clairity

82 ms·

841.
by clairity 5y ago
frankly, there wasn't a whole lot we could do to alter the trajectory we were on. even a month(s)-long, wuhan-style lockdown could only temporarily arrest infection rates, unless the whole world literally did it together. even then, re
842.
by clairity 5y ago
> “…it is usually a very good idea to defer to expertise.” this is exactly what i’m pointedly disagreeing with. expertise gives you no such esteem to have others defer to you by default. what it does confer is an expectation of novel (to
843.
by clairity 5y ago
sorry, being 'an expert' has no bearing on the veracity of your claims. and further, claiming the nominative of 'expert' tends to negatively correlate with veracity. at best, you're an expert at the thing you study
844.
by clairity 5y ago
it's been obvious since march of last year that this was the inevitable outcome of covid, yet we've spent nearly two years hand-wringing and fearmongering over it. it's the novelty of the virus combined with the general unpre
845.
by clairity 5y ago
no, the epidemiological model in question has two degrees of freedom, and one of those degrees is stipulated by the assumed shape of the curve (exponential, even though that's a poor fit overall, logistic being a better fit). R0 does n
846.
by clairity 5y ago
this is a mathematical convention, not simply an epidemiological term. the 0th term of any function, like R0, is generally understood as the initial condition constant (at time t=0). R(t) is a function of time and R0 is the value of R at ti
847.
by clairity 5y ago
yah, that’s why we’d want to narrow the car lanes and put trees right along the street: to aid traffic calming. by removing street parking (and putting it in the mid-block underground alley), you also make the street less about cars and mor
848.
by clairity 5y ago
note that startpage has been (partially) owned by system1, an adtech company, since 2019: https://wikipedia.org/wiki/Startpage.com
849.
by clairity 5y ago
a number of years ago, i worked in one of the downtown LA office towers when a 5.x earthquake hit. it was a jolt and rumble, and looking out the window, we saw the other towers nearby swaying back and forth. then we realized we were also
850.
by clairity 5y ago
that's factored in as 'sociability'. rather than limiting social activity, the exceptional mitigation could be to distance or wear a mask in indoor social situations (but no need to do so otherwise in most public spaces). you
851.
by clairity 5y ago
> "Just get rid of the large ornament and generally useless front lawn." walking (my dog) around my neighborhood, which has a surprising number of different setback standards, has led me to think about this issue abnormally oft
852.
by clairity 5y ago
lots of people following that advice would create a bullwhip effect actually. instead, the better factors to consider are age, weight[0], comorbidities, household size, job duties (e.g., public-facing or not), and sociability. these also te
853.
by clairity 5y ago
hey timr, i really appreciate your level-headed critiques (in the positive sense) of covid research despite the continued negativity you're receiving. few folks have been able to ignore the fearmongering and dig more deeply into the tu
854.
by clairity 5y ago
> "...training dogs has a huge wealth of actionable knowledge needed to interact with humans..." yah, i couch this as 'dogs are first-order humans', feeling many of the same emotions (joy, pleasure, contentment, anger
855.
by clairity 5y ago
for personal edification and rumination, sure, having more perspectives tends to lead to more breadth and depth of thought. but when it comes to mediopolitical rhetoric, make no mistake, it’s about railroading thought down one of two rigidl
856.
by clairity 5y ago
an axis is literally dichotomizing, and dichotomies don't aid understanding of complex, dynamic systems because of the numerous chaotic (i.e., higher order) drivers of phenomena within the system. dichotomies provide faux-understanding
857.
by clairity 5y ago
no, they have so much data because their models are so bad. the vast data is used to give the illusion of good models by sheer volume, so little random matches are made more likely. that’s why google and the like want to hoover up our data,
858.
by clairity 5y ago
yes, a chimp could literally rip the arm(s) out of a human without a sweat. 1 chimp arm is roughly equivalent to 2 of the strongest human arms.
859.
by clairity 5y ago
> "Masks work. That was not the question." no, 'masks work' is an extremely poor and politically-loaded statement (and as such, not a 'fact'). that phrase is meant to be thought-terminating, projecting false
860.
by clairity 5y ago
hn auto-capitalizes the title i believe. it was submitted uncapitalized.
861.
by clairity 5y ago
that scenario is unlikely in the proposed scenario, since the powers of the federal government is limited insofar as targeting like that is expressly prohibited. indirect targeting (crafting the specifics of a bill to exclude all but the ta
862.
by clairity 5y ago
rather than worrying specifically about term limits, i think the general solution to political corruption is much more democracy, not less. make it very, very expensive for money to corrupt power, and make it hard to stay in power without
863.
by clairity 5y ago
i love rails, but i’d point out that business logic exists all over the place in a rails app, not just in the controllers. that’s because rails has no standard solution for compound requests (those involving many models and/or multiple
864.
Bell Hooks, Groundbreaking Feminist Thinker, Dies at 69(birminghamtimes.com)
20 points by clairity 5y ago|2 comments
865.
by clairity 5y ago
you are building a counter stance to drive a point that aims to maximize the covid problem. you can fight reality with fearmongering and projection, but facts don’t care. hospitals are only irregularly overwhelmed because of greed, not covi
866.
by clairity 5y ago
no, any explanation of a ‘super spreader event’ is making a post hoc rationalization, arising from the biases of the explainers. thermo-fluid models of such conditions are often similarly biased, but have the additional proof burden of no
867.
by clairity 5y ago
> "aerosol risk can be >50 ft for hours after a spread event" no, that's cringeworthy fearmongering. the virus is fragile and falls apart relatively quickly outside the body. the main risk behavior is having long conver
868.
by clairity 5y ago
left-right is the worst of political dichotomies. it provides no purpose other than to arbitrarily divide the world into good vs. bad from the perspective of the viewer. that’s meant to solely benefit politicians, not provide any clarity, b
869.
by clairity 5y ago
it’s worth always keeping in mind that the only dichotomy that matters in political economies is that between the wealthy and powerful and everyone else, not left-right, black-white, east-west, socialist-capitalist, or anything else. it’s b
870.
by clairity 5y ago
that doesn’t mean it takes you driving 100m miles to die; that’s a population level statistic. your lifetime chances of death by car is 1 in 100.

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