bwfan123

8 ms·

181.
by bwfan123 8mo ago
> This is the same dynamic that kept IBM dominant for decades IBM still sells mainframes but is no longer a growth darling. > Markets are right to reassess multiples. But reassessing multiples is very different from pricing in extinct
182.
by bwfan123 8mo ago
> Software world is really getting weird. Automation of easy templated tasks will cause a huge disruption. Production of software used to be a skilled job, but now is automated to a large degree. This has huge impacts to the profession a
183.
by bwfan123 8mo ago
> People you see are perfectly aware of themselves Are they rote-students imitating or copying memes and as such are driven by inadequate-ideas or are they students who understand the subject from its first assumptions and as such are d
184.
by bwfan123 8mo ago
> culture is intertwined with the hard problem of consciousness Majority of people are sleep-walking as machines driven by imitation, habit and external forces. We live in a dreamlike, mechanical state lacking the awareness of this itsel
185.
by bwfan123 8mo ago
> The basic force behind all culture formation is imitation We are also limited by the linguistic structures we inhabit. And many languages have multiple variants. There is the respectful, obedient "formal" variant used at the
186.
by bwfan123 8mo ago
> you cant learn to be 'empathetic'. I would tend to disagree. The tech types have a strong intellectual center, but weaker emotional and movement centers. I think a realignment is possible with practice. It takes time, and as
187.
by bwfan123 8mo ago
> Sometimes, yeah. I don't think we're disagreeing I would disagree. Formalism and precision have a critical role to play which is often underestimated. More so with the advent of llms. Fuzziness of natural languages is both a
188.
by bwfan123 8mo ago
The pattern matching rote-student is acing the class. No surprises here. There is no need to understand the subject from first principles to ace tests. Majority of high-school and college kids know this.
189.
by bwfan123 8mo ago
> his writing did not appear impolite to me I learnt something from this thread. That, respectfulness and politeness are more from intentions/actions than from speech alone. Politeness of language without any respect for the actual
190.
by bwfan123 9mo ago
> Science should be about reproducibility, and almost nothing here is reproducible. I can see your frustration. You are looking for reproducible "benchmarks". But you have to realize several things. 1) research level problems a
191.
by bwfan123 9mo ago
> So what do we really learn? We will learn if the magical capabilities attributed to these tools are really true or not. Capabilities like they can magically solve any math problem out there. This is important because AI hype is creatin
192.
by bwfan123 9mo ago
> are not doing the science correctly What do you mean ? These are top-notch mathematicians who are genuinely trying to see how these tools can help solve cutting edge research problems. Not toy problems like those in AIME/AMC/
193.
by bwfan123 9mo ago
> but gives me the "AI-generated reading fatigue." Agree. The article could have been summarized into a few paragraphs. Instead, we get unnecessary verbiage that goes on and on in an AI generated frenzy. Like the "organic&
194.
by bwfan123 9mo ago
> And they failed pretty terribly at achieving what they set out to do. Why the angst ? If the ai can autonomously solve these problems, isnt that a huge step forward for the field.
195.
by bwfan123 9mo ago
> But the path forward is brutal Great insider feedback. What is the switching cost for a SoR ? Is it embedded so deeply that is impossible to switch (like IBM mainframes). Wont the incumbents make a good living increasing per-seat price
196.
by bwfan123 9mo ago
> I can already feel the contracts coming to fix LLM slop First, the agents will attempt to fix issues on their own. Most easy problems will be fixed or worked-around in this manner. The hard problems will require a deeper causal model o
197.
by bwfan123 9mo ago
> you might temper your expectations of a rational market TSLA is like a snowball down a hill. It morphs from EV to autonomous driving to AI to robots to space to tera fab to space datacenters. Rolling in the next big narrative or gov ha
198.
by bwfan123 9mo ago
There was also a mini bubble around social media aggregators and RSS feeds culminating in sites like gada.be I see the dynamic as follows (be warned, cynical take) 1) there are the youth who are seeking approval from the community - look I
199.
by bwfan123 9mo ago
producing BS can be equated to generating statements without caring for their truth value. Generating them is easy. Refuting them requires one to find a proof or a contradiction which is a lot of work, and is equal to "solving" th
200.
by bwfan123 9mo ago
I am actually surprised that the LLM came so close. I doubt it had examples in its training set for these numbers. This goes to the heart of "know-how". The LLM should should have said: "I am not sure" but instead gets i
201.
by bwfan123 9mo ago
> It would be great if those scientists who use AI without disclosing it get fucked for life. There need to be dis-incentives for sloppy work. There is a tension between quality and quantity in almost every product. Unfortunately academi
202.
by bwfan123 9mo ago
> If LLMs are covering a gap here maybe there's an opportunity for better, local, lower-tech tooling that doesn't require such a huge tech stack (and subscriptions/rent) to solve simple, tractable problems? I see this with
203.
by bwfan123 9mo ago
thanks for sharing !
204.
by bwfan123 9mo ago
> Understanding (not necessarily reading) always was the real work. Great comment. Understanding is mis-"understood" by almost everyone. :) Understanding a thing equates to building a causal model of the thing. And I still do n
205.
by bwfan123 9mo ago
imo, The OP has bad ai-assisted takes on almost every single "critical question". This makes me doubt if he has breadth of experience in the craft. For example. > Narrow specialists risk finding their niche automated or obsolet
206.
by bwfan123 9mo ago
I am not sure why the OP is painting it as a "us-vs-them" - pro or anti-AI ? AI is a tool. Use it if it helps. I would draw an analogy here between building software and building a home. When building a home we have a user providi
207.
by bwfan123 9mo ago
> This substantially reduces the incentive for the creation of new IP And as a result of this, the models will start consuming their own output for training. This will create new incentives to promote human generated code.
208.
by bwfan123 10mo ago
> FOMO encourages increasingly foolish decisions (or at least unsustainable ones) Markets will punish them for poor investments. We have not seen that yet, but it is coming.
209.
by bwfan123 10mo ago
> I can confirm that they are completely useless for real programming Can you elaborate on "real programming" ? I am assuming you mean the simplest hard problem that is solved. The value of the work is measured in those terms.
210.
by bwfan123 10mo ago
I saw this in a past hype cycle. What happens is that it becomes a "performative" art in an echo-chamber for startups, startup founders, VCs. Performative meaning doing things one thinks others want to see rather than when it make

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