jean_tta

9 ms·

61.
by jean_tta 6y ago
> This is obviously mainly due to the boom in developed world esp China Europe (and the "West" aka where Europe sent its surplus citizens) went through its fertility transition [0] earlier than the rest of the world. Hence it i
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by jean_tta 6y ago
In the long term, the West (Europe at first) went from at best a not particularly interesting place compared to, say, China to the global hegemon because 1. it became much better at war than the others [0] 2. it became much richer than the
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by jean_tta 6y ago
If anything that lowers growth is a kind of violence, then it is tautological to say that you cannot lower growth without violence.
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by jean_tta 6y ago
If I get what you say right, * it is impossible to predict the (economic) future if it is your job * any layman can predict the future through simple extrapolation of GDP variation around the long term trend So why are economists so much wo
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by jean_tta 6y ago
I would call this "obvious in retrospect". Of course you can tell a little story on why it is obvious, but you can also tell a little story on why the opposite is obvious. The tricky part is figuring out which "obvious"
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by jean_tta 6y ago
There are plenty of countries that had no or low growth without any violence. Also if the economy can grow by providing more and better games, bread, and Netflix, why didn't it happen during the various lockdowns in various countries?
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by jean_tta 7y ago
If I understand your comment, you are saying that what people do in their private life does not matter unless it is important enough (e.g. being the Boston strangler): this is tautological (what is important in the legacy of someone if the