fspeech

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451.
Airborne transmission as the dominant route for the spread of Covid-19(pnas.org)
4 points by fspeech 6y ago|2 comments
452.
A coronavirus mystery: How many people in L.A. have Covid-19?(latimes.com)
1 points by fspeech 6y ago|0 comments
453.
Coronavirus Epidemics Began Later Than Believed, Study Concludes(nytimes.com)
7 points by fspeech 6y ago|0 comments
454.
by fspeech 6y ago
A mutated virus that spreads faster gives immunity to the hosts it infects from the ones that spread slower. The hope is that the more transmissible strain is also less lethal.
455.
by fspeech 6y ago
True but both are prodrugs and GS-441524 is downstream on the metabolic chain from Remdesivir.
456.
by fspeech 6y ago
That is why gp used an IFR to estimate the number of infections. They already took untested infections into account.
457.
Tackling Rumors of a Suspicious Origin of NCoV2019(virological.org)
1 points by fspeech 6y ago|0 comments
458.
Government Orders Alone Didn’t Close the Economy(nytimes.com)
2 points by fspeech 6y ago|0 comments
459.
by fspeech 6y ago
In my county people are told it is okay to go to ER. Hospitals publish data showing they don't have in hospital transmission. But ER visits are down and people delay their visits sometimes with tragic outcome. People are making their o
460.
Is It Safe to Come Out of Lockdown? Check the Sewer(nytimes.com)
3 points by fspeech 6y ago|0 comments
461.
With Crispr, a Possible Quick Test for the Coronavirus(nytimes.com)
4 points by fspeech 6y ago|0 comments
462.
by fspeech 6y ago
Note the dates: Event 201 was held on 10/18/2019; linked JHU report was published on 11/6/2019.
463.
Event 201 envisions a fast-spreading coronavirus with a devastating impact(hub.jhu.edu)
3 points by fspeech 6y ago|1 comments
464.
by fspeech 6y ago
On 10/18/2019 US held a pandemic simulation that happened to focus on coronavirus (the director of Chinese CDC was also involved): "That center's latest pandemic simulation, Event 201, dropped participants right in the m
465.
by fspeech 6y ago
Is it standard to report antibody concentration in μg/ml? How likely is it to deliver the reported IC50 to the lung? Also do antibody typically not have cytotoxic concentration because of their specificity?
466.
by fspeech 6y ago
Because individually it does not work. If you cut and oil price does not go up as much as your cut percentage wise you actually lose revenue. And your competitors who don't cut benefit from any price rise. It is not easy to maintain a
467.
The Initiation and Spread of Pandemic Covid-19 in the United States(cdc.gov)
1 points by fspeech 6y ago|0 comments
468.
by fspeech 6y ago
I think what is clear is that China, the initial epicenter, exported far fewer cases than Europe. This can be seen by examining countries around China and far more integrated with China and overseas Chinese communities. Really this is a dis
469.
by fspeech 6y ago
Even granting what you just said it is still far from your 20% claim. And your way of averaging does not make sense. For example in March there was a day when 3 tests were reported with 1 test positive for a whopping positive rate of 33%, w
470.
by fspeech 6y ago
The article you linked to shows that the positive rate mostly hovers in single digits.
471.
by fspeech 6y ago
And yet the Chinese community in Italy didn't suffer much from Covid outbreaks https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-italy-... , neither did Chinatown in San Francisco https://www.nytimes
472.
by fspeech 6y ago
The 30 year TIPS are yielding at -0.22%. In other words people holding ultra safe investment are expected to lose money in real terms year after year for 30 years. BTW the 30 year TIPS gained around 30% in value over the last year.
473.
by fspeech 6y ago
Not if the effect size is large. That would be proved in no time. The problem is so far all effect sizes are small, so it will take trials with large power (and longer term) to discern any positive benefit.
474.
by fspeech 6y ago
That report on what Fauci said is a bit garbled. The NIH news release is here: https://www.niaid.nih.gov/news-events/nih-clinical-trial-sho...
475.
by fspeech 6y ago
You blame the shelter-in-place order which actually improves over an uncoordinated economic shutdown that the epidemic is fully capable of generating on its own. You can't separate the effect of the shelter-in-place order from that of
476.
by fspeech 6y ago
DHS has a Master Question List for Covid-19 https://www.dhs.gov/publication/st-master-question-list-covi... that is actually very good, with a long list of published references. It is also updated weekly so it is quite
477.
by fspeech 6y ago
For any test that is not given randomly or universally, there is a selection bias. A test given based on severity of symptoms bias heavily against patients with light symptoms, presumably younger people. But to get from 7% (hospitalized to
478.
by fspeech 6y ago
In San Diego people under 30 are close to 20% of total confirmed and over 5% of hospitalized cases. About 7% of confirmed are hospitalized for this age group. Our positive test ratio is under 7%. Tests are constrained by policy but not dram
479.
by fspeech 6y ago
It is now thought that the virus can also infect cells in the nose. Cough and nasal discharge could also bring virus from deeper parts of the body to the nasal passage.
480.
by fspeech 6y ago
I would say even if the study is merely statistical error, using it to give an implausibly low estimate of the IFR that just happens to fit the agenda of one author qualifies as cherry picking. A priori you can not use a test with high fals

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