bumby

39 ms·

631.
by bumby 2y ago
I think that makes sense as a philosophical thought, but do you think it's testable to actually tell us anything about the human condition? E.g., If motor movement and causal inference are coupled, would you expect a baby born with loc
632.
by bumby 2y ago
> Eliminate the NIMBYs This is said rather matter-of-factly, but how do you propose doing that in a society with democratic values (ie people get a voice in their governance) and also where 70% of most household wealth is in their prope
633.
by bumby 2y ago
Is the extension of your position that we are born with a theory of the body, irrespective of experience? How does that relate to the psychological literature where babies seem to lack a coherent sense of self? I.e., they can't differe
634.
by bumby 2y ago
Honest question from a non-economist: where is the distinction drawn between "value extraction" and "rent seeking"? Even the canonical example of lobbyists can make some ambiguously defensible position that they add som
635.
by bumby 2y ago
I'm not sure I'm understanding your stance fully, so please forgive any poor interpretation. > certain, deterministic, non-bayesian primitive model of our bodies What makes you certain the model of our body is non-Bayesian? Do
636.
by bumby 2y ago
I don't know if it's unique to my use case (research), but I haven't had much luck getting ChatGPT to develop useable code. At best, it seems like it's useful for identifying packages to research to solve the problem. Ma
637.
by bumby 2y ago
And by extension, the assumption is that animals can carry forward an unlimited amount of information from the past? I.e., humans rely on culture to "carry forward" ideas from the past that are outside their individual contextual
638.
by bumby 2y ago
> The problem is that general problem solving requires potentially arbitrary amounts of moving data Can you expand on this thought?
639.
by bumby 2y ago
I don't think that argument holds water either. Not too long ago, Congress passed legislation to prevent the railroad strike.[1] The fact that it was a bill that didn't capitulate to the union demands also shows the govt isn'
640.
by bumby 2y ago
> The difference there was that PATCO was a union for government air traffic controllers. The Taft-Hartley Act already made it illegal for public sector unions to strike (later replaced by a similar law, the same law from which the SF-6
641.
by bumby 2y ago
That take is predicated on the assumption that the govt will always side with the union. Ask ATCs from the 1980s who the govt tends to side with when it comes to critical infrastructure.
642.
by bumby 2y ago
That seems to point to a problem with administration than the mechanism itself. It's like pointing to the fraud surrounding PPP loans and concluding the government shouldn't provide assistance in an emergency.
643.
by bumby 2y ago
That was effectively my point. There aren't appropriate dollar incentives to make the "market solution" work. It's really just a feel-good or virtue-signaling apparatus, not a financial market solution.
644.
by bumby 2y ago
> Software developers have no such protection. I wonder if this is at all related to NCEES re-releasing their controls licensure option?
645.
by bumby 2y ago
Curious if you could elaborate? It seems like the issue isn’t carbon credits, but the lack of a regulated level of carbon that would make them effective. Market incentives work best with dollar incentives, not virtue points.
646.
by bumby 2y ago
Depending on your definition of “fair” this presupposes people are good at estimating risk. The above premise was is based on the fact that they are not. I think there’s a lot of behavioral research that backs that up.
647.
by bumby 2y ago
I don’t think anyone reasonable is advocating believing institutions on blind faith (possibly with the exception of religious institutions). They need to be transparent and also strive to reflect the values (risk and otherwise) of their con
648.
by bumby 2y ago
This is true, but different than the maritime platforms I was talking about. The ones that tend to focus on reliability-centered optimization are platforms used for drilling, not transport. Even then, you will see instances where they decid
649.
by bumby 2y ago
> private people) can decide to lower their risk exposure I think the complexities of modern societies make it too difficult to measure this risk adequately. We just don’t have the bandwidth to think about the second-and-third order eff
650.
by bumby 2y ago
There are also a lot of engineering examples where the goal is to optimize for reliability. I think the most common domain is marine platforms where it is prohibitively expensive to induct and repair (you have to send a team out by helicopt
651.
by bumby 2y ago
I read it as a counter to Postman’s citing Huxley that society is becoming enamored with the superficial (ie the ignoble) pursuits. I read the OP as effectively saying “who is to say what is noble vs trivial, considering it varies in societ
652.
by bumby 2y ago
> belief that it'll lead us closer to where we want to go. That just sounds like a hypothesis (ie unfounded conjecture). Meanwhile, the counterclaim at least has a basis in empirical results. We should craft policy based on how peo
653.
by bumby 2y ago
I think there’s an argument that behavioral change is much more difficult that just ingesting the information. (And I’m talking about people who want to change, not some nefarious change instituted by someone else or an institution). Think
654.
by bumby 2y ago
I don’t think it’s coincidence that the American addiction to cheap shit coincides with lower union membership and a shrinking middle class.
655.
by bumby 2y ago
In theory, I agree that LLMs could perform those jobs. I may just be less of a techno optimist. If history is any guide, the automation of front-line human interfaces will lead to less good customer service in the name of lowering labor cos
656.
by bumby 2y ago
Are you should making those jobs more efficient is the right goal? David Graeber may have disagreed, or at least agreed that the most efficient action is to remove those jobs altogether. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bu
657.
by bumby 2y ago
"People tend to overestimate what can be done in one year and to underestimate what can be done in five or ten years" I've heard this applied to all kinds of human goals, but it seems apt for AI expectations as well.
658.
by bumby 2y ago
I think there are still mechanics at play that would have to be considered. > The probe bears on the ice below it This implies it is bearing the weight of the entire cable above it. So instead of the tensile stress being the limiting fa
659.
by bumby 2y ago
> You can put an arbitrary amount of cable in a given hole diameter by making the spool taller. Wouldn't this be limited to the tensile strength of the material and the weight of the cable? Granted, Europa has much less gravity, bu
660.
by bumby 2y ago
(If you have to fill out timecards): does your timecard reflect that implicit understanding? Or, alternatively, if your timecard doesn’t, could you be hit with timecard fraud?

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