hntrader

14 ms·

91.
by hntrader 6y ago
Mutation is completely random and selection mostly isn't. Many confuse mutation with selection.
92.
by hntrader 6y ago
There's more old women than old men, too.
93.
by hntrader 6y ago
Where did you hear about this allegation and is it credible
94.
by hntrader 6y ago
I was just responding to the statement "Slippery slope is considered a fallacy", by saying that slippery slope arguments aren't necessarily fallacious, but it seems you largely agree with that already. I wasn't so much e
95.
by hntrader 6y ago
This is why it's important to have good managers who deeply understand what their subordinates are doing. Detached managers can easily be gamed by maximizing metrics like hours-in-chair, which is pernicious because it makes people choo
96.
by hntrader 6y ago
> You do realize I made up all of the numbers, right? Yes, I realize that. I figured out the misunderstanding. Your $10/hour figure is net value after wages ($15/hour - $5/hour), whereas I was assuming you meant gross v
97.
by hntrader 6y ago
It's going to vary significantly on an individual level as well. The best system would be where people opt-in to more hours but are evaluated solely on the quantity of quality output.
98.
by hntrader 6y ago
If the employee's effort contributes (can be sold for) $15/hour, then that is the value of the employee to the company. The company is therefore happy to pay between $0/hour and $14.99/hour to the employee, depending on
99.
by hntrader 6y ago
Their first point is one of epistemology. You asked them to prove it but that's outside of the scope of science. Proof is deductive and certain, whereas science (outside of math) is empirical and only asymptotes on certainty as theorie
100.
by hntrader 6y ago
No, it's not true that slippery slopes are automatically fallacious, that's a misunderstanding of the fallacy. The fallacy pertains to people who argue that a causal chain will necessarily play out, or that a particularly implausi
101.
by hntrader 6y ago
Right, Peter Singer is good on this topic. There's no sense in assigning value to life as a step function, where one nanosecond before it it's categorically not human and therefore disposable, yet one nanosecond afterwards it&#x27
102.
by hntrader 6y ago
"because it provides more value to the company" This is the basis of literally every transaction. If you buy bread for $2, you do so because it has subject value if $2.5. If the bread cost $2.51, you wouldn't buy it.
103.
by hntrader 6y ago
It's not the same system, they're quite different. It is non-prescriptive, so it has less potential for bureaucratic waste than a means-tested system that is prescriptive about where the funds go, or worse yet explicitly spends t
104.
by hntrader 6y ago
I know, and my point is that's wrong. A wage that just lifted someone out of poverty isn't exploitative by definition, unless we've mangled the definition of exploitation beyond recognition and we're trying to incentiviz
105.
by hntrader 6y ago
TLDR - Implement a wealth tax and use it to pay a UBI. Fine, but he should address why he thinks a wealth tax will work this time when it didn't work when it was tried in Europe (due to international competitiveness reasons). Moreover,
106.
by hntrader 6y ago
The economy is centered around factors of production, which include labor and capital, both of which are value inputs towards meeting some need in the marketplace, and both of whose market price follows supply and demand. The more valuable
107.
by hntrader 6y ago
> then all funded research does not just benefit the United States, but every nation This is already the case, since every nation can easily buy access to Elsevier etc.
108.
by hntrader 6y ago
But that doesn't mean that it's going to be valued by the market. If it's not valued by the market, the fact that it's rare doesn't help you. For a high market price, you need the intersection of a scarce skill (low
109.
by hntrader 6y ago
This thinking leads to more poverty and less social mobility. Factory workers in China get paid less than $5/hour, yet this so-called "exploitation" directly led to a large reduction in poverty[1]. If everyone had accepted yo
110.
by hntrader 6y ago
It's got much more to do with supply and demand than power. Table salt and unskilled labor are both cheap primarily because there's an over-supply relative to demand. Cleaners (as an example) provide huge value-add, but it'
111.
by hntrader 6y ago
This is not necessarily true because it's forgetting the potential countervailing impact of progressive taxation. With basic arithmetic we can show that UBI+more progressive taxation can create the identical first-order outcome as trad
112.
by hntrader 6y ago
Another right wing argument for UBI is that it reduces the possibility of being trapped in welfare by being disincentivized to earn more, since earning more in a traditional means-tested welfare system means that entitlements get removed. T
113.
by hntrader 6y ago
Highly sceptical of this if we're talking about the non-animal part of the diet. Hadza ate only 4 non-animal foods, which is much less than what's available at a supermarket. Hunter gatherers would've had a more diverse diet
114.
by hntrader 6y ago
I'm not necessarily disagreeing with the decision, I don't know enough about the clotting data to do so, and I can certainly see the necessity in preserving the public's faith in vaccines. I'm more saying that the incent
115.
by hntrader 6y ago
Strange that this was this downvoted. It is an issue that a single dev with a profiler should've been able to identify very easily. That they hadn't addressed it despite it being such an annoyance for so many users for so long is
116.
by hntrader 6y ago
Why would any politician/regulator/expert willingly opt-in to accountability? The best strategy (however cynical) is to not be quantitatively explicit about expectations so that you can frame it as though you succeeded no matter w
117.
by hntrader 6y ago
Irving Kirsch puts the placebo effect at 82 percent for anti-depressants (after accounting for studies that were stopped early) and argues it's probably higher than that because patients are likely able to break the blinding protocol.
118.
by hntrader 6y ago
"It's not a political decision" It likely is, though. From the perspective of the regulators, there are asymmetric personal consequences. If they make a decision that leads to 50 clotting deaths but saves 5000 peopl
119.
by hntrader 6y ago
Agreed. A plausible explanation for why the largest companies are tech companies is low marginal cost of replication combined with widespread appeal combined with network effects and IP moat which confers monopoly margins. Other businesses
120.
by hntrader 6y ago
You're misrepresenting what I said above. My initial claim: "political belief is caused by personality traits (e.g. orderliness) and brain structure (e.g. amygdala size)". Which is the same as all other representations I&#x27

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