fdsaaf

17 ms·

121.
by fdsaaf 10y ago
I think betting markets are prone to wishful thinking; there's no guarantee that errors of reasoning toward one side or the other will cancel out, since it's perfectly reasonable to imagine that errors in one direction are more co
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by fdsaaf 10y ago
I don't think it's so much the forgetting of history as much as overreach on the part of those who would try to deny that human nature exists. When people can see all around them that gender, nationality, race, and religion convey
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by fdsaaf 10y ago
Bradley effect: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect (Also known as social desirability bias) Lots of people say in public that they're in favor of immigration, unity, and tolerance, because lots of people
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by fdsaaf 10y ago
And there's nothing wrong with that, since if you view A and B as actors, they're both (because they're inhuman corporations) psychopathic monsters who will fuck you over in an instant
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by fdsaaf 10y ago
Good. You know what? In a world where overzealous HR departments can fire valuable contributors out of the blue for infractions only HR is responsible enough to know, fuck a two week notice. If HR is going to make employment adversarial, le
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by fdsaaf 10y ago
http://www.ironbridgellc.net/PDF/hidden_risks_of_passive_inv... is an interesting countervailing read
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by fdsaaf 10y ago
But when everyone invests in everything equally, we all end up investing in nothing!
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by fdsaaf 10y ago
The risk worries me too. Look at it this way: the whole purpose of a market is to allocate capital to productive ends. If everyone invests in index funds, market capitalization (and thus capital allocation) becomes a function of inertia and
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by fdsaaf 10y ago
The article says that a 100-mile 765kV transmission line loses 1.5% to 0.5%. Let's be optimistic and assume we can get closer to the latter and deliver 99.5% of original power over 100 miles. NYC-LON is 3,466 miles on the shortest poss