ericmay

10 ms·

121.
by ericmay 27d ago
> they won't do it because they're rational actors who understand mutually assured destruction It's both. The Iranians are rational within their own cultural understanding of what rational actions are. It's not ratio
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by ericmay 27d ago
> If global oil and gas prices rise, Chinese electricity and transport prices are largely unaffected, unlike the rest of the world. Even the US doesn't have that kind of resilience. This is simply inaccurate. I don't know why y
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by ericmay 27d ago
Let me ask you a question. Can you explain over the last 5 years any bad or unjust thing Iran has done? I'm curious what your list is.
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by ericmay 27d ago
They deny access to “military sites” where nuclear research is done. I mean it’s not like they’re stupid or something.
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by ericmay 27d ago
> So your argument is its cool that we killed children because they've also killed children? Hell of a take. No my take is we do it by accident and they do it on purpose and at a much larger scale and instead of pearl clutching abou
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by ericmay 27d ago
> You really think they are sovereign nations who can pursue an independent nuclear program? Yes? Are you really sitting here telling South Korea, Japan, Germany, and more that they’re not sovereign nations because they choose to have Am
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by ericmay 27d ago
> We've just killed children. They killed more than 30,000 of their own people including children and support terrorist regimes in multiple countries that also kill children. > There's zero evidence its less possible On the
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by ericmay 27d ago
Then what is the point of a nuclear weapon? You're saying they won't use it anyway?
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by ericmay 27d ago
Bad argument for many reasons (and lazy). But Maduro was a criminal, supported Russia evading US and EU sanctions, and his gang and their disastrous economic policies resulted in around 1/3rd of Venezuelans leaving the country resultin
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by ericmay 27d ago
Nuclear weapons are a special case though. Plus Ukraine didn't have the ability to use them anyway without launch codes as far as I'm aware.
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by ericmay 27d ago
> Just to be clear: the current situation is a huge mess caused by one deranged leader. Sorry that's just dead wrong. This doesn't happen in a vacuum. I mean you could simply add Netanyahu and make your statement incorrect here
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by ericmay 27d ago
Well that's a big IF. Iran wasn't allowing inspections, also we shouldn't need a special deal with Iran or else they build nuclear bombs and try to kill people. But what I meant was that if a weapon was used we'd be able
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by ericmay 27d ago
It's not entirely created by Israel, and most of the militants are just lunatics who are thankfully killed. But that doesn't excuse Iranian funding of other militant groups in Lebanon, Syria, Yemen, or Iraq. Nor does it excuse Ira
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by ericmay 27d ago
But using your own reasoning then Iran is a signatory of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty so they are also throwing out a structured system that doesn't comply with their own feelings.
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by ericmay 27d ago
India and Pakistan both rushed their programs back in the 40s/50s ( or maybe later I can't recall off the top of my head). Libya and South Africa were negotiated away. That leaves Israel probably from the, what, 70s or 80s? And No
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by ericmay 27d ago
The US is the largest producer of oil and natural gas in the world (or #2 or something - besides the point). Your argument that only China can weather these price disruptions doesn't seem to hold water for that reason and because of Ch
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by ericmay 27d ago
> I understand history and contemporary events is not your strong suit, I'd check your understanding but ok. > but such a deal was very much on the table in December 2021 and the Biden Admin laughed it off. What was the deal then
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by ericmay 27d ago
I don't think there's any change. But I think it's less possible.
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by ericmay 27d ago
> They share a "land" border through the Caspian sea and smuggling a few 10s of kilos of enriched material would be relatively easy. I'm not a nuclear weapons expert but from what I understand the United States and othe
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by ericmay 27d ago
Anchoring on this deal is a waste of time. We shouldn't have had to have a deal in the first place. They could just join other responsible countries like, idk, Vietnam, Brazil, and hmmm who else, Switzerland! in not pursuing nuclear we
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by ericmay 27d ago
> The continual attack on the sovereignty of countries around the world has made nuclear weapons one of the few ways to Name the other countries pursuing a nuclear weapon. Maybe you are drumming up a fear that nobody else really has.
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by ericmay 27d ago
You can be mad at America and ignore Iran's role if you want, but that doesn't lead you to anywhere productive. The United States like any country is an actor on the world stage that has interests and can take action to defend or
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by ericmay 27d ago
> Iran clearly has the capability to flatten every major hospital and university and desalination plant in Israel, like Israel has done in Gaza, but they don't. I'm not supportive of Israel having nuclear weapons, but Iran won&
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by ericmay 27d ago
No that's not the only reason. High oil prices affect their economy quite a bit, and much of their imports form what I understand come from the Middle East.
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by ericmay 27d ago
> Maybe we should have brokered some kinda deal with Iran to prevent them getting a nuclear weapon then, huh. Maybe we should have brokered some kind of deal with Russia to prevent them from invading Ukraine. Do you trust American intell
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by ericmay 27d ago
> Eventually US will have to decide if it’s going to do anything or just live with high oil prices for long or just go back home in a British Suez fashion. This is the flaw in your thinking. It won't be the US who alone decides to
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by ericmay 27d ago
Iran probably wasn't following the JCPOA, denied inspectors access to certain sites, and you'd also have to say you 100% trust American intelligence to verify that Iran isn't building a nuclear weapon in secret and if you wan
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by ericmay 27d ago
Besides the point and whataboutism, but I'm not advocating that Israel should have nuclear weapons. They do, and I'm not sure there's much we can do about it at this point. Same with North Korea. I'm opposed to the proli
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by ericmay 27d ago
Maybe these academics should learn to code now that they’re about to have their lunch eaten too. Boo hoo. Power imbalances exist within academia as well. The professor at MIT has much more access and probably a lighter teaching load than a
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by ericmay 28d ago
> Per capita is worse by definition, unless your arguing that people with higher per capita emissions are somehow more valuable to society than those with lower. By what definition? If Norway has a 100x higher per-capital admissions rate

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