hntrader

49 ms·

481.
by hntrader 6y ago
The problem of addressing global warming is very much one about persuasion. That means getting beyond people's tribal defences, which are a big part of climate change denial. Disinformation campaigns play a significant role, but the re
482.
by hntrader 6y ago
Agreed, but by that definition my consciousness in 15 years isn't me either, since most of the cells in my body will have been regenerated with different particles.
483.
by hntrader 6y ago
> what I _really_ want is to continue on with my pre-existing memories/experiences This reminds me of an interesting philosophical question. To state the obvious, even if the clone had an exact copy of your memories/experiences
484.
by hntrader 6y ago
If a country relies only on oil and gas for electricity, are EVs any better than petrol-powered cars as far as emissions go?
485.
by hntrader 6y ago
(1) is interesting. I'm a big fan of a carbon tax over subsidies and direct govt intervention but this seems like an example of something that a tax would have a hard time incenting. I wonder if there are other examples like that. Mayb
486.
by hntrader 6y ago
To what extent has this been rolled out already?
487.
by hntrader 6y ago
What are the other feeds/blogs that you can recommend with similarly good content?
488.
by hntrader 6y ago
Another: Many World's Interpretation of QM. Not known to be true but less ridiculed and more widely subscribed.
489.
by hntrader 6y ago
This is most of it. EMH can't apply to low float stocks because the ability to borrow is scarce and so the market can't easily correct the price without the supply side taking on enormous asymmetric risk. All it takes is a few mil
490.
by hntrader 6y ago
What are the names of the Israeli, Czech and British firms?
491.
by hntrader 6y ago
What % of all digitized and reasonably easy-to-access text data did they use to train GPT-3? I'm wondering whether the current limits on GPT-n are computation or data.
492.
by hntrader 6y ago
> developed to combat much of this. Or some of these customs, traditions and institutions evolved to combat it through unconscious group selection. The tribes/towns/cities/countries/groups that had superior civic norm
493.
by hntrader 6y ago
> American state run prisons and their surrounding ecosystem of courts, municipal govts, vendors, etc have much of the perverse incentives Why do these institutions have perverse incentives? Is it because the voters reward high imprisonm
494.
by hntrader 6y ago
> If there's even a 5% chance of such an outcome, then we should be taking it seriously. Even if it's 0.1% we should be taking it very seriously, given the magnitude of the negative outcome. In expected value terms it's la
495.
by hntrader 6y ago
Did he go through specific examples? The Hadza only eat five foods and have a diet that's significantly less varied that modern society. I'll see if I can find counter-examples. However I will say, even though the Hadza only eat f
496.
by hntrader 6y ago
That's what people should do, and that's what you and I will do, but many won't, especially the less educated (no condescension intended). They'll buy into the increased proliferation of fake info. It's because of
497.
by hntrader 6y ago
As a non-expert, the thing that bugs me about the notion that varied diets are ideal is that hunter gatherers often didn't have varied diets. Quite the opposite. Also, having a diet that isn't varied is a way to naturally regulate
498.
by hntrader 6y ago
I'm very ignorant of the M1, but heard it has some hardware optimizations for Mac OS. If I buy this laptop and install Windows on it (because of a need for specific software), does that largely defeat the purpose and significantly redu
499.
by hntrader 6y ago
It's a bit different to the intended meaning of toxic positivity in the article, which is about dishonest cheerfulness. Maybe we need a different name for what you're describing. Promoting metabolic disease as healthy, when it&#x2
500.
by hntrader 6y ago
> I will gladly take it over a workplace with toxic negativity Agree, having a colleague with a negative disposition (< 3rd percentile of general population) is in my view much, much worse than colleagues that exude the normal amount
501.
by hntrader 6y ago
Quants don't care about floating point precision in research. It's just applied stats
502.
by hntrader 6y ago
Yeah, it's a performance discipline like any other (competitive gaming, athletics, etc) where only the top few % can succeed. If someone isn't very driven then they won't make it.
503.
by hntrader 6y ago
By trader, I mean domain knowledge about the markets. Statistics is the toolbox that this domain expert uses to test their hypotheses and turn them into a profitable model. But if the person isn't a domain expert and only knows statist
504.
by hntrader 6y ago
You have a point that land is a scarce and excludable good and there's an opportunity cost to a corporation owning land. The initial purchase of the land by the corporation wasn't zero sum, however. The previous landowner and the
505.
by hntrader 6y ago
To add, quants that can't do the data engineering work are always crappy quants. I haven't seen a counter-example to that. Profitable models aren't going to be delivered on a silver platter. They need to be able to process pr
506.
by hntrader 6y ago
CEO departures almost always cause a drop in the share price, usually not because the CEO is considered great but investors perceive it to signal private information about the state of the company
507.
by hntrader 6y ago
not exactly the same situation but it happened with NKLA and GM, insufficient due diligence on what was vaporware. mistakes like that can happen.
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by hntrader 6y ago
Regarding calls, do you have suggestions on how to figure out if the OI in some particular call is mostly market makers' short or investors' short? I know you referenced "good feel for the underlying and market participants&q
509.
by hntrader 6y ago
Thanks, very informative stuff. (1) and (3): If we're to use open interest (along with the gamma of such open interest), it seems that we have to make specific assumptions about whether options' market makers are going to be net s
510.
by hntrader 6y ago
I have a few burning questions for either you or beezle if either of you don't mind: 1) Are options market makers mostly long or short gamma, and does this tendency differ if we're talking about puts versus calls? I know this can

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