colinmorelli

11 ms·

61.
by colinmorelli 3y ago
Putting aside the very legitimate use cases highlighted in other messages, a very simple one is: you're just arriving at home, but are still not (yet) connected to wifi. These very practical daily occurrences can make devices incredibl
62.
by colinmorelli 3y ago
These rates are mandated of payers, not providers (outside of hospitals), and essentially every national plan has published rates online for all providers they contract with. They are not the cash pay rates, because that is not how most pat
63.
by colinmorelli 3y ago
This is one of those things that sounds really great - and would be helpful - but not have the significant impact that it might initially seem outside of prescription medication. The reality is that price transparency already is federally m
64.
by colinmorelli 3y ago
Building something _different_ faster/cheaper than a competitor is not really the same as rebuilding the same thing with a fraction of the people. In the past when I've seen the claim "I could rebuild this in a weekend"
65.
by colinmorelli 3y ago
I say this not to discourage you, but what's being described here is far from an edge case. Providers have often up to ~90 days (when in network with the plan) to submit a claim. Then payers have time to process the claim and adjudicat
66.
by colinmorelli 3y ago
You're right, I was loose with my words here. Worth does have a specific economic definition, but that definition is not particularly helpful when talking about an asset price like this. It is by definition individual, can only be know
67.
by colinmorelli 3y ago
Yes, hindsight changes perception of past decisions. But there is no "end" to the economy. It ebbs and flows. Maybe today this is "worth" 75% less, but what if next year at this time it's "worth" 25% more?
68.
by colinmorelli 3y ago
There’s no “truth” to what a property is worth. It’s worth what the market will pay for it. But regardless of that, whether the values were inflated because of a market flush with cash or not, it doesn’t change the fact that crashes can and
69.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
This level of pedantry is not conducive to healthy conversation. It’s quite clear from my post what I meant: that there are not necessarily rules to how markets react. Instead, events occur, individuals form opinions on what those events me
70.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
“Depressed investor sentiment” applies to publicly traded companies as well. Profitability is now the focus. Speculative bets are not. Public markets operate on opinions and feelings more than science. That sentiment of the markets is not h
71.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
Because, as I just indicated, it's not the interest rates directly. It's indirect. If you don't believe that high interest rates can have a suppressive effect on higher risk investments, then you're just arguing with c
72.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
Because you are fundamentally misunderstanding how interest rates impact companies. No, these companies are not borrowing money to fund salaries. When interest rates drop, safe investments (such as bonds), become less attractive. The yield
73.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
…the “something worthwhile” WAS the projects that the spun up and hired people for, which they are now shutting down since it’s no longer economically viable to continue. Every single time a layoff is done, there’s a conversation about what
74.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
…there are pretty limited options here. Nobody is blindly copying what others are doing. For most technology companies, salaries and compensation are one of if not the top line item in the budget. And during a time of cheap money (which is
75.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
Estimates are about relative comparison, not specific accuracy. If you tell me one item will take a day and another will take 3 months, you can be wrong by several multiples and the information is still useful. It’s less that I now have a s
76.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
Just to be clear, most of the time “management” comes to developers with a proposed timeline, there’s significantly more complaints than if the engineers are asked to estimate. Asking the builders to estimate the time they need is a good si
77.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
If this is a reply to me, I think you missed the point I'm making here. I don't care if we can prove other people are sentient or not. My point is that it may well not matter whether a thing is sentient or not if a well-trained al
78.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
Somewhat related to this: We seem to operate on the assumption that sentience is "better," but I'm not sure that's something we can demonstrate anyway. At some point, given sufficient training data, it's entirely po
79.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
Sure, measurement discrepancies do exist. However, the referenced study is focused almost entirely on Cuba. As a comparison point they use data from PERISTAT which is consistent among countries (or at least that's a goal of the program
80.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
This anecdote may be true, but Sweden has significantly more favorable health outcomes across most dimensions compared to the US. Infant mortality, in-hospital mortality, etc. In fact, most developed nations do. But part of what makes it so
81.
ML market predictions from a former Google PM(ft.io)
4 points by colinmorelli 4y ago|0 comments
82.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
I appreciate your take here, but frankly I think it ignores the absolutely enormous world of vendors and partners out there, and the challenges that startups face when navigating it. Quite simply, there absolutely is neither enough time nor
83.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
Not that long ago, Kronos, another time management and payroll company, faced a ransomware issue that caused a complete payroll outage for a month at some of their companies. The fact that a bank failed in 24 hours and Rippling made changes
84.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
Placing any judgment aside about an individual person’s skill level, there are tens of thousands of tier 1 customer support jobs that likely can already be entirely automated with ChatGPT. This is not a statement about those individual peop
85.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
No average joe is getting screwed over by private companies investing money in other private companies, any more today than they were on any previous day where the same things happen. This is not news, and is only relevant because of the cr
86.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
This is a very technical definition that effectively makes the word meaningless. Under this definition, most early VC equity rounds are bailouts, initial stock purchases in new companies are bailouts, etc. It is, technically, true. But it’s
87.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
Again, this is not about being able to write the prompt in a way that allows GPT to find the answer. I’m not doubting its ability to do so. It’s that a human can reason through why the answer should be different, despite any common priors,
88.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
The human recognized that they made the mistake and fixed it. As mentioned in the original comment, GPT failed to recognize the mistake even after being told. That's the key here that indicates it can't "reason." There a
89.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
But I think that's the whole point of the exercise? That GPT-4 is leaning on stringing tokens together in a reply rather than reasoning through the problem itself which, I would think, would be "required" for AGI (though we m
90.
by colinmorelli 4y ago
I have no idea what you’re commenting in response to, but the parent comment had a typo that said shareholder bailout, and regardless of your opinion as to whether this was a bailout for depositors or not, it most certainly wasn’t one for s

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