cman1444

4 ms·

31.
by cman1444 4mo ago
The middle east is in Asia, no?
32.
by cman1444 4mo ago
Reminds me of the doherty threshold. When will AI respond in less than 400 milliseconds?
33.
by cman1444 4mo ago
By this logic all money is inherently worthless too, and every time you buy a sandwich at the local corner shop you're just passing off that worthless piece of paper to the next schmuck. In reality, things have value because people bel
34.
by cman1444 4mo ago
That ".125% is not much to matter" argument also cuts the other way, against the Matt Levine argument that the S&P is excluding trillion dollar companies and should adjust the rules for them. Should S&P really adjust the r
35.
by cman1444 5mo ago
Because for many people who pursue these fundamental truths, the reward is not necessarily personal fame, fortune, or even personal understanding. Advancing humanity's total knowledge (even if that knowledge is by proxy through AI) is
36.
by cman1444 5mo ago
Legal has lots of institutional inertia behind it though. I think AI will be very very useful for lawyers..... at their desk in private. But I don't see it replacing them. The legal system is heavily personal and relies a lot on reputa
37.
by cman1444 5mo ago
This is why a lot of my favorite shows/movie series are ones only a few episodes long, but which really give a good feel for the world they take place in. Bladerunner and HBO's Chernobyl are two of my favorites that fit this.
38.
by cman1444 5mo ago
I have a suspicion that, once self-driving cars make up the lion's share of driving, accidents caused by humans will actually increase on a per-mile driven basis. I think humans will eventually fall out of practice of driving when they
39.
by cman1444 5mo ago
>I mean... That was exactly the point. Great. So we agree it is cherry picked. > Sure. It provides an even better illustration about how the runaway urbanism resulted in breaking the previous trend of increasing living area. I don&#x2
40.
by cman1444 5mo ago
> Care to explain the cherry-picking? The average square footage was growing steadily (except for the 2008 crisis) and the inflection point happened around 2012 when the death spiral started in earnest. It is clearly cherry picked becaus
41.
by cman1444 5mo ago
That st louis fed link doesn't seem to show any clear trend to me. Looks like we're actually on a downturn after a peak. Regardless, I don't understand what your proposed solution to this supposed "jobs crisis" is.
42.
by cman1444 5mo ago
That article has cherrypicked dates. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/COMPSFLAM1FQ Also, firm in a dense city can get better talent, but those negative externalities (and I would argue these externalities are not cle
43.
by cman1444 5mo ago
This is the first time I've heard of this locational jobs crisis. Where did you learn about this? I would like to read more about it
44.
by cman1444 5mo ago
The same way you own anything. You buy it or make (breed) it.
45.
by cman1444 5mo ago
>Because the global economy is one gigantic system of systems standing on top of the US financial system. When the US has a gigantic economic shock it ripples worldwide. But de-dollarization is gradual, so it will be a gradual drawdown i
46.
by cman1444 5mo ago
To be honest this comment kind of reads like anti-US fanfiction. >That diversification helps everyone else, but will hurt the US, which hurts financial markets, and thus everyone else. These are huge jumps in logic, I'm not even sur
47.
by cman1444 5mo ago
In extreme scenarios it is certainly possible for the US to ban exports of certain fossil fuels, effectively making an internal US market that is isolated from the rest of the world and basically energy independent. Yes, we would need to bu
48.
by cman1444 5mo ago
This is exactly why I don't think it's a huge risk to be reliant on China for solar panels. If relations between your country and China go bad, it can't be that much of an emergency when they stop exporting them to you. All t
49.
by cman1444 5mo ago
Still not very high by historical standards. In fact, it really just seems like we're approaching the pre-pandemic norm. https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IN12536
50.
by cman1444 6mo ago
I agree. It's not trendy to have much appreciation for capitalism these days, but it's hard to ignore that the fierce competition in this space seems like it's going to result in commoditized productivity gains for the masses
51.
by cman1444 6mo ago
There are plenty of entities that don't pay property taxes. Charities, religious facilities, some disabled people, spouses of fallen service members.
52.
by cman1444 6mo ago
But then in the second portion of your comment you seem to be implying that it's all hype and nothing to worry about. Just because something more powerful will be out in a year, doesn't mean we shouldn't worry about the one a
53.
by cman1444 6mo ago
This comment must be a joke. It is not even remotely debatable that the US has the strongest military in the world. Outside of nuclear MAD, if the US were in a total war scenario against any other country in the world, the US would win ever
54.
by cman1444 7mo ago
Insights from a real estate perspective: Most of the jobs that have the highest AI exposure are office jobs. Clerks, assistants, secretaries, software developers, bookkeepers, customer service, lawyers, etc. There has been a narrative the p
55.
by cman1444 7mo ago
Wouldn't you consider the Maduro capture a minimally lethal operation?
56.
by cman1444 8mo ago
If the AI were instead human, that human would almost certainly be cited as a co-author, contributor, or whatever.
57.
by cman1444 8mo ago
By significantly reducing the cost of creating the advertisements. Want to air a commercial? You no longer have to have actors, sets, designers, costumes, etc. just ask AI to make you a commercial and describe what you want it to look like.
58.
by cman1444 8mo ago
Of course there's jobs that don't have a productivity boost from AI. The question is whether across the entire economy there will be a 5% GDP boost. Teachers, cleaners, and daycare workers may see 0% gains, but don't be surpr
59.
by cman1444 8mo ago
Of course they should be, but that's not what will happen. Humans are not rational, so self-driving cars must be significantly safer than human drivers to avoid as much political pushback as possible.
60.
by cman1444 8mo ago
Monopolies are essentially 100% horizontal integration. Vertical integration is a completely different concept.

More ›