dirtyid

87 ms·

781.
by dirtyid 4y ago
PRC went from capturing $8 in final assembly fees on iphone3s to ~$100 / ~25% of BOM cost of iPhone X. More highend PRC components are making their way as well (hence YMTC about to get boot). PRC is also like 1/3 of semi market (4
782.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Russia is not USSR, the optics/politics that drove peer power compromise isn't there, even if prudent. West also feels ideologically less realist than ever. Feels because there's also terrifyingly perverse realist incentive t
783.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Maybe NGAD rapid development cycles can be applied.
784.
by dirtyid 4y ago
This is surprisingly close to how my dreams feel.
785.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Countries are occasionally associated with genders even in English (mother/father land etc). India is commonly referred to as her. Quick research into why: >Bhārat Mātā ( Mother India in English) is a national personification of Ind
786.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Indian demographics is FAR worse than China's going forward. Her demographic divident is mostly done / wasted - the few affluent and educated states are aging out, massively overpopulated, under-educated and poor states are younge
787.
by dirtyid 4y ago
>It's not just some geek with python going gdp[country] = bright_pixels * 0.18 With respect to this study, it more or less is. Go read Martinez original study from 2017 and lol at the methadology. It's rudimentary application o
788.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Article talks about PRC quarantining/blockade TW, or US blockading PRC (likely at Malacca chokepoint). The former is just PRC spamming her coast guard assets to setup a maritime cordon supported by navy. The latter involves retasking
789.
by dirtyid 4y ago
That would be valid comparison if there was a treaty between PRC/ROC to end the civil war... but there isn't. Hence PRC reserves right to use disproportionate force to finish an legally ongoing / unresolved domestic conflict.
790.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Respect Culver, one of the sounder PRC analyst out there. But article talks about moves PLA modernization is trending towards. Exercises are going to get larger with increasingly huge mobilization for training purposes, munition factories a
791.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Variety of illegal activities, from illegal telefraud to gambling designed to circumvent PRC gaming laws. Philippines just agreed to deport 40000 chinese workers involved in offshore gambling. Lots of low level crime out there host country
792.
by dirtyid 4y ago
>labor force won't fix Not for JP because their skillforce potential was already relatively maxed out, their education reform paid off late in 70s while domestic politics squandered female labour participation. JP stagnanted after i
793.
by dirtyid 4y ago
China has multiple generations. Even "stark" demographic collapse at PRC scale is generating millions of new births per year (several times greater than US even with immigration), there will never be shortage of bodies to fill the
794.
by dirtyid 4y ago
That may very well be the intent, but it seems to be backfiring. Go look at this very recent German Marshal Fund survey polling atlanticist countries with section on PRC invasion of TW. https://www.gmfus.org/news/transa
795.
by dirtyid 4y ago
There was always objections since inception. ROC tried to exclude PRC from any UN representation (how turntables have turned), USSR protested exclusion of PRC in the 50s, host of "third world" PRC friendly nations petitioned for R
796.
by dirtyid 4y ago
China is proof you can just create a competitor of TSMC. It's simply a matter of poaching their underpaid talent. > China throws billions for decades PRC's first pseudo-serious semi push was 2014 big funds, so far they've
797.
by dirtyid 4y ago
This seems... bad value? Are they specifically formulated for decades of shelf life or are claims hypothetical.
798.
by dirtyid 4y ago
>shooting yourself TBH having a firearm in that scenario would probably entice one to behave poorly in effort to survive. Cursory research of using gun has 80-90% success rate. That said it might skew 100% in a world where emergency serv
799.
by dirtyid 4y ago
MAD is more for large scale counter value exchanges. Nonstrategic / theatre level / tactical nuclear use was always on the table and IMO probable when nuclear states become cornered. Here's a CRS report on it from this year.
800.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Years ago, I got randomly mailed a box of potassium iodide tablets because there was nuclear plant in the region. But in case of nuclear war, I want a suicide pill. I want several to give to others. I remember jokingly promising to be eutha
801.
by dirtyid 4y ago
US was near tier1 technologic autarky post war until 90s, it had unrivalled STEM talent pool (by virtue of others having relatively very little) as well as FP tools to constrain foreign high tech competition while feeling her own via favour
802.
by dirtyid 4y ago
The linked study is interesting: >Application of the passive approach as a non-mechanical method is an effective technique to tackle high energy consumption as well as diminishing the destructive effects of buildings on the environment.
803.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Great channel, but much less focus on general asian history now that tech history with economic / industrial policy focus is driving the eyeballs. Also sad his brief foray into shitpost style humor got slapped down by viewers.
804.
by dirtyid 4y ago
>already factored I think not yet, or at least not seriously. The notion that US rivals (likely just PRC) can execute major conventional attacks on US infra is not currently accepted thinking. Only newest strategic/policy writing fr
805.
by dirtyid 4y ago
PRC's first scramjet test was in 2011. Lot's of development since, but no formal weapon systems adopted AFAIK.
806.
by dirtyid 4y ago
MAD game theory are recalibrated when new capabilities are introduced. Just like when survivable nuclear triad introduced second strike options from hair trigger LOW. Consider every major US power projection platform have nuclear capable op
807.
by dirtyid 4y ago
No worries, currently PLA rocket force deliberately entangles nuclear with conventional capabilities for deterrence - hard for PRC adversaries to math the cost of striking rocket force because can't know if launchers mated with nukes o
808.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Mate hypersonics with conventional warheads, which is within current PLA rocket force posture. On the deterrence/political layer, build nuclear deterrence to parity (see massive silo build outs) and maintain NFU while communicating tha
809.
by dirtyid 4y ago
They're absolute gamechangers for US adversaries that makes fortress America vunerable. US military preemenence rests on assumption that US adversaries lack capability to conventially disrupt CONUS homefront. PRC's new science of
810.
by dirtyid 4y ago
IMO Yuen Yuen Ang's unbundled corruption index is useful model for evaluating different types of corruption, all are "bad" but not equally so. TLDR in this 2x2 matrix: https://blogsmedia.lse.ac.uk/blogs.dir&#x

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