huurtehoog

6 ms·

31.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
Japan is closer to 130% debt-to-gdp. The 200% number is based on gross debt and ignores some other mitigating factors for shock value.
32.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_sabotage_operations_in...
33.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
I recommend reading the paper by Parnas about the original SDI system. https://web.stanford.edu/class/cs99r/readings/parnas1.pdf
34.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
I know it is always relative. I'm merely pointing out that there was never an absolute decline in manufacturing employment, which is a frequent argument in automation. I often state that the entropy never vanishes and that implies that
35.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
Fun fact, the original paper about "10x" developers found that some programmers had an order of magnitude better performing code, not 10x the amount of code or features. The 2 metrics used were CPU time in executing the software
36.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
Those jobs didn't disappear, they moved. Manufacturing jobs peaked in the US in 1978 at ~20 million, down to ~12 million currently. Current manufacturing jobs in China are now ~85 million.
37.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
Yes. In the sense that unless you have an incredibly well defined and constrained domain, there is no sense in trying that approach.
38.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
We have cooking robots thought. They're the production lines of deep frozen meals and the microwave ovens. We have automated large chunks of the economy already. I don't thing building humanoid robots is gonna drive a major furthe
39.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
And in both cases it leads to skill erosion in the workforce. We have a shortage of accountants and we will have a shortage of software developers when a few years down the line an entire new generation is addicted to corporate tooling and
40.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
And the outcome is a steadily worsening quagmire.
41.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
And if the slowdown is stewardship, suspicion of diminishing returns won't tank valuation
42.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
I think this is a very exciting time, for the simple reason that everyone is confused. Across the board, at every level, no one is certain of anything at this moment. This is a historical time because those bold enough to press ahead with a
43.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
Why did you scare quote addicted then? Made it sound like you were implying that spreadsheets did not erode workforce skill
44.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
Go read Corinthians? I'm just pointing out it was quoted halfway through to make it sound like Paul just wrote "we dumb" in a letter.
45.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
Even if we just look at public markets: manufacturers and hyperscalers stocks are through the roof, while they finance private model providers that are ever pushing their IPO into the future. Doesn't look very much like growing prosper
46.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
Whatever your view of religion, you are not very good at literary analysis. The verse you quote, in full: "We have given up our wisdom for Christ, but you have insight because of Christ. We are weak, but you are strong. You are honored
47.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
LISP has been around since 1959. To the point: the proclaimed advantage of operating at new levels of "abstraction" is not a novel contribution of LLMs to coding. Put another way: live coding, meta programming, high level abstract
48.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
I find it endlessly fascinating that information cannot be destroyed and we keep finding more and more ways to read the universe at every scale!
49.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
Because they aren't. All the intelligence, alignment vs misalignment, hallucinations, conspiracy, cheating, coordination, "agency", that we see in the text generated by large language models is a semantic projection. That the
50.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
Any day now I remember when C was a "high level language" and model driven development would give us IDEs where coding would be on a "higher abstraction level" and code would be just "generated" ad hoc and disp
51.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
Yeah you're right. There has been an erosion in domain expertise there. > The accounting profession is facing a severe crisis due to a shortage of accountants. https://www.cpajournal.com/2023/12/01/the
52.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
Yeah I know it's not obvious. And very lucrative and very freeing, having this sort of knowledge and leveraging it. Especially after clients have suffered the new found arrogance of non-experts riding on LLM output. Look, let me be per
53.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
The code is ultimately the codification (ha!) of domain knowledge in precise, non-ambiguous ways. It has extrinsic, non essential complexity yes. But including ever more complexity in the process, by depending on complexity-slinger systems
54.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
I never go by pay. I won't fix bad systems whatever their provenance because trying to understand poorly coded software is very unpleasant. I go by interesting problems and I like being able to chose from more options due to lessened e
55.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
I always ask for sources. LLM analyses often fails by being simplistic or wrong in comparison with the sources it provides. More often than not, to the point that it is wasteful to ask it for analysis so I only ask for sources now and do my
56.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
My point is that they always use quotes when quoting even if it is verified by them to be true. Reporting discourse is different from reporting fact, and I do not know the BBC for reporting unverified discourse or facts.
57.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
I don't wish anyone any reckoning. But I can see and feel less competition for my niche knowledge and I welcome it.
58.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
I experience quite the opposite. I'm quite excited about the value my skills are gaining in relative terms. An entire generation of potential competition is getting addicted to the subsidized corporate tooling. Voluntarily!
59.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
I have done that as well. Not a single time I asked an LLM for any sort of analysis that I could trust upon verification so I stopped doing that. If I need verify, much easier to just ask for suggestions of papers and books and do the analy
60.
by huurtehoog 1mo ago
It has nothing to do with verification. They are simply reporting what sources have said: Houthis 'take control' of Perim Island - government source published at 09:00 Houthi rebels have "taken control" of Perim Island i

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