enoch_r

9 ms·

31.
by enoch_r 2y ago
> It's functionally isomorphic to a black box where I make a deposit, every time it denies someone medical treatment I get back monetary reward and I can withdraw my deposit at any time. If we ask ourselves, "Should this black
32.
by enoch_r 2y ago
This: > imagine no market volatility - everything is constant (e.g you've bought bounds) is where everything breaks down. Yes, if you keep all your money under your mattress, which is what's actually modeled here (bonds bear in
33.
by enoch_r 2y ago
It basically means "trust, but not too much."
34.
by enoch_r 2y ago
If the lottery administrator's daughter wins the lottery, he may say "no, no - don't you see, her probability of getting the winning numbers is exactly the same as anyone else's!" But in reality, we can say that: -
35.
by enoch_r 2y ago
Everyone is certainly interested in the long term health of the company. But exogenous shifts like technological change, trade, COVID, etc. might cause the company to go under - or maybe you're just outnumbered by people who make poo
36.
by enoch_r 2y ago
That book strongly reminds me of this review of "On the Road": > On The Road seems to be a picture of a high-trust society. Drivers assume hitchhikers are trustworthy and will take them anywhere. Women assume men are trustworth
37.
by enoch_r 2y ago
Imagine you're on a snowmachine 10 feet south of the North Pole pointing due east. I tell you to ride for 10 miles without turning. You don't need to worry about map projections or anything - just don't turn. When you stop, a
38.
by enoch_r 2y ago
FWIW I did not get that impression at all, and I'm bewildered by all of the combative comments here. It's a cool thought experiment!
39.
by enoch_r 2y ago
> Travel exactly due East. Now, ignore what East means. It's "face east, then travel in a straight line," not "travel due East" (though I agree that the title itself is misleading). IMO, it's a cool thought
40.
by enoch_r 2y ago
To be clear, you're being taxed on the asset's value, not on the unrealized gain. This conversation seems more like: - you make $100k a year - you pay $20k in taxes - one year, you buy a house for $400k - in the next year, its val
41.
by enoch_r 2y ago
I think the media portrayal is quite wrong, but the reality is far worse for the anarchist ideology. Around 1% of people are responsible for 63% of all violent crime convictions: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/24173408&#x2F
42.
by enoch_r 2y ago
> Anarchists are simply people who believe human beings are capable of behaving in a reasonable fashion without having to be forced to. This is an empirical question. It seems to me that even if a good-sized majority of the population is
43.
by enoch_r 2y ago
Do you use the Ark for software developement? How is it? I've been trying to decide whether to take that plunge since it came out...
44.
by enoch_r 3y ago
> the overwhelming groupthink shows there's clearly little critical thinking amongst OpenAI's employees either I suspect incentives play a huge role here. OAI employees are compensated with stock in the for-profit arm of the co
45.
by enoch_r 3y ago
> And across all tasks it's only half a standard deviation, meaning the result is far from significant. I can't read the original article because it's paywalled, but assuming that the original claim is correct ("incre
46.
by enoch_r 3y ago
I'm not saying that Gazan civilians deserve to suffer because they voted for Hamas. I am saying that Hamas tries to inflate the death toll for Gazan civilians (both by lying about that toll, and by taking actions with the express purpo
47.
by enoch_r 3y ago
The numbers we have for IDF civilian deaths in Gaza come from the governmental authority in Gaza. That government authority happens to be Hamas. - Hamas falsely attributes civilian deaths to Israel (as you can see from the "hospital st
48.
by enoch_r 3y ago
The author tweeted the following ( https://twitter.com/CraigMurrayOrg/status/171333500612114051... ): > To be entirely plain. > I have always viscerally opposed war. I have dedicated my life to conflict resolu
49.
by enoch_r 3y ago
That's fair. The most egregious line, I thought, was: "it means treating drunk drivers who barrel into pedestrians just like drivers who suffer a sudden heart attack and veer out of their lane." I took this to mean that we sh
50.
by enoch_r 3y ago
> This means accepting that a man who shoots into a crowd has no more control over his fate than the victims who happen to be in the wrong place at the wrong time. It means treating drunk drivers who barrel into pedestrians just like dri
51.
by enoch_r 3y ago
Not to mention incapacitation! It's really hard to steal cars from prison! A very small percentage of people commit a shockingly high proportion of crime. In NYC, a third of shoplifting cases were committed by 327 people who were arr
52.
by enoch_r 3y ago
This is quite right. Similarly, speeding cameras are incapable of stopping speeding until _AFTER_ the speeding has occurred. Speeding cameras do not prevent crime, they cite people who are accused of speeding. That's why when a speed c
53.
by enoch_r 3y ago
YAML is a superset of JSON, so if you prefer JSON, you can - any valid JSON is also valid YAML.
54.
by enoch_r 3y ago
My claim is that we can't determine what caused a price change by looking at the distributional effects of that price change. I demonstrated this with an example, where we know what caused a price change (supply chain issues for a su
55.
by enoch_r 3y ago
> “Market price” is a hallucination that you can ignore. You’re not forced to go along with it. It's a powerful signal containing important information! You don't have to go along with it, but it may be beneficial to others if
56.
by enoch_r 3y ago
This argument is completely incoherent. You can't study the cause of inflation by looking at the distributional effects of inflation. For example, in 2020 there was a huge increase in demand for used cars, and the price of used car
57.
by enoch_r 3y ago
This is absurd. If you're willing to live somewhere moderately unfashionable, the vast majority of people on HN could easily afford to buy a house. For example, this 4 bed, 2 bath, 1800sf house just sold in Cleveland for $272k: https:
58.
by enoch_r 3y ago
I don't disagree with you at all. My point is that there's a spectrum here from "no cultural value on free speech" to "free speech is the highest principle" and I think it's perfectly coherent to argue tha
59.
by enoch_r 3y ago
I don't think you're actually grappling with the idea of "a cultural principle of free speech" here. If I imagine a culture with the maximum level of respect for free speech as a principle - a strong cultural belief
60.
by enoch_r 3y ago
Intent is absolutely part of the law: https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18/373 > Whoever, with intent that another person engage in conduct constituting a felony that has as an element the use, attem

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