dag100

5 ms·

31.
by dag100 3mo ago
The 80s happened because of the stagnation of the 70s.
32.
by dag100 3mo ago
But, ideally, with each day, more useful products and services are being made and delivered. It'd be useful to have extra dollars around to account for more stuff being made and more things being done. Thus having more dollars in exist
33.
by dag100 3mo ago
> mathematics were one of the rare sciences were great scientists could emerge from any country with a good education system. But would they be able to realize their potential without further (mostly monetary and institutional) support f
34.
by dag100 4mo ago
Is it really that surprising that no-one has invested the time and effort into figuring out the personal information of some tech employee-turned-founder? I bet no-one outside of tech even knows his name.
35.
by dag100 4mo ago
Can't really practice medical or legal skills from the comfort of your home on devices everyone has had for 10 years now. Also, unlike computers which must obey every whim of their master, lawyers and doctors deal with humans. Which ma
36.
by dag100 4mo ago
Asking for payment for written work is hardly rent-seeking...
37.
by dag100 4mo ago
Really makes you wonder who is going through the reasoning traces and how many of them they are parsing through per-hour for their eyes to completely gloss over at seeing this rather than recognise that this, in fact, completely legible. Wh
38.
by dag100 4mo ago
Err, yes, until the surplus kills off all other competition and allows the supplier to jack prices up sky high, or otherwise bend consumers to their will. There's a reason most countries will stop foreign firms from doing this to them.
39.
by dag100 4mo ago
> The point is that the technology is already too democratized for anyone to hold onto it. Google had chatbot LLMs in 2019 and tried to keep them under wraps, how many years did that buy them? They were hardly the only ones in the space.
40.
by dag100 4mo ago
It's more about information availability rather than intelligence. An LLM has had access to more information during its training period than you'd ever even come across over a hundred lifetimes. It has been trained on billions of
41.
by dag100 4mo ago
> If I invest half my income and spend half my income, and the prices of goods goes up 4.2% and my income goes up 4.2%, then I've made progress; I'm now investing more than half my income, because the half of my income I was sp
42.
by dag100 4mo ago
> How could there be, when literally anyone can plop down $20 and get access to a frontier model? For now. And that too at a massively discounted rate to drive adoption. > When open weight models trail _at most_ a year behind the clos
43.
by dag100 4mo ago
> So it is absolutely strange and contrasting to see you believe that LLMs are so weak as to create negative value while the CEO is asking about regulations because AI is too powerful. You wouldn't ask a chemistry professor to write
44.
by dag100 4mo ago
> Knowledge often does not produce competence From your example, perhaps you mean "competence does not imply knowledge" or more accurately in fact "lack of competence implies lack of knowledge" i.e. !competence ->
45.
by dag100 4mo ago
Fine, it is not effectively what happened then. It is worse. At least workers are required to run factories (even though working conditions were ridiculously horrible back then). With AI, in maybe 20 years, 95% of all white-collar workers w
46.
by dag100 4mo ago
> If we're all broke/starving/being exterminated, who will the rich sell to? Themselves. The economy is a big cycle where money changes hands to drive production i.e. things getting made. AI will simultaneously greatly inc
47.
by dag100 4mo ago
How is it inaccurate? If I only care about buying apples, and apples get 10% more expensive, and my salary only increases by 5%, then I can't buy as many apples as I could have before. How many apples I do actually buy in the end is ir
48.
by dag100 4mo ago
It's hardly speculative when it is effectively what happened just after the Industrial Revolution, but with more power ceded to capital. In many ways, it's already happening.
49.
by dag100 4mo ago
That is the status quo now . If LLMs get better and better, managers will simply direct them, well, directly. That's what the parent comment means by the machine learning to do your job. It completely , not mostly , replaces you.
50.
by dag100 4mo ago
People would be more pro-automation if it didn't entail losing their livelihoods and ability to access food and shelter.
51.
by dag100 4mo ago
This really underscores how so much LLM "intelligence" is based off of people's experiences that they wrote about. It saddens me somewhat to see that it has basically all been captured by corporations now, and perhaps in a fe
52.
by dag100 4mo ago
It's because the people at IBM, India get paid multiple times what the contractors get paid. IBM, India, thus hires much better programmers than contractors. This sort of outsourcing isn't nearly as cheap - maybe half the income o
53.
by dag100 4mo ago
> ChatGPT will not build housing, raise livestock, or perform surgery. I have a bad feeling that it's closer than you'd expect at all three of those things. Especially the last one. Robo-surgeons, remotely controlled by another
54.
by dag100 4mo ago
> Even godawful economic growth would compound way too much. You vastly overestimate how much of the growth would be going to the workers in question. Especially as, before fiat currency and electric communication, prices were ( relative
55.
by dag100 4mo ago
If you belong to that group you are already completely irrelevant except for your ability to vote.
56.
by dag100 4mo ago
It means it took 70 years for the average income and employment rate of socio-economic class of people who used to work those jobs (presumably formulated as some percentile of society by income) to rise back to the the same level.
57.
by dag100 4mo ago
> instead of humans with their own families and community ties This is an age-old problem with armies and has a similarly age-old solution: just send soldiers from one community to police other communities. For example, during the Tienan
58.
by dag100 4mo ago
> Found it. Youth unemployment is currently at about the (eyeball) median rate for the last 32 years. It is currently there. The economy doesn't seem to be getting friendlier to the youth though. That median also seems pretty heav
59.
by dag100 5mo ago
There are always newer technologies and techniques to be implemented. Better algorithms. Larger deployments. Better reliability. There are also almost always bugs to fix. So, so many bugs.
60.
by dag100 5mo ago
You could RTFA and find out. (26 different artificial eggs. The artificial egg is the main development. Basically they take a chicken embryo (by cracking open a fertilized egg) and allow it to develop inside the artificial egg, and from whi

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