energy123

9 ms·

151.
by energy123 4mo ago
Ramanujan is a case in point. Some people just have it built into them, most others don't.
152.
by energy123 4mo ago
Odd example given the SaaS programmer might be doing actual engineering but the math calculation is not engineering by definition. Which is not to say the latter is not more impressive.
153.
by energy123 4mo ago
Step change makes sense for a smaller provider. You bait people to build on top of you with the best prices, then rug pull and hope the switching costs and economic frictions delay the attrition.
154.
by energy123 4mo ago
The definition of "risk" is such that the existence of it doesn't necessarily make the thing a bad idea to pursue. The Anthropic people probably also believe that AI has the potential to cure all diseases and reduce material
155.
by energy123 4mo ago
He did say unconditional surrender
156.
by energy123 4mo ago
In the medium-term it will become like the F-35 program. A carrot for you to join a particular sphere of influence. In the long-term, things get very weird and unpredictable, in my opinion.
157.
by energy123 4mo ago
> for fear of Mark Carney rolling the tanks in and taking over North America You're saying it's farfetched, yet census data was already used as a tool to assist an extermination campaign: https://www.abc.net.au&#x2
158.
by energy123 4mo ago
Probably just a bigger version of Opus if I had to wager, and Opus is just a bigger version of Sonnet. Maybe some small architectural differences baking in an additional few months of ablation studies/research. But the fundamental driv
159.
by energy123 4mo ago
What we could see is AI access being used as a carrot by the major global powers (US, China and EU) to entice smaller countries to join their orbit. Similar to how the F-35 program functions. Competition between powers and a desire to use t
160.
by energy123 4mo ago
Developed by Terry's older brother at Google
161.
by energy123 4mo ago
Isn't the US self-sufficient in both oil and natural gas? Most impacted is East/South Asia, second most is Europe, then US is the least impacted by far, although the US will experience inflation on imported goods.
162.
by energy123 4mo ago
This would have messed things up for any individual using Claude for anything adjacent to data science. To not know whether or not you're being intentionally sabotaged when you ask it to plot some data.
163.
by energy123 5mo ago
Solar wind storage and transmission like California's grid: https://www.gridstatus.io/live/caiso It might be a little more expensive for them, but it's cheaper when you factor in the costs of pollution which
164.
by energy123 5mo ago
That's what you think they ought to be doing as a rational actor, but there is a body of counter-evidence suggesting that their intent is to cause chaos as a dual goal. I would point you towards the various hybrid warfare attacks on ci
165.
by energy123 5mo ago
19% vs 15% would be "not a lot". But this is 19% vs 0%! Quote: "233 of 1220 people who had received bepi had functional cures—both undetectable HBV DNA and surface antigen—versus zero of 614 participants in the placebo arm.&q
166.
by energy123 5mo ago
What I mean is that investors don't want to pony up the cash at current market prices. They want a discount. Then they will pony up the cash Just like creditors demand higher rates on investment grade bonds, investors are demanding a h
167.
by energy123 5mo ago
These companies are capex heavy and need to reach into the capital markets to sustain their growth. The cost of capital is correlated with inflation. Why is this the fault of the stock market? Maybe blame the government for diluting the mon
168.
by energy123 5mo ago
and Meta saying they want to issue. Combined with the IPO scramble there's a lot of dilution and raising hitting the same sector in a very short period of time. Can the public markets pony up the cash in the short timeframe? It seems i
169.
by energy123 5mo ago
You said "They wouldn't be selling tokens directly ... They'd hoard them" But they can't do that because they aren't monopolies.
170.
by energy123 5mo ago
They can only do that if they're a monopoly, which they're not
171.
by energy123 5mo ago
The only reason I care about animal welfare is because I think they're probably conscious, capable of feeling fear and pain.
172.
by energy123 5mo ago
Keep buying single shares slowly so it keeps going down. Once it reaches $0, buy the rest for free and asset strip.
173.
by energy123 5mo ago
You protect yourself by understanding that this is one infinitesimally small cost (expressed as a fraction of your portfolio returns) that doesn't overcome the benefits of maximum diversification and the ultra-low fees of broad-based E
174.
by energy123 5mo ago
But we don't have visibility on the COGS until they IPO and file, right? So where is all this premature judgement coming from about their unit economics? (not pointing the finger only at you, at least you identified that gross margins
175.
by energy123 5mo ago
It might be a good business (like youtube for kids) but would it actually be good for kids? They should go outside with their friends, and people in the tech industry should stay away from them. Allegedly good intentions ("help you s
176.
by energy123 5mo ago
You're assuming "before" when it's probably "investigate 100 possible causes in parallel".
177.
by energy123 5mo ago
Because it helps to raise capital at low costs if your investors and creditors think you're going to replace all labor.
178.
by energy123 5mo ago
While revenues grow almost exponentially. Reminds me of the confident predictions in the early days of Covid that it was nothing while the data showed exponential growth.
179.
by energy123 5mo ago
Yet people don't use old models through the API much, because changes in benchmark space dont map linearly to changes in utility space. An improvement from 98% to 99%, which is 1pp, might be 2x as valuable for some application. Also be
180.
by energy123 5mo ago
I still can't believe we're going to get AGI before 2050. What's coming is amazing and frightening.

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