echelon

46 ms·

961.
by echelon 9mo ago
OKRs are the indicator of productivity and these models let you crush more OKRs per human headcount.
962.
by echelon 9mo ago
From my lived experience, it feels like you guys are the newspaper writers of the 1990s calling the internet a passing fad.
963.
by echelon 9mo ago
I like this analogy. I also think we're, as ICs, being given Bentleys meanwhile they're trying to invent Waymos to put us all out of work. Humans are the cost center in their world model.
964.
by echelon 9mo ago
> if some women absolutely can't find something in their size from a specific brand, that makes the brand even more exclusive, like it being "for fit people only". This is how many brands originally blow up and grow famous
965.
by echelon 9mo ago
> At this point, Ladybird will likely reach 1.0 faster than Servo could, and the latter is not even remotely close to being usable even in 14 years of waiting. When Servo is done, it's going to be a beast. It's getting hundreds
966.
by echelon 9mo ago
No. It can't be anything but a good thing. Code was always a limiting factor. It's why we built large companies. Now we can do more with fewer engineers. This will enable small teams and small startups to be even more nimble.
967.
by echelon 9mo ago
These folks just dumped all of Spotify. They think they did it for humans, but it really just serves the robots.
968.
by echelon 9mo ago
I don't know about AGI, but these models are automating a lot of work. I think but do not know that we'll have higher level work that sits atop it. I don't know if/when we won't be needed to orchestrate that work.
969.
by echelon 9mo ago
I think you're right about Discord. Reddit never faced the same pressure. The API thing pissed off mobile users, but all of the Reddit alternatives, such as Voat, were hyper polarized politically and were not good destinations for most
970.
by echelon 9mo ago
I predicted that back in 2019 and you called me crazy. We're almost there. Forgive me if I was off by a few years.
971.
by echelon 9mo ago
> Yeah, this is quite thought provoking. If computer code written by LLMs is a commodity, what new businesses does that enable? What can we do cheaply we couldn't do before? The model owner can just withhold access and build all the
972.
by echelon 9mo ago
Or: you'll be fine for a year or two. Then the models will put you out of work. Nobody will need you. We'll have a world full of largely useless humans.
973.
by echelon 9mo ago
You need to try it before you knock it. I was a doubter. This will literally work 100x faster than you. It can one-shot 1kLOC across dozens of files in mere minutes and understand the context. You'll need to pay back a lot of those per
974.
by echelon 9mo ago
Anyone who hasn't tried AI for coding absolutely should. This is the future. I don't think we'll ever manually write code again. It's just so much faster.
975.
by echelon 9mo ago
I hope China keeps making big open weights models. I'm not excited about local models. I want to run hosted open weights models on server GPUs. People can always distill them.
976.
by echelon 9mo ago
I never had a use for crypto. I'm making movies with VFX now. (I've been a photons on glass filmmaker for over a decade. This tech rocks.) I'm basically automating my work and acting as a senior manager. Claude can write my c
977.
by echelon 9mo ago
The fact that AI agents can even build something that purports to be a working database is also impressive. A small, highly experienced team steering Claude might be able to replicate the architecture and test suite reasonably quickly. 1-sh
978.
by echelon 9mo ago
This is just some short polymer chains in a chemical soup. Everything starts as a toy. Look at early computing.
979.
by echelon 9mo ago
> Edit: Can't reply Orthogonal question for Dang or someone who knows - Do downvotes, account flaggings, and/or high posting volumes trigger this? I run into it frequently whenever I get downvotes. I almost never used to get th
980.
by echelon 9mo ago
They're focused on soaking up big money first. They'll optimize down the stack once they've sucked all the oxygen out of the room. Little players won't be able to grow through the ceiling the giants create.
981.
by echelon 9mo ago
I don't think we should cheer on one of the largest companies in the world to build a product to get them even more enterprise stranglehold. The praise for this monopoly is misdirected. Every single one of you, unless you're a sig
982.
by echelon 9mo ago
The internet used to be filled with thousands of these. It was magical, serendipitous, and wonderful. People's creativity hasn't disappeared, but it lives in corporate-owned distribution platforms now. It's nice that people d
983.
by echelon 9mo ago
> I've been saying for years now that the next AI breakthrough could come from big tech but it also has just a likely chance of comming from a smart kid with a whiteboard. It comes from the company best equipped with capital and inf
984.
by echelon 9mo ago
No. They're firing high paid seniors and replacing them with low pay juniors. This is IBM we're talking about. The "limits of AI" bit is just smokescreen. Firing seniors: > Just a week after his comments, however, IBM
985.
by echelon 9mo ago
I love this. It's like a steam boat. Or old-timey water wheel.
986.
by echelon 9mo ago
I bet we're about to see a lot of 10-person $100M+ ARR companies emerge. That's a scale where teams can be tight and excel.
987.
by echelon 9mo ago
> If you're in your 40s you aren't looking to date people in their 20s. My building is full of divorced 40-somethings dating younger. You see it all over media too. Leonardo DiCaprio is famous for this, and he's hardly th
988.
by echelon 9mo ago
This is the one that really gets me.
989.
by echelon 9mo ago
Tumblr is still around? That's a good data point.
990.
by echelon 9mo ago
> Don't fall for it. The vast majority of people here have no exposure to investing in OpenAI. It was cool to dunk on OpenAI for being a non-profit when they were in the lead, but now that Google has leapfrogged them and dozens of o

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