gonehome

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181.
by gonehome 4y ago
Definitely sounds like WWDC will launch the glasses this year. I suspected it when the WWDC announcement had what looks like lenses [0]. I'm really curious what they will ship. This video has a decent overview. [1] [0]: https:/&#
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by gonehome 4y ago
The dream machine, and Steven Levy’s other books (Crypto and Facebook) are also really good. Code by Charles Petzold is mostly not about history, but it uses a lot of computing history as part of the way it teaches. Microserfs is fiction bu
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by gonehome 4y ago
Slack had an in to expand and capture what eventually became 365, but they didn’t do it and Microsoft caught up and captured it.
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by gonehome 4y ago
I’ll defend Brian Acton a bit here - he refused to sell WhatsApp until it got up to a ludicrous 19B$ for 30 full time employees? Few people are tested to that amount and then it becomes a legitimate question of opportunity cost (he gave 50M
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by gonehome 4y ago
Yeah, the restrictions make sense for society but the truckers (annd trucking companies) aren’t the ones that want them.
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by gonehome 4y ago
I think the truckers often want to drive longer than they’re legally allowed.
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by gonehome 4y ago
Natural selection and biology have different constraints that limit things (and even then often selection can cause extinction) Intellectual capability and alignment are orthogonal - the former doesn’t get you the latter for free. Most peop
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by gonehome 4y ago
This is wrong, computers can operate at billions of operations per second. You can wave hands and say the words “thermodynamics” but it doesn’t actually mean anything. The claim that computers just can’t do X because “physics” looks weaker
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by gonehome 4y ago
Thanks - I saw he was on there, but I find lex insufferable as an interviewer so tend to avoid the pods (despite the great guests)
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by gonehome 4y ago
It's a very good DM "co-pilot" though especially for flavor/backstory. I did the same thing and it was fun, but generally does too much telling instead of showing and it's bad at real puzzles. Also agreed DnD combat
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by gonehome 4y ago
With downcast eyes and heavy heart, Eliezer left Sam Altman Some years go by, and AGI progresses to assault man Atop a pile of paper clips he screams "It's not my fault, man!" But Eliezer's long since dead, and cannot he
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by gonehome 4y ago
One rainy evening at a bar, Eliezer told Sam Altman "AI could be the end of us, your research has to halt, man We can't maintain control; alignment isn't the default, man So just in case, slow down your pace," Eliezer to
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Turing Test(astralcodexten.substack.com)
2 points by gonehome 4y ago|1 comments
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by gonehome 4y ago
Yeah - it doesn't necessarily follow, but the behavior of people working on the technology doesn't inspire a lot of confidence. Even if people were trying to constrain its access seriously I think that's unlikely to work (har
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by gonehome 4y ago
While I appreciate you find my argument persuasive - imo this style of comment will do more to alienate those replying to me that disagree than to persuade them.
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by gonehome 4y ago
For clarity I think EY has made that case well, I think it's the heuristic Cohen and Pinker are relying on that's right most of the time but can still be catastrophically wrong (everything so far has not lead to human extinction,
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by gonehome 4y ago
It's a narrower argument that I'm making - it's not about LLMs or implementation (can put those details aside), it's about possibility that a superintelligent AGI could be created, there's nothing magical about biol
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by gonehome 4y ago
That position is only held in the case where the major world governments are actually able to coordinate on a policy position and ban. It's also explicitly about what such enforcement of that position would really require to be effecti
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by gonehome 4y ago
I'd argue the dismissals are a lot more handwavy. The simplified argument is: - Superintelligent AGI that can modify itself in pursuit of a goal is possible. - If that AGI is not aligned with human goals it very likely ends in the end
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by gonehome 4y ago
Take a smart human and speed up their thinking a billion times, you get the time for free. What takes humanity a decade of effort could happen in a day (or faster) that's the nature of thinking faster. People often mistakenly model a s
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by gonehome 4y ago
When humans build a dam an ant hill might get destroyed. Humans don’t hate ants, they just have other goals. In the case of an unaligned superintelligent AGI those goals may be something that just happens to satisfy its reward function but
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by gonehome 4y ago
In a world where humans develop superintelligence, what would you predict to see beforehand? Does what we’re seeing look like failure? I’ve always found the dismissals of EY’s arguments to be pretty weak and people rarely engage on the actu
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by gonehome 4y ago
Probably? I think that was one of the options iirc (ownership by an American company via a sale), but I don't really know enough about the specifics to have a strong position on the implementation.
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by gonehome 4y ago
I think fooster's point is that Xi had to eventually give in to pressure from "the electorate and [China]-based stakeholders" as evidenced by the CCP having to eventually abandon its zero covid policy, so there are some con
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by gonehome 4y ago
I don’t claim there is nothing lost, only that the cost is worth it on net. An even simpler threshold is that banning it is a reasonable position to hold given the issue even if you may disagree.
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by gonehome 4y ago
There’s a distinction between adversaries trying to cause trouble within American companies and a foreign hostile government effectively owning the company and dictating policy in its own interests.
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by gonehome 4y ago
It's it's the meta/instagram tiktok clone.
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by gonehome 4y ago
New accounts on issues like this always make me wary of the 50cent party (kind of a case-in-point example of the kind of nation state influence operations and risk). [0] It shouldn’t have gotten to this level, but it’s where we are. Users w
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by gonehome 4y ago
Do you think the USG would have allowed the USSR to buy NBC? These aren’t new issues, there are certain types of corporations where there is a national security interest in American ownership and capability (see also: Intel). Ownership of a
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by gonehome 4y ago
The data isn’t the risk, it’s more the ability for CCP to leverage influence. https://stratechery.com/2020/the-tiktok-war/ Dialing up things to cause unrest, dialing down stuff critical of the CCP. It’s not an iss

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