cjlars

27 ms·

211.
by cjlars 10y ago
Google the headline and access it through the search results.
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by cjlars 11y ago
A good guideline for whether to truncate a y-axis or not is that the conclusion that a reasonable and knowledgeable researcher would draw after looking at the data should be clearly implied based on a quick cursory glance at the chart. If t
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by cjlars 11y ago
It impacts him at the margin. More eyeballs on articles like this one mean a faster market response and more patients doing a little extra digging to find fair treatment for their ailment. He also wouldn't want this article to come up
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by cjlars 11y ago
>“This is still one of the smallest pharmaceutical products in the world” What Turing is doing is exploiting the natural monopoly that has formed for this drug. I was able to find only two global producers of this drug after a quick sear
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by cjlars 12y ago
To the people dissatisfied with the headline unemployment rate, we can also look at the U5 unemployment rate, which includes discouraged workers. It tells roughly the same story as the headline rate, U6 which includes part-for-economic-reas
216.
by cjlars 13y ago
I'm not sure Freedman is trying to make a theoretical argument that you can't extrapolate marginal price per share into total market cap. What struck me here, but what the author fails to point out directly, is that the implied va
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by cjlars 14y ago
It's not really flame-worthy because you're mostly right. I do however, think Black-Scholes is an appropriate starting point for options theory, even if it's not used a ton in practice. Without some sort of framework, you're effectively los
218.
by cjlars 14y ago
The underlying study to this whole, "money doesn't motivate us," idea often gets misinterpreted. What did the study actually say? They took a group and had them perform two tasks. One was a problem solving task that required an abstract / c
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by cjlars 14y ago
I think it's closer to 49.5% in favor of the player, but counting cards is an attainable skill and will push your edge a bit above zero.
220.
by cjlars 14y ago
I also had a period where I played "professionally" part-time. In the current environment, I'd say this is the correct earn rate for your average dedicated player. However, most people will never become dedicated -- poker is an amazing less
221.
by cjlars 14y ago
I don't know a great all purpose finance board. Unfortunately, there's a lot of really terrible advice at most public finance and investing forums and as a beginner it can be really hard to tell who's running on ideology and who's actually
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by cjlars 14y ago
Thanks, you're right and I changed it above. For those curious, the Taylor Rule is more accurately a method for optimizing along the Phillips Curve.
223.
by cjlars 14y ago
Not exactly. Long terms rates have actually risen* from this announcement. The short term effect is, yes, more demand for treasuries which pushes yield down, but the long term effect is higher inflation, which pushes yields up. Following th
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by cjlars 14y ago
Finance geek here. The whole point of this is to raise inflation. Not by a lot, but by a little. The market is currently forcasting ~2.5% inflation looking forward and this won't likely push that expectation above 3-3.5%. The reason for thi
225.
by cjlars 14y ago
I think you hit it on the head with the weight issue. 15 pounds isn't light, but it's manageable for most people -- about the same as an 18 pack of canned soda/beer. The $500 board listed above is a whopping 37 pounds... much heavier than a
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by cjlars 14y ago
One idea I've had to help mitigate this problem is to develop a sort of "intelligence" score, where you weigh votes from high scoring individuals over votes from low scoring individuals. The easiest way I can think of to do this is to use a
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by cjlars 14y ago
I've often wondered why no social news systems support a so called "smart vote." We could get a quick estimate from a user's comment history using a Flesch-Kincaid test (technically this guesses at writing grade level, but close enough) and
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by cjlars 14y ago
He's also taking out $20k per year, a whopping four percent. Standard in the financial planning industry is that long term retirees need to keep their annual draw down to about 2% to keep their portfolio steady or growing. So 4% to spend, 5
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by cjlars 14y ago
Guitar chords / tabs / lessons are a terrible SEO spam offender... Look at that! I finally found an accurate transcription of "Bohemian Rhapsody"
230.
by cjlars 15y ago
NFC offers two big opportunities. The first is NFC as hardware, which is what Tagstand is doing. I agree that this is a fairly straightforward business. The second, and arguably much larger, opportunity is the software component, which we h
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by cjlars 15y ago
So there are three adjustments to this accounting method that make it different from normal operating profits: 1. Online Marketing -- They excluded about $180mm of their $208mm Q2'11 advertising budget. Ostensibly because this cost should b
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by cjlars 15y ago
A slightly different interpretation is that slogans that aren't fully true trigger cognitive dissonance, which in turn triggers distrust. For example: "Save Money. Live Better." It isn't obviously true that living better follows saving mone
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In Norway, personal income is a matter of public record(articles.sfgate.com)
40 points by cjlars 16y ago|39 comments
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by cjlars 16y ago
I agree and I'm not entirely sure that the company can sustain the same level of profitability, given the fickleness of gamers. My big worry is that their profit margins return to industry average levels. There's plenty of reason to believe
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by cjlars 16y ago
The numbers: WSJ reports $400 million in profits on $850 million in revenue. $7 billion puts them at a 17.5 p/e ratio, or about in line with 3M, Pepsi and McDonalds. Netflix and Amazon, by comparison, are trading at a p/e of over 70. Facebo
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by cjlars 16y ago
From a certain economic standpoint, the US economy actually has discounted itself over the past few years, possibly permanently. How? In the years leading up to it, we'd been enjoying a nice steady 5% increase per year in the total amount m
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by cjlars 16y ago
In my eye, ebooks are the big driver here. The core market for the Kindle is older, wealthier individuals (read: investors) and sales revenue from ebooks rose 173% last year, Amazon sells more Kindle books than physical books and so on. It'
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by cjlars 16y ago
This could be an interesting browser plugin, but I have a hard time seeing a business model. FWIW, I wouldn't use it, simply because I tend to remember looking the word up, and if I can't remember what it means, I get frustrated and look it
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by cjlars 16y ago
There are about 1000 MBA programs in the US, for about 900 of those, this is true. However, I think it's worth noting that plenty of students who go to Boston College, Boulder, Seattle, or any other program in the lower ranks of the top 100
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by cjlars 16y ago
Call me crazy, but I'd really like to see pitches implemented in a reddit/HN style system.

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