bumby

9 ms·

151.
by bumby 10mo ago
> That is literally the system that exists today Agreed. But the difference is I'm saying a better solution is to adjust the incentives rather than just keeping the same incentives but making it more transparent. I would be in favo
152.
by bumby 10mo ago
That’s a bit of a strawman considering I was deliberate in saying hardware interfaces are limited and not saying they are zero. The number of interfaces in software is often going to be orders of magnitude greater. The network effects and f
153.
by bumby 10mo ago
Something often overlooked in cost/schedule estimates is the nature of joint probability of actions slipping. Action A slips and causes action B to slip. I think software is tougher to estimate because the number of interfaces is often
154.
by bumby 10mo ago
You’re saying finding the people most incentivized by money is the feature we should be optimizing for? If you select those people, what’s to keep them from creating a system that gives them ever more amounts of money, to the detriment of t
155.
by bumby 10mo ago
I think if you look at the numbers, it doesn’t make sense. For Toyota to have a similar market cap at their current PE, they would need to sell something like 95% of the total cars worldwide. So unless people think Tesla will have a worldwi
156.
by bumby 10mo ago
> The only reason people make money off of stocks is because at the end, someone gives those companies money. Small quibble. The reason why people make money off stocks is largely because people think people will give those companies i
157.
by bumby 10mo ago
I’m only playing devils advocate here but the counter argument is society is very complex and it takes time to understand it to a sufficient degree. Short term limits would mean a Congress making impactful decisions without fully understand
158.
by bumby 10mo ago
I’m not defending congressional trading, but there are potentially other confounding variables (emphasis on potential). Leaders may tend to be older, have more appetite for risk, or leadership may correlate with wealth/status because “
159.
by bumby 10mo ago
I didn’t get a chance to read the entire NBER paper, but an important nuance is that it takes an industry-normalized perspective. It could be possible that someone in Congress has insider information about a specific industry that helps the
160.
by bumby 1y ago
What bothers me is when people treat the third as some sort of virtue. I think operating in the ethical gray areas makes them feel smart instead of unethical.
161.
by bumby 1y ago
That link is more marketing than substance. Is there any data on how well these models perform? For example, how well does their predictive maintenance work, how much risk-adjusted money savings does it provide, what data streams does it re
162.
by bumby 1y ago
Ethics, in simple terms, is how we treat each other. If you claim it’s intrinsically attached to something like decentralized power, it’s at the least a misunderstanding and possibly a misapplied dogma.
163.
by bumby 1y ago
Except the current premise is largely based on constraining humans to the drudgery that AI cannot do. Current AI is more focused on creative works, not on folding the laundry and replacing faucets. I had a professor decades ago who was near
164.
by bumby 1y ago
I never understood why in these types of discussions, things seem to be shoehorned into a context where usefulness is only measured in some sort of economic ROI. Economics isn’t an end; it can a means to one, but that doesn’t mean it’s the
165.
by bumby 1y ago
I wonder how much of that is driven by poor performing behavioral models. There was a HN article from a few weeks back and it only had an accuracy of about 70% determining if someone was awake or asleep. I would guess that the secondary beh
166.
by bumby 1y ago
Kids are generally an asset in poor countries and a liability in rich ones. That doesn’t negate the fact that those distinctions are drawn from societal causes. > home ownership is pretty much constant I’m not convinced this metric is a
167.
by bumby 1y ago
I did not ask “how many points below inflation.” That was a different poster. I’m trying to nudge the conversation towards a larger and more relevant context. Standard of living is what we ultimately care about; everything else is just a p
168.
by bumby 1y ago
Now do it comparing labor productivity and real wages.
169.
by bumby 1y ago
> Axon's stock a year ago was at $354/share. This year at the same time? Its now $760/share. This is a somewhat incomplete picture. PE ratio was also inflated by 50% in the last year. So the increase in stock price isn’t
170.
by bumby 1y ago
> you classify different pictures of digits that DID appear. Are you implying models that classify hand-written digits don’t generalize and only work on training data?
171.
by bumby 1y ago
“Piercing the corporate veil” is a viable way to hold individuals accountable so they doing hide behind the limited liability in certain cases, like fraud.
172.
by bumby 1y ago
I think that makes sense, but it implies the quality is really a function of the curation. That’s true regardless of the forum, though; I can have a high quality Twitter feed by carefully curating it, but that doesn’t mean Twitter is an inh
173.
by bumby 1y ago
> higher-quality subreddits nearly always have much more value in comments than the submission itself provides. I have this experience too, until I remember the Gell-Mann amnesia effect. There are certain forums where there appear to be
174.
by bumby 1y ago
I believe this is a prime example of platform decay (“enshittification”). This tends to make the customer experience worse to reduce the workload/increase profits for the company. At least with the current version of LLM chatbots, I’ve
175.
by bumby 1y ago
I think this comment mistakes “understanding the plot” as the main goal of reading, but misses that reading (as a process, a verb) can be the goal in itself, at least in terms of recreational reading. Summarization misses all that experienc
176.
by bumby 1y ago
Not all journals require a DOI link for each reference. Most good ones do seem to have a system to verify the reference exists and is complete; I assume there’s some automation to that process but I’d love to hear from journal editorial sta
177.
by bumby 1y ago
I’ve thought the same about our dogs when we stare for hours at “the light box.” I wonder if it’s anything like what I feel when I watch them sniff the same bush for a seemingly endless amount of time like it’s the most interesting thing in
178.
by bumby 1y ago
Irony is the opposite of what you’d expect, or incongruity between what is expected and what occurs. I expect someone lecturing on safe driving to…well, know how to drive safely. Hypocrisy requires deception, not ignorance.
179.
by bumby 1y ago
No offense, but nature of these replies sounds more like someone parroting tech speak than someone applying principles that have a context beyond just tech or AWS. > scale free organizational culture The fact that the meetings are bottl
180.
by bumby 1y ago
How do you know the demand is the key problem and not a symptom downstream of the root problem? In other words, why is the demand so high that it outstrips supply? That might get you a didn’t solution than “technological advancement.”

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