ghaff

18 ms·

421.
by ghaff 6mo ago
I will definitely take a look. Anecdote but I’m familiar with one multi-year example of a small casual prediction market that seemed like a very good predictor and another one that I don’t have the data from that seemed effective as well ov
422.
by ghaff 6mo ago
I dove into the prediction markets rabbit hole a number of years back. And I’ve personally seen witnessed scenarios where the wisdom of crowds seems to really work. What I have not really—including in this piece—read is rigorous theory of w
423.
by ghaff 6mo ago
A lot more recently than that--and even today but more under the table. A lot of clubs still excluded members within the past few decades.
424.
by ghaff 6mo ago
I built PCs for a number of years and then I shifted to some combinations of RPis, MacBooks, and (maybe) Mac Minis. It was a (long) phase that involved quite a bit of money as well as frustration oftentimes but almost certainly not going to
425.
by ghaff 6mo ago
Which is, funnily (?) enough, how a lot of IRL organizations used to be. And basically don't be of the wrong ethnicity or religion. It still happens more informally today, of course, but it used to be a pretty (if un-spoken) part of ho
426.
by ghaff 6mo ago
And when my kitchen had to get rebuilt after a fire, I got neither. There are better synthetics for countertops and good tile is generally better for the floors. Maybe new houses are being built with granite and hardwood floors but they&#x2
427.
by ghaff 6mo ago
I just booked for the fall to London. Roundtrip was around $1200 from eastern US in economy with a couple of minor upgrades which is high but not ridiculous. The increment is basically a couple nights of hotels and meals. I've paid mor
428.
by ghaff 6mo ago
Personally, I think it's good to have at least occasional 1:1s because a lot comes out informally. That said my "weekly" 1:1s with a fairly long-term manager mostly turned into more or less monthlies because we both traveled
429.
by ghaff 6mo ago
I think if I'm honest, I don't deeply know everything about most of the products that I use. And if I were to dive deeply, I would spend all my time learning products than doing anything with them.
430.
by ghaff 6mo ago
I'm not sure the professional sports analogies carry over very well. With very rare exceptions, professional athletes are just not as good athletically at 40/50 as they were at 20. They may be smarter in some ways--which maybe mea
431.
by ghaff 6mo ago
I do think there’s been some power law concentration since Covid and you can blame Instagram or whatever but still seems like a real phenomenon in my personal experience.
432.
by ghaff 6mo ago
And pay $1 a minute for long distance and even not so long distance calls. Not sure how everything balances out inflation and function adjusted but not convinced entertainment is broadly more expensive these days.
433.
by ghaff 6mo ago
Without researching, I would say the 2000s. They held off for a long time. As you suggest, it was a somewhat stodgy paper for ages that didn't really need photos prior to getting into more "lifestyle" and such topics later.
434.
by ghaff 6mo ago
And literally (at least in the correct meaning of the term) I just spent 30 minutes trying to get a theater ticket into my wallet from my computer and was able to do so only after I switched to my phone. I'll make a printout anyway whi
435.
by ghaff 6mo ago
I basically only fly one airline. But I generally try to store train passes, airline tickets, show tickets, etc. in the wallet when I can especially if I can't easily print a backup print copy--which is often an effort if I'm trav
436.
by ghaff 6mo ago
I'm not 80 but do have a backup credit card and debit card and I do travel. So it's not so much "daily basis" but I do have a handful of cards that I keep with me.
437.
by ghaff 6mo ago
It's not seamless but a lot of people seem to be like "do your research" and install 8 different apps if you're traveling to a bunch of cities. And, yeah, anything that decreases the friction is good. I maybe know how to
438.
by ghaff 6mo ago
I don't know about most used app. But it seems a useful backup for specific vendor/site-specific apps when traveling for a variety of reasons. It gives me a ticket for a specific purpose on my phone when I may not be in a position
439.
by ghaff 6mo ago
And, meanwhile, I want to have a physical card/printout I can use if something goes wrong with phone/watch. Don't get me wrong, I do appreciate the apps on my electronic devices but I also carry paper copies whenever I can be
440.
by ghaff 6mo ago
I'll have to see the workflow but I find it incredibly annoying to have tickets that you may or may not be able to put in the Wallet and maybe we'll send them to you a week before the event when you're traveling. Understand a
441.
by ghaff 6mo ago
There are a lot of things that aren't dead exactly but are certainly at some small percentage of their peak popularity. Not Internet, but I like to give rollerblading/in-line skating as example. Yes, you may see someone doing it e
442.
by ghaff 6mo ago
There are multiple kinds of meetings. There are the status updates that it's often good for people to know about even if only in a half-listening and simultaneously replying to emails sense. They're at least aware in a way that th
443.
by ghaff 6mo ago
I didn't really work on any games formally. Knew a lot of the folks from school and after and did some informal testing and feedback.
444.
by ghaff 6mo ago
Especially in larger organizations, it's easy to lose track of all the distributed soft costs that DIY can bring (and all the bus factors that may be involved). There are lots of people that kinda want to get paid and get benefits and
445.
by ghaff 6mo ago
And they really went all-in on Cornerstone at a time when PC databases, as you say, had really cornered a (shrinking) market. Even MS Access arguably ended up as something of a footnote. Not that text adventure games, even with some graphic
446.
by ghaff 6mo ago
Infocom came out of the MIT AI Lab which was very LISP-centric at the time. Depending upon you you listen to, the gaming part was something of a side effect as opposed to the ultimate goal.
447.
by ghaff 6mo ago
The road signage even says to get in the right lane after the bus stop where the bike lane temporarily ends.
448.
by ghaff 6mo ago
No, I'm saying most cyclists are reasonable but I've been on crowded trails with elevation changes where they haven't been and have acted as if they had the right of way and have sometimes gotten pissy if I didn't get ou
449.
by ghaff 6mo ago
In the nearest fairly large city, there's a (sometimes separated) bike lane, a bus lane, traffic lane, and turning lane which all intersect to various degrees. It's all clear as mud especially after dark when both bicycles and ped
450.
by ghaff 6mo ago
I don't find cyclists especially obnoxious on the rail-trails I often walk on. But I have walked on rail-trails with a lot of bicycles where various people got pretty pissy because I wouldn't step off the trail every minute.

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