ioblomov

13 ms·

241.
by ioblomov 2y ago
https://archive.ph/zNv9g
242.
Steak Dinners Sell ETFs(bloomberg.com)
3 points by ioblomov 2y ago|2 comments
243.
by ioblomov 2y ago
https://archive.ph/DOCG0
244.
There Was a Texas Lottery Arbitrage(bloomberg.com)
244 points by ioblomov 2y ago|272 comments
245.
by ioblomov 2y ago
https://archive.ph/TAGNa
246.
by ioblomov 2y ago
Perhaps I was mistaken in thinking this was obvious, but... their opinion is utterly irrelevant; only one person's opinion matters here and that's Putin's.
247.
by ioblomov 2y ago
I don't disagree about Russia's prospects. China, too, is facing a demographic collapse it will take generations to mend. But the nuclear arsenal of both countries makes this irrelevant for policy now.
248.
by ioblomov 2y ago
“You are entitled to your opinion. But you are not entitled to your own facts.” ― Daniel Patrick Moynihan Here are the facts of NATO encroachment from the fall of the Berlin wall to the annexation of Crimea: 1. Feb 1990: The US, through Wes
249.
by ioblomov 2y ago
Hmmm, you raise an interesting question. I'm no game theorist, but are bully/victim dynamics and Nash equilibria necessarily mutually exclusive? What I'm getting at is: the threat of force determines every other player's
250.
by ioblomov 2y ago
Am I missing something here? How could a hellish residency—with all the stress and sleep deprivation that implies—possibly improve patient outcome? Apart from the bad real-time cognitive effects, long-term memory retention is dependent on
251.
by ioblomov 2y ago
I don't disagree, but they all unfortunately take a backseat to geopolitics. When it comes to the behavior of nations, the playground politics of bully and victim has more explanatory power than all the high talk of the UN.
252.
by ioblomov 2y ago
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Dead_Zone_(film)
253.
by ioblomov 2y ago
I don't disagree. But then for most of the 7,000 years of recorded history, GDP (and all the might that wealth ensures) was strictly a function of population. It wasn't until European colonialism came in the 1400s and industrializ
254.
by ioblomov 2y ago
Let's not confuse domains: while economics isn't (necessarily) zero sum, geopolitics (in terms of influence or territory) is. US policy has nothing to do with these two facts.
255.
by ioblomov 2y ago
Europe is as much Russia’s historical sphere of influence as the western hemisphere is ours. From the time of the Monroe Doctrine to the Cuban missle crisis and beyond, we have not tolerated any foreign incursion in North or South America—e
256.
by ioblomov 2y ago
Sure, the mutual-defense guarantee can be a moderating force, or it can be a ticket to rapid escalation (case in point WW1) and, potentially therefore, nuclear war. The fact that the Cold War ended peacefully, and with the USSR‘s dissolutio
257.
by ioblomov 2y ago
I'd argue war is as common now as in the times of Machiavelli or Sun Tzu. Even after WW2 and only considering US boots on the ground, how many military conflicts have there been? There are five major ones: Korean War (1950-1953) Vietna
258.
by ioblomov 2y ago
Please clarify how NATO encroachment is non-threatening to a Russian nationalism that sees the Russian Empire at its height as a golden age. And I would appreciate backing evidence beyond Office memes.
259.
by ioblomov 2y ago
But is that a game of Russian roulette you'd want to play?
260.
by ioblomov 2y ago
My point is that the Russian people have a capacity for self-sacrifice that shouldn't be underestimated, especially when their (perceived) sovereignty is threatened. During WW2, for example, the Soviets lost a total of 20-27 million
261.
by ioblomov 2y ago
Appreciate the props, I was starting to question my rhetorical chops. ;) Regarding the distinction between soft and hard power, however, I think both Machiavelli and Sun Tzu would disagree: "Necessary wars are just wars, and the arms o
262.
by ioblomov 2y ago
Fair enough: promise is too strong a word. But hints to that effect were given during diplomacy to ensure German reunification... https://archive.ph/hyDhA My point is that Russia taking Crimea and invading Ukraine are a con
263.
by ioblomov 2y ago
Especially when that nuclear power is Russia. After all, if we had to credit a single country, Russia defeated both Napoleon and Hitler.
264.
by ioblomov 2y ago
I'm with you. And we seem to be in the minority here. Setting Ukraine aside for the moment, what have the many US military conflicts—they were not "wars" because the last one Congress declared was during WW2—since WW2 achieve
265.
by ioblomov 2y ago
He was only pro-nuke through fear that Hitler would get them first. After the war, he was as anti-nuke as Oppenheimer and the rest.
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by ioblomov 2y ago
Whether you call it "defensive" or not, NATO—and the arms race it and the Warsaw Pact fostered—directly led to the Soviet Union's collapse. Recall that JFK almost started WW3 when the Soviets sent nukes to Cuba. NATO on Russi
267.
by ioblomov 2y ago
Although I agree that Trump's desire to end the war without any Russian concessions is foolhardy, Russia will not tolerate NATO membership or nuclear weapons on its borders. Recall that this conflict's roots began when we reneged
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by ioblomov 2y ago
https://archive.ph/8ffcM
269.
Robots Will Write the Macro Forecasts(bloomberg.com)
3 points by ioblomov 2y ago|1 comments
270.
The Job Is Service but the Goal Is Monetization(bloomberg.com)
1 points by ioblomov 2y ago|1 comments

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