frognumber

7 ms·

31.
by frognumber 9mo ago
Years ago, I picked cell carrier because of this. When I ran out, it switched to O(200kbps), which is fine for email, basic web search, etc. It was actually a bit ironic that, at the time, you could burn through the whole high-speed quota i
32.
by frognumber 1y ago
I think you're wrong, and you're underestimating the transformational impact of Ad-Words. Free internet existed before paid internet, true, but mostly because people did things for other motives (like fun). Altavista was a tech de
33.
by frognumber 1y ago
Pick a university, and given them $1B to never use Windows, MacOS, Android, Linux, or anything other than homebrew? To kick-start, given them machines with Plan9, ITS, or an OS based on LISP / Smalltalk / similar? Or just microcon
34.
by frognumber 1y ago
An isolated monastic order in the hills around the Himalayas should ideally be completely isolated from Overwatch and .docx files.
35.
by frognumber 1y ago
Absolutely not. Software is bloated in part because it's built in layers. People wrap things over, and over, and over. Stripping down layers is neigh-impossible later. Starting from scratch is easy. Starting from scratch fails in pract
36.
by frognumber 1y ago
> Love this idea and wondering where that low cost of living place would be Parts of Africa and India are very much like that. I would guess other places too. I'd pick a hill station in India, or maybe some place higher up in sub-Sa
37.
by frognumber 1y ago
John describes exactly what I'd like someone to build: "To make something really different, and not get drawn into the gravity well of existing solutions, you practically need an isolated monastic order of computer engineers.&quot
38.
by frognumber 1y ago
As a former EE, it's not just pay. The cog-in-a-machine corporate culture is not fun. Tech culture is much healthier. There's no upside to big electronics companies here.
39.
by frognumber 1y ago
My bill for LLMs is going up over time. The more capable, higher-context models dramatically increase my productivity. The spend prices most of the developing world out -- an programmer earning $10k per year can't pay for a $200/m
40.
by frognumber 1y ago
I think you're talking about much shorter timelines than I am. That's all noise.
41.
by frognumber 1y ago
I always consider different options when planning for the future, but I'll give the argument for exponential: Progress has been exponential in the generic. We made approximately the same progress in the past 100 years as the prior 1000
42.
by frognumber 1y ago
Personally, my estimate of a rational valuation would be: $1-2T with no legal risk. $300B assuming a rational and uncorrupt government, which should, at some point, kick them back to non-profit status, and convict people for fraud Of course
43.
by frognumber 1y ago
3 second with a web search would bring up citations: https://duckduckgo.com/?t=ffab&q=gpu+lifespan&ia=web You'll need to scroll past the ones talking about obsolescence versus failure. Toss in 'data center
44.
by frognumber 1y ago
> Another possibility that has long been on my personal list of “future articles to write” is that the future of computing may look more like used cars. If there is little meaningful difference between a chip manufactured in 2035 and a c
45.
by frognumber 1y ago
There's a numerator and a denominator. The numerator is fine for what you're saying -- the number of merged PRs. The denominator varies wildly based on whether or not the PR is made. If codex makes nonsense, I don't ask it to
46.
by frognumber 1y ago
Missing data: I don't make a codex PR if it's nonsense. Poor data: If I make one, I either if I want to: a) Merge it (success) b) Modify it (sometimes success, sometimes not). In one case, Codex made the wrong changes in all the r
47.
by frognumber 1y ago
It's common knowledge. See, e.g.: https://lunary.ai/blog/openai-developer-role
48.
by frognumber 1y ago
False. There is a 3-level hierarchy: System prompt > Developer prompt > User chat You provide that middle level.
49.
by frognumber 1y ago
When I bought my car, TCO for manual was higher than for automatic. Base purchase price was about $500 lower, but required a pretty frequent maintenance schedule. Automatic was nearly maintenance-free (although the little maintenance requir
50.
by frognumber 1y ago
I'll give a few examples. * Learning biology, memorize terms like "anabolic reaction" or "reverse transcriptase" * Learning algebra, memorize major groups like S_n or GL_n * Learning statistics, memorize the major p
51.
by frognumber 1y ago
People do dumb things in stressful situations. To your "I beat my wife because I caught them cheating" example, there's a world of difference between: 1) I walked in. An argument and a fight ensued. 2) I found out about it, w
52.
by frognumber 1y ago
People do dumb things in stressful situations. To your "I beat my wife because I caught them cheating" example, there's a world of difference between: 1) I walked in. An argument and a fight ensued. 2) I found out about it, w
53.
by frognumber 1y ago
I'm curious what's responsible for the current uptick.
54.
by frognumber 1y ago
I'm not sure what you're asking. Let's say I beat someone bloody. We can play through several scenarios: - Someone broke into my house, and I was fearful for my life - Plain clothes police broke into my house, and I was fearf
55.
by frognumber 1y ago
Ergo, I posted a link to an analogous legal situation in Massachusetts. We can agree with what the judge did, but it doesn't make it legal. We can also agree that ICE is breaking laws, but it also doesn't make what the judge did l
56.
by frognumber 1y ago
I usually read coverage from different sides. If you don't realize where she screwed up, look at Fox News. If you don't realize where the FBI screwed up, look at NY Times. Fox News perspective is that she broke court procedures in
57.
by frognumber 1y ago
The truth is somewhere in the middle. There was a similar case in Massachusetts many years back. It never went to trial, and legal analysis could go both ways. The bargain struct was it would go into secretive judicial oversight channels. T
58.
by frognumber 1y ago
You're downvoted because ICE did not have a warrant. ICE prints pieces of paper which they call "administrative warrants." Those were never reviewed by a judge and are internal ICE documents. An administrative warrant is not
59.
by frognumber 1y ago
Then you have issue with reading comprehension. The whole point of the discussion was this: "The time to do this was about a decade ago. Apps, open formats, open USB protocols, open wifi / bluetooth protocols, and semi-open firmwa
60.
by frognumber 1y ago
Marginally on-topic: I'd love if the charts included prior models, including GPT 4 and 3.5. Not all systems upgrade every few months. A major question is when we reach step-improvements in performance warranting a re-eval, redesign of

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