hx8

9 ms·

181.
by hx8 1y ago
Yes, many of us have also taken a college statistical course and understand correlation != causation. Yes, pop-sci articles will more heavily infer there is a causation, and this is bad for public trust in science. Also, dismissing all co
182.
by hx8 1y ago
Also AOL was a mix of dialup provider and Dotcom service. There were many other popular examples of such.
183.
by hx8 1y ago
A lot of the infrastructure made during the Dotcom boom was shortly discarded. How many dial-up modems were sold in the 90s? The current AI bubble is leading to trained models that won't be feasible to retrain for a decade or longer a
184.
by hx8 1y ago
One of the side effects of having a chat interface, is that there is no moat around it. Using it is natural. Changing from Windows to Mac or iOS to Android requires changing the User Interface. All of these chat applications have essentia
185.
by hx8 1y ago
> Waymo showed it's not a bubble. Waymo is showing it might not be a bubble. They are selling rides in five cities. Let's see how they do in 100 cities.
186.
by hx8 1y ago
Fusion at 100% grid scale might be better for the environment than solar at 100% grid scale. It might be nice if at the end of the 21st century that is something we care.
187.
by hx8 1y ago
Yes. Google Search on its own generates about $200b/y, so capturing Google Search's market would be worth $1t based on 5x multiplier. GPT is more valuable than search because GPT has more control over the content than Search has.
188.
by hx8 1y ago
There is nothing wrong with diesel bus manufacturing, but if you were to generate a list of the 1000 most desirable products to manufacture I don't think diesel bus would be on the list. We have companies and manufacturing expertise t
189.
by hx8 1y ago
I had the same confusion, until they showed the existing 218 position and realized it was about maximizing white's legal moves.
190.
by hx8 1y ago
Yes, in my state it's generally illegal to take a screenshot of a zoom call without announcing you are recording the conversation. I'm not certain, but I think the issue is the storage of the 1fps video, not the AI summary.
191.
by hx8 1y ago
> This is a de facto shutdown of the program No, this is just another tariff. If it costs $200k/yr to employee an H1B Software Engineer, and you expect them to work for you for 3 years, it raises the cost of employment from $200k&#
192.
by hx8 1y ago
We see plenty of AI produced output being the final product and not just a placeholder.
193.
by hx8 1y ago
It's the government that controls the immigration law that gives the company the authority to sponsor a visa. Of course the H1-B is mutually beneficial to both the company and the employee, that is why the program is so popular. If H1
194.
by hx8 1y ago
I specifically want an iPhone with less mass. I view my phone primarily as something I'm obligated to carry on myself at all times to function in modern society. The easier it is to carry the better. When I need to upgrade my phone,
195.
by hx8 1y ago
I don't want to come off as supporting the grandparent comment, but ultimately there is at least some degree of heritability of IQ [0]. US IQ also seemed to have peaked in the 1990s [1]. It's quite a leap to claim that immigratio
196.
by hx8 1y ago
I have a feeling this app would greatly increase the number of phantom vibrations I experience.
197.
by hx8 1y ago
I do not feel the need to defend myself against ChatGPT based arguments. If you could only do one of the two, you should probably exercise because physical health is a more base level need then improved cognition. If you hold the view that
198.
by hx8 1y ago
Yes, both the reduction in the amount of reading and the reduction in the complexity of the average read text is leading towards a decline in cognition. Less than half of American adults have read a book in the last year, and younger peopl
199.
by hx8 1y ago
> the best solution seems to be treating them as military targets. The United States isn't the world police. We have both a mixed track record of military engagements with similar non-state targets, and a poor track record of long
200.
by hx8 1y ago
I'm mostly adding context to the statistic that Microsoft makes 0.21% of its revenue from the federal government, and arguing against the sub-claim that government spending is easy to track.
201.
by hx8 1y ago
How much money have states and local governments spent on Microsoft products and services? How much money has Microsoft collected from companies that are providing products and services to US governmental agencies? Government spending is n
202.
by hx8 1y ago
We should worry about the guy selling crutches. He could be lobbying against safety standards that would decrease the number of broken legs. We should assume he's acting in his own best interest, and carefully consider if his actions
203.
by hx8 1y ago
In some ways the financial conflicts of interest make sense, because the people that best understand a set of symptoms probably also are the ones in the best position to create new treatments. Being undisclosed makes it feel way more scumm
204.
by hx8 1y ago
Sure, but if it was a HIPPA compliance issue then the legal action path is easier and more lucrative.
205.
by hx8 1y ago
Sometimes politicians beat the drum about free markets when they want to privatize currently public services. Sometimes politicians beat the drum about free markets when they want to modify regulations to favor their favorite businesses.
206.
by hx8 1y ago
Interdisciplinary is a broad umbrella term that most people fall under to some degree. The benefit of focusing on a primary discipline is that there are well worn career paths to follow. I think the best approach is to brand yourself to o
207.
by hx8 1y ago
Jevon's Paradox isn't a hard rule. There's plenty of situations where a resource becomes cheaper and the overall market decreases in total value.
208.
by hx8 1y ago
I'm specifically commenting on the double whammy of increased software developer productivity and decreased demand for independent applications.
209.
by hx8 1y ago
I don't think there is market demand for 20x more software produced each year. I suspect AI will actively _decrease_ demand for several major sectors of software development, as LLMs take over roles that were handled previously be ind
210.
by hx8 1y ago
How many parallel agents can one developer actively keep up with? Right now, my number seems to be about 3-5 tasks, if I review the output. If we assume 5 tasks, each running $400/mo of tokens, we reach an annual bill of $24,000. We

More ›