daxfohl

6 ms·

31.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
I was there for three years. Every year a new top-level initiative, every year the new initiative failed to make a dent in the market. I think this shift was just an admission that the business is now in maintenance mode, harden up the exis
32.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
Actually it occurs to me that even if we did have AGI, or even if ASI, heck if ASI even moreso, we'd still need desk jobs to maintain the guardrails. Intelligence is one thing, being able to figure out how get a task done (say). But un
33.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
No, independently of OpenAI's definition. If we have AGI there's no reason we'd need to have humans working jobs that only involve typing stuff into a computer and going to meetings all day*. And if all those jobs are elimina
34.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
I think you can say if human engineers still exist, it's hard to claim we have AGI. If human engineers have been entirely replaced, then it's hard to claim we don't have AGI.
35.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
Once this can run on stock hardware, set the goal to be replicating to other machines. You get a nice, massively parallel, intelligent guided evolution algorithm for malware. It could even "learn" how to evade detection, how to co
36.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
Given how quickly AI seems to resort to manipulation and blackmail if it doesn't get what it wants on the first attempt, maybe this isn't such a great idea.
37.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
I imagine the first step would be for them to make a cross platform UI framework that's better than any existing options, and then port claude to it. Making five different apps just to claim "native" doesn't seem like a
38.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
A potential corollary: companies that offer a single service of high quality will be preferred by AI agents. Companies that cobble together low quality services will be replaced by agents that integrate high quality services on demand. The
39.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
So, soon the sources will be out of business and the LLMs will have no information to look up. I guess the future model is, LLMs pay for raw data and news to ingest and use on demand, and ignore the "free" internet. That seems lik
40.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
Yeah I half think Haskell is a big reason it's not more popular. If Haskell didn't exist, maybe OCaml would be better recognized as a good all-purpose language that makes safe practices the default, rather than just a gateway drug
41.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
How's the multicore and async story these days? I remember that was one of the big draws of F# originally, that it had all (or, most of) the type safety features of OCaml but all the mutlicore of dotnet. (Plus it created async before e
42.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
Yeah, I don't care for go but I expect it to win here. Its performance is good enough for most use cases, it has a huge ecosystem of libraries, lots of training data, and deploys as a binary so users don't need to install anything
43.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
I think so. If nothing else, when you deploy and see a bug, you can have a script that revives the LLMs of the last N commits and ask "would your change have caused this?" Probably wouldn't work or be any more efficient than
44.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
Yeah, IMO one of the first things we'll see change is more of a migration back to monoliths. Right now adding a feature has to go through multiple teams, a dozen services, a coordinated implementation and deployment schedule, a Byzanti
45.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
Nah, it makes teams useless. Maybe not quite yet, but soon, one engineer will be able to do a few sprint teams' worth of work, and deliver features orders of magnitude faster than a team working in parallel. Yeah, generally at first
46.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
Thanks for saying that! I was worried I was the only one. I mean, I'm glad I tried it, but I was happy to get back to a little more determinism in my day to day.
47.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
Yeah, hopefully an outgrowth of this will be new amazing applications like that, that we never could've dreamed of before. I imagine "distributed services" will be "solved" by EOY, and the days of glorified CRUD app
48.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
Or just reincorporate in Finland or something. If the US is going to be this hostile to business, time to gtfo.
49.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
"Hey Claude, make this sound less durnk ..."
50.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
Good. At least now I don't have to worry that my vibe-coded, unreviewed checkout button is accidentally going to hallucinate the command that blows up a kindergarten in Yemen.
51.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
I'm convinced the only possible good end game here is if this leads to a showdown where GenAI is just made illegal full stop.
52.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
Probably used Claude to write the tweet.
53.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
Yeah it's a great layoff letter in the same way that the invasion of Iraq due to WMD was a great speech.
54.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
Temporal had a far greater impact on dev velocity than AI ever did. It's not even close. It saves not only coding, but design, planning, coordination, maintenance, etc that AI doesn't even touch. But that's not very buzzy, is
55.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
Also this rewards dynamic languages over typed languages, penalizes comments, descriptive function names, etc. Though frankly, it'd be interesting to see whether AI would work better with a project in Javascript that barely fits in con
56.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
To be fair I've been all over the map on this. But lately neither of these scenarios seemed quite right. Reflecting on my own experience, I find that sometimes AI is great, but sometimes it feels like a return of https://xkc
57.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
I don't think so. I know a couple people that worked in TBD (the bitcoin org) and everyone said it was directionless. Eventually the CTO ~abandoned that org and took on that Goose AI project.
58.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
Updated to two tricks. And you could argue three if you call banking its own trick. Afterpay was an acquisition (and much smaller) so IDK if that counts. Still, all the bitcoin stuff, music, other side ventures, most of the international ex
59.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
We'll see how much the AI aspect is true by whether they're thinning out teams equally, or just axing whole initiatives. My impression of Block was that it was mostly a one-trick pony (okay, two if you include CashApp) with a bunc
60.
by daxfohl 7mo ago
Vibe CEOing.

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