darawk

16 ms·

151.
by darawk 4y ago
It is not even remotely similar to recycling by selling trash to SEA. Green energy reduces emissions on net, even including the rare earth mining. I suppose you could argue that the rare earth mining is also bad for some reason - but it&#x2
152.
by darawk 4y ago
I don't know enough about the Marvel (or whichever) universe to answer that question.
153.
by darawk 4y ago
I think a more useful definition would be about instruments, not ends. It is up to each individual to define their utility function. If they want that utility function to be aesthetic or religious, that's up to them. EA as a philosophy
154.
by darawk 4y ago
Ya, we can't really know, but I think it's fair to say that powerful though the CIA is, they can't synthesize these kinds of protests from nothing. So, even if the CIA did hack these TV stations to aid the protesters, it&#x27
155.
by darawk 4y ago
Reason to be suspicious, sure. Just not reason to draw that conclusion firmly.
156.
by darawk 4y ago
The fact that the US orchestrated a coup in 1953 proves that the US is also orchestrating this coup today? That's the argument?
157.
by darawk 4y ago
To be fair to them, it was the court that compelled them to do this. They didn't choose to do it.
158.
by darawk 4y ago
It might be useful to note that the Economist did not do this research. This is a summary of a study by an academic economist: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3882062 It's likely your questions
159.
by darawk 4y ago
> However, the point that I am trying to make is that we, as a society, should be trying to ignore these obvious statistical likelihoods when we are choosing a candidate. Those statistical likelihoods have nothing to do with the candidat
160.
by darawk 4y ago
That's a fair response, so I suppose I should add the asterisk: Conditional on a belief that test scores are correlated with ability level. However, this belief is rather common, and I wouldn't say that it is an intrinsically raci
161.
by darawk 4y ago
> You immediately assume one of the three is the brightest of them, because your understanding of Affirmative Action Policies says this particular race has the highest likelihood of having higher overall test scores. I think it's im
162.
by darawk 4y ago
I'm not sure I understand what you mean. Affirmative action policies mechanically have this consequence. Asians have the highest test scores (among the racial groupings commonly used for AA policies), and affirmative action policies ef
163.
by darawk 4y ago
I have. They do not refer to the capability of the groups, only their present level. It's entirely consistent with what I said that the current differences between the groups are a consequence of historical racism and inequity. That do
164.
by darawk 4y ago
People love to cite this study as an example of absolute proof of discrimination, but it isn't. There is an obvious rational non-racist explanation for the outcome in question, and it is affirmative action. A black person, a white pers
165.
by darawk 4y ago
Most of the studies I see listed refer to "Waon therapy" which use IR saunas. At least, the RCTs they cite seem to mostly do that.
166.
by darawk 4y ago
TFA cites a number of RCTs that seem reasonably high quality to me: https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/circj/68/12/68_12_1146/... https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/circj&#x
167.
by darawk 4y ago
> If GPT-10 is just like GPT-3, no extra bells and whistles, just bigger, and able to read whole novels and watch whole movies and answer subtle and open-ended questions about characters and their conflicts and motivation, and tell us wh
168.
by darawk 4y ago
> "steadily beating the S&P 500 for over a year on a weekly basis" If you're going to make a claim like that, you should actually follow up with the calculations. When you do that, you'll realize that the issue is
169.
by darawk 4y ago
This was a very enjoyable read. I built a nearly (architecturally) identical system a few years back that also had to be scrapped for different reasons. This brought back a lot of memories. The sanity checks, the index reconstitution issues
170.
by darawk 4y ago
He says it most clearly right here: https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/1573656086716071937 "The moron risk premium has now been priced in". That is, he believes the currency depreciation is substanti
171.
by darawk 4y ago
There's no real formal definition of crisis, but being fair to him it's not yet a crisis. It is however a sharp devaluation, and appears to be the opposite of what he was predicting.
172.
by darawk 4y ago
It's not not a crisis either, though. Crisis doesn't really have a formal definition, it's just an extreme devaluation. I agree that what's happened so far is not quite yet a "crisis", but it certainly seems li
173.
by darawk 4y ago
https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/1573649995290628096 The iron law of Krugman strikes again. I really need to start trading on this.
174.
by darawk 4y ago
Ya, that's right, but there are cryptographically secure forms of plausible deniability, commonly known as "deniable encryption": https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deniable_encryption
175.
by darawk 4y ago
If that were true, the problem would be less severe in majority Democratic cities. As far as I can tell, that seems to be quite far from the case.
176.
by darawk 4y ago
Security against random searches is easy. There are plenty of ways to hide an app behind something innocuous, e.g. requiring a particular input sequence known only to the user to open the app.
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by darawk 4y ago
> I meant it in that sense, that those pushing it knew full well that it wasn’t true but had ulterior motives. Who is an example of that in this context?
178.
by darawk 4y ago
Ya, that's a real possibility, and some of these cases will probably turn on the judge's perception of whether that is what was happening. It seems very hard to prove in a case like that one though.
179.
by darawk 4y ago
It's not quite that straightforward. What happened according to Zuck (on the JRE podcast) was that the FBI came to FB and said "We believe some kind of Russian disinformation is about to drop in the next couple of weeks, be on the
180.
by darawk 4y ago
The central issue in these cases are the difference between the following two scenarios: 1. The CDC or other government agency says "We believe X is misinformation, do with that advice what you will". 2. The CDC or other governmen

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