defertoreptar

11 ms·

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by defertoreptar 6y ago
The military is paid by taxes. In general, no single citizen has much control over how much it costs. The USPS is different because if we eliminated stamps and paid it all out of taxes, individuals would abuse the system. Because we pay out
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
The "why" and "why now" is that the USPS's debt has been growing and isn't sustainable in the long run. Unless structural changes are made, tax payers will ultimately be left paying the bills. https:/&#x2
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
Looks like it had a recent jump, but is still below the trend line. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPILFESL (You can zoom in on the recent year by using the slider at the bottom.)
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
It relates the overall principle to a concrete example. The particular example isn't important. As you said, we can tweak the numbers to go either way. What's useful about it is showing an example of how the numbers could work t
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
It looks like Trump was attempting to do with the order that came along with this news. > The executive order, Hira said, appears to provide “a way to ensure that ‘secondary employers’ — outsourcers — adhere to the H-1B attestations as t
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
Hard to judge without knowing how much more Koda wants compared to other content providers. Anyone know this?
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
Going to be the devil's advocate on this one. The current policy creates an incentive for unnecessary overtime. That can distort the real demand for labor. Eliminating the incentive could allow the USPS to find out the actual demand, a
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
Was the author blatantly lying in the introduction paragraph? > In the years following the financial crisis, numerous economists and market observers warned of rising inflation in the face of the unorthodox monetary p0licy by central ban
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
Maybe someone who plays the game could clear it up. I did some searching, and it appears as though the ordinal ranks on the x axis are just buckets of players in ranges of 25 points in each bucket. The underlying rating system for these rat
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
> Is the point really predicting outcomes? Others have pointed out how there is a psychological aspect of rating systems, and no developer wants to constantly field complaints. That said, I believe the answer is yes. A rating system deri
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
The author didn't benchmark to see if this system is actually any better at predicting outcomes than vanilla Elo. That's how you determine if your implied win probabilities are accurately being derived from rating differences. The
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
The author is looking at consumption, not income. It's been shown that when you look at consumption, inequality isn't nearly what people think. https://economics21.org/html/when-it-comes-inequality-consum...
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
Not exactly. We know the broad strokes. He figures a price for a company by estimating their lifetime earnings and then factoring in the time value of money. He's talked about a mental checklist he goes through when looking at quarterl
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
Now repeat the same procedure on randomized data and see how often you can match or surpass this accuracy.
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
Whether they intended it this way or not, users will now be worried they're upvoting the "wrong" thing and will be less likely to vote unpopular opinions and political views, just in case.
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
Just a suggestion, instead of using the average upvotes per visitor, how about something objective and not directly tied into the model itself? For example, we could look at the average Pearson correlation of the rankings over all individua
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
> A large fraction of the things he says in public are either factually false or total nonsense. To say anything else would be incomprehensibly biased in the other direction. The point is that it's not for Wikipedia to say that a pe
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
> Because, yes, we should definitely give as much space to viewpoints that the earth is flat as to those that say the earth is round. As long as scientific sources are referenced and the criticisms are acknowledged, what's the probl
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
A recession causes deflation, which costs people jobs and quality of life. When the Fed prints money, it's counteracting the deflation. When the balance sheet is trillions or dollars, there is no worry of inflation. The Fed can easily
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
> I obviously was talking about "thought-ending" in context of the conversation on what boundaries should be set on speech in which situation. What point are you trying to make? You were saying how free speech absolutism is a &
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
> Free speech absolutism is obviously on its face a dogshit principle because it is unlimited and thought-ending. Not as thought-ending as silencing a voice with the threat of legal action. > Yes, the suppression of speech can cause h
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
I go on business trips to Vegas along with a friend. My friend has been playing blackjack for decades. I'm not a gambler, but counting allows me to join in while mitigating risk (in the long run). We have a really good time. Initially,
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
Immunity isn't well understood, or at least it wasn't well understood when government guidelines came down. Also if the government risks hospital overcapacity by not imposing restrictions, and high deaths per capita resulted, then
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
He had nothing but positive things to say about the American economy. He spent a large amount of time at the beginning putting things in prospective, to show the amazing growth we've had since the nation's beginnings. He was caref
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
If there were no worry of a recession, then land and other asset values would increase. The $6 trillion is meant to offset possible deflation and keep inflation on course for 2%.
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
> if those loans are paid back, they will cause net zero inflation. Assuming you can get the fed to make that money disappear, which it doesn't have a good track record of doing so far.
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by defertoreptar 6y ago
Your three examples run in a similar vein: individual rights vs the role of government. I think many of those you would see as holding contradictory views would say that government intervention in these areas actually fall under the domain
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by defertoreptar 7y ago
The problem is with CEO compensation incentives, not buybacks. Buybacks do not increase a company's market cap, just ownership per share. If a company compensated management based on future market cap and did not compensate with a fixe
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by defertoreptar 7y ago
Covid-19 and flu do have similar symptoms: https://i.insider.com/5e6a58fee4f9fe5dad7d0932 , so if you have one and are symptomatic, it wouldn't be hard to confuse it with the other. Where they're wrong is: 1) The
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by defertoreptar 7y ago
The trouble with this is that it fails above first order thinking. For example, I remember asking a photographer, "what's the value of 20 megapixel cameras"? His answer was something like, "the more the the MP, the bette

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