gjm11

23 ms·

211.
by gjm11 1y ago
Using a monospaced typeface for that purpose isn't only convention; it reflects the fact that when those commands are typed literally, it will be in a terminal which almost certainly itself uses a monospaced typeface. I think I'd
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by gjm11 1y ago
Sure. But all those things you just said are about the AI systems' ability to come up with new ideas versus their knowledge of existing ones. And that doesn't have much to do with whether or not they're good at simple spellin
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by gjm11 1y ago
wredcoll doesn't mean that COVID-19 was good for the US, any more than they mean that 9/11 was good for the US. They mean (rightly or wrongly) that it should have been easy for the sitting US government to respond to it in a way t
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by gjm11 1y ago
More fool you. There are two separate "the story"s. One is a story about Hunter Biden's laptop. One is a story about political interference and/or bias at Twitter. At least some of the story about Hunter Biden's lap
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by gjm11 1y ago
In case anyone's wondering: the HN title has now been changed to be more informative than the original article title, which was something like "4.6 billion years on, the sun is having a moment".
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by gjm11 1y ago
Side-note: for me, at least, "salty" isn't anything to do with tears; in my idiolect when someone's "salty" it doesn't mean they're sad , it means they're angry or offended or something alon
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by gjm11 1y ago
For what it's worth, it didn't throw one up for me. Anyway, for anyone wondering what's beyond the slightly clickbaity headline, it isn't about some astronomical phenomenon; the subheading reads "In the past two yea
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by gjm11 1y ago
Yup, LLMs are very different from human brains, so whatever they have isn't intelligence as we know it . But ... 1. If the subtext is "not intelligence as we know it, but something much inferior ": that may or may not be tr
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by gjm11 1y ago
Patel isn't saying that AGI is still very, very far away. He says his best estimate is 2032 and "ASI" in 2028 is "a totally plausible outcome". (He thinks it might be quite a long way away: "the 2030s or even
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by gjm11 1y ago
I think your reasoning could stand to be made more explicit.
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by gjm11 1y ago
I think you're absolutely right that judging LLMs' "intelligence" on their ability to count letters is silly. But there's something else, something that to my mind is much more damning, in that conversation WaltPurv
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by gjm11 1y ago
FWIW, when I put <<linux create file image encrypted file system>> into Google (this was the first thing I tried, though without knowledge that it might be a tricky case I might have been less careful picking keywords) I get wha
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by gjm11 1y ago
For what it's worth, I had a similar "that looks like AI writing" response, and it wasn't because it was "too polished". And having looked at the rest of your comment history, the only reason why I'm only
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by gjm11 1y ago
(Not GP, but:) LLMs' initial training is specifically for token-prediction. However, this doesn't mean that what they end up doing is specifically token-prediction (except in the sense that anything that generates textual output
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by gjm11 1y ago
On the other hand: > Every note in Obsidian. Every half-baked atomic thought, every Zettelkasten slip, every carefully linked concept map. (4, though I suppose you could argue it's 1 + 3) > But over time, my second brain became a
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by gjm11 1y ago
Given that so far the nearest things to successful AR glasses have been produced by Google and Meta, I think the relationship between wearing AR glasses and seeing ads is unlikely to go the way you are hoping. (I too would love there to be
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by gjm11 1y ago
Right. And I think that using "Rationality" as a name for the movement as opposed to its goals does amount to making that claim, which is one reason why (so far as I can see) EY never actually uses the word in quite that way a
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by gjm11 1y ago
Happy to agree-to-disagree but I will push on it just one bit more. Let's take the chess analogy. I take it you agree that I would very reliably lose if I played Magnus Carlsen at chess; he's got more than 1000 Elo points on me. B
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by gjm11 1y ago
No, absolutely nothing wrong with setting ambitious and unreachable targets. Reach for the stars and you might at least get to the moon, etc. But if you say "I'm an effective altruist" then you are claiming to actually be
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by gjm11 1y ago
The term "catholic", meaning universal, was used very early. It wasn't used to distinguish the entity now often called the Catholic Church from other Christian groups, so far as I know, until much later. I agree that some Chr
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by gjm11 1y ago
> That post came out a year later [...] multiple links showing how much the SMTM post was spreading through the rationalist community with little question. The SMTM series started in July 2021 and finished in November 2021; there was als
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by gjm11 1y ago
My understanding of the Yudkowskian argument for AI x-risk is that a key step is along the lines of "an AI much smarter than us will find ways to get what it wants even if we want something else -- even though we can't predict now
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by gjm11 1y ago
I don't think "rationality" is a good name for the movement, for the same reason as I wish "effective altruism" had picked a different name: it conflates the goal with the achievement of the goal . A rationalist
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by gjm11 1y ago
Lockstep like this? https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7iAABhWpcGeP5e6SB/it-s-proba... (a post on Less Wrong, karma score currently +442, versus +102 and +230 for the two posts it cites as earlier favourable LW cover
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by gjm11 1y ago
This complaint seems to amount to "They believe something is very important, just like religious people do, therefore they're basically a religion". Which feels to me like rather too broad a notion of "religion".
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by gjm11 1y ago
In fairness, that's (allegedly, at least; I guess he could be lying) a quotation from another person. If someone came up to you and said "Aren't you the guy who's essentially[1] always right?", wouldn't you too
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by gjm11 1y ago
Pretty much every movement does this sort of thing. Religions: "Catholic" actually means "universal" (implication: all the real Christians are among our number). "Orthodox" means "teaching the right thin
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by gjm11 1y ago
> both can be true Yes! It can be true both that rationalists tend, more than almost any other group, to admit and try to take account of their uncertainty about things they say and that it's fun to dunk on them for being arroga
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by gjm11 1y ago
Less of this culture-war nonsense here, please. Especially in a thread about something completely unrelated. (No, the fact that the exec in question is female doesn't make it related. If they'd been male then someone could equal
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by gjm11 1y ago
This rebuttal-of-a-rebuttal looks to me as if it gets one (fairly important) thing right but pretty much everything else wrong. (Not all in the same direction; the rebuttal^2 fails to point out what seems to me to be the single biggest defi

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