement about the sequence , not necessarily any
261.
by jerf 3mo ago
It is a common accusation. There's a somewhat famous quote I've seen a few times: "It's interesting to look back through history on this one. Each age has its pinnacle of technology, and each age uses that technology as
262.
by jerf 3mo ago
Oof, you're reminding me of Microsoft Redesigns the iPod Packaging video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EUXnJraKM3k For those lucky 10,000 just learning about that today, for extra frisson , enjoy the fact that that
263.
by jerf 3mo ago
Go ahead and ask Sonnet to do a security scan of your code. You can't afford to be using Sonnet if your opponents are using Fable.
264.
by jerf 3mo ago
You'd probably find https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xy2Ic_j0SnA interesting. For the rest of HN, while that video is from someone who takes the Bible seriously, you can also view it as an interesting examination of the
265.
by jerf 3mo ago
I seriously doubt Cloudflare is writing "terrible, insecure code". Those numbers suggest what I've intuitively known for a while, which is that we really need to up our security game in this space.
266.
by jerf 3mo ago
It sounds like you think emacs is some sort of basic text editor, I dunno, like Notepad on Windows, that has an adjoined Lisp interpreter? Admittedly, it doesn't help that there are some sibling comments that implicitly seem to be spea
267.
by jerf 3mo ago
... how would they tell?
268.
by jerf 3mo ago
This whole vulnerability thing is the first time I'm really feeling like AI tech is a shakedown more than a value-add to my job. So I have to take multiple different frontier models, burn tokens constantly scanning all my code bases wi
269.
by jerf 3mo ago
I've done two rewrites now with AI. Neither of them particularly large, but still non-trivial; think in the low tens of thousands of lines of code. It's been a bit so I haven't tried it on the very latest models, but I can at
270.
by jerf 3mo ago
When I have a good idea that I can hit what I want in a single query, I still use search engines directly a lot. But I have found AI is pretty decent at automating the process of making a vague search, picking up from the search better sear

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