feral

25 ms·

181.
by feral 10y ago
I think the strongly worded logic in your post is questionable. > There is zero actionable difference between a limit that doesn't exist, and a limit that is unknowable and unguessable. Thought experiment: Situation 1: I rely on a s
182.
by feral 10y ago
Thanks. About the second part of my question - are you doing much the same stuff as JAGS/Stan? Like, they do a lot of work to make sure that their MCMC is validly converging to the posterior - does Bayadera make similar guarantees? I
183.
by feral 10y ago
Any hint how much faster? Not looking for defensible benchmarks, but are you talking an order of magnitude? Multiple orders? Does it make the same probabilistic guarantees as the methods used in Stan etc? Or is it trading validity for sp
184.
by feral 10y ago
> Detect if someone is using a covert breakthrough AI system in the world. I bet the real purpose of this is not "It seems important to detect this", at least against superhuman AGI. As that's asking you to win a game agai
185.
by feral 10y ago
'Proofs' done by humans are done within a certain context; there's usually a lot that goes unstated, or is left unexamined at the finest level of detail. Generally that isn't a problem and the 'small' details
186.
by feral 10y ago
Sure, yeah, I see that the monarch doesn't exercise much power; from the outside, the monarchy doesn't look like a practical problem. Until I read [commenter from military family on HN] talking about sworn allegiances when "
187.
by feral 10y ago
>If push came to shove, the armed forces swear their allegiance to the British monarch, I really find it difficult to believe its a desirable state of affairs that the army in a 'democracy' swears allegiance to a hereditary mon
188.
by feral 10y ago
I do accept it is evidence - but I don't think I would say a strong indicator, and it doesn't justify the strong conclusions made that the process is completely arbitrary. - It's imbalanced classification: there are going to
189.
by feral 10y ago
To make a specific point, without prejudice to the main points of the blog post: >One of the open secrets of working in technology is that technical interviews are completely worthless as a predictor for whether someone is a good hire or
190.
by feral 10y ago
The rainfall is given in 'mm', right - this means area has been controlled for? I.e. its the amount of rain, in milimeters, that would fall in a given area. This is how rainfall is normally measured. Unless you are trying to say s
191.
by feral 10y ago
Question: "Build a household robot" is high up the list. That doesn't seem inherently 'general'. Certainly, people have been working on that for years; there are all sorts of subproblems like vision, contextual reas
192.
by feral 10y ago
I've given this a good bit of thought; I'm sure its easy to generate plausible deniability, but actually masking relationships is not as simple as it sounds, as an adversary will easily filter out random noise. You would need chaf
193.
by feral 10y ago
I think it's a bit more complicated than that. Consider the game of 'Go' - there's a very small amount of rules, and once you know those, you know all the rules, but there is still a lot of higher-level strategy to learn
194.
by feral 10y ago
> (same developers, different series) It doesn't affect your point, but Secret of Evermore was actually very unusual in that was developed by an American team.
195.
by feral 10y ago
Couple of nit-pics: > you come across a small, glowing light — something that’ll entice any gamer in search of loot That small glowing light is not a UI element to highlight the tutorial – instead, it's what a 'save point'
196.
by feral 10y ago
But it's not true. The nature of profit is that you make more than you spend. But that does not mean you take more than you give - value is also created in the exchange (or at least it should be). (Maybe that is what you're pointi
197.
by feral 10y ago
>when I can simply go do as many traditional interviews as I want, with the top 10 companies in my field (that are also not using starfighters.io), get multiple job offers that I can use for leverage/negotiation But I bet many of th
198.
by feral 10y ago
I'd love to hear Chomsky's reaction to this stuff (or someone in his camp on the Chomsky vs. Norvig debate [0]). My understanding is that Chomsky was against statistical approaches to AI, as being scientifically un-useful - eventu
199.
by feral 10y ago
Yes, but does it work? I cannot tell from reading the introductory materials whether it will actually search efficiently over large space (where it is computationally expensive to evaluate the fitness of any individual point). I know that f
200.
by feral 10y ago
I think, in the spirit of the community, you should provide some argument for why you think that, rather than just state your judgement. From a fairly outsider perspective, Maciej/idlewords seems to dislike SV & VC culture (for lot
201.
by feral 10y ago
Broadly disagree with you here. How long have you spent looking into it? I wrote an academic paper on Bitcoin; now, I don't understand e.g. the detailed cryptanalysis of SHA256, which it uses. But I've a pretty solid understandin
202.
by feral 10y ago
Freesynd looks like its for 'Syndicate' - this is for 'Syndicate Wars' which was the sequel to Syndicate. As a player, they were quite different games and engines.
203.
by feral 10y ago
Having read many books/online courses, I strongly recommend this: http://www.amazon.com/Doing-Bayesian-Data-Analysis-Second/dp... It gives a gentle but through introduction from first principles; lots of good intu
204.
by feral 11y ago
I'm no domain expert here, just a random HN user. But I think this looks cool though, is trying to solve a real problem. My first thought: This is a very big problem space to be tackling all at once. Massively huge. I could see it tak
205.
by feral 11y ago
[Disclaimer: I previously worked for Optimizely as predictive analytics PM - but no longer work there, and don't speak for the company.] Optimizely has a bandit based 'traffic auto-allocation' feature in production on select
206.
by feral 11y ago
>It would be surprising to me if Philby's comments were a coincidence. Why do you need handlers or propagandists to attribute this to? Couldn't this simply be what he believed? He was an ideologically motivated spy after all.
207.
by feral 11y ago
This is a nice write-up. That said, I hope this is less of a surprise to people now: I coauthored one of the first pieces of working pointing out basically these same issues back in 2011 - almost 5 years ago: http://anonymity-in-
208.
by feral 11y ago
I wasn't involved in that specific implementation decision, so can't say. Speculating personally, it was probably just something that happened for speed/ease - as opposed to trying to get an apparently abandoned repo rolling
209.
by feral 11y ago
Second that experience: When I was at Optimizely, my team chose Druid for a large-scale analytics application, after a pretty extensive benchmarking. It was very impressive, though not trivial to set up. Blog post with a bit more detail:
210.
by feral 11y ago
>Even if he's short the euro, it kinda seems that no single famous, connected billionaire can make or break the euro. It's, like, a really, really big, erm, thing. The euro is bigger than GBP, but: You do know he broke the Bri

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