btilly

28 ms·

271.
by btilly 11mo ago
I don't either. Even with their problems, they didn't miss by much. One key factor against them, though, is that they were facing a company whose long-term CEO had written Only The Paranoid Survive . At that point he had moved fr
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by btilly 11mo ago
That's kind of the bet they made, but misses a key point. Their fundamental idea was that by having simpler CPUs, they could iterate on Moore's law more quickly. And eventually they would win on performance. Not just on a few spec
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by btilly 11mo ago
That is why I said "strongly suggests" instead of "guarantees". And then further followed up with a link to research showing that it is, in fact, possible to change. With advice on how to change it.
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by btilly 11mo ago
First, if I'm basing it on things that actually happened, then by definition it cannot be a strawman argument. And your insisting otherwise is just plain rude. Second, you are just giving your opinion about doctors. You are not providi
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by btilly 11mo ago
Research on heritability have found that the amount of temporal discounting we do is moderately heritable. With twin studies ranging from 30-60% of our natural variability explained by genes. This strongly suggests that genetics definitely
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by btilly 11mo ago
Your anecdotal report that diet and exercise did not have a huge effect on your cholesterol does not discount the mountain of evidence that we have showing that diet and exercise has a huge effect on health and lifespan. These effects were
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by btilly 11mo ago
If my health is my responsibility, then shouldn't the treatment that I receive be to the standard that I request? In 2015, https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/26551272/ showed that medicating all of the way to normal
278.
by btilly 11mo ago
Are you sure that this is a strawman? Accepted medical guidelines not long ago said to bring blood pressure from the dangerous range, to elevated, then encourage patients to engage in diet and exercise. Research such as https://
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by btilly 11mo ago
I have an objection to the "better lifestyle and diet" approach. Sure, it is absolutely true that better lifestyle and diet has a huge effect. However it is absolutely certain that the vast majority of people who are told to impro
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by btilly 11mo ago
The human in question was a CEO for around 20 years. People who spend that long in the C-suite absorb a certain amount of corporate language. And while you may consider corporate culture to be bullshit, others don't. Where others inclu
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by btilly 11mo ago
And yet, they left the mouth of a human. The point that he was explaining when I saw the quote was why the hiring process at Zappos had a "culture fit" part of the interview process. Because you can't maintain a culture, if y
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by btilly 11mo ago
Yes. See https://accu.org/journals/overload/14/71/miller_2004/ for one reason why compilation time can easily become exponential. In many organizations, compilation time tends to hover around a benc
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by btilly 11mo ago
In my experience, long-term volunteers like this don't just up and quit without having already made multiple attempts at communicating first. The fact that those attempts are not detailed in a public "I quit" message, doesn&#
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by btilly 11mo ago
True, the pressure on him to be some sort of guru of happiness lead to an experiment that turned out tragically. But that doesn't invalidate the importance of the principles on which Zappos succeeded under his leadership. It is a mista
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by btilly 11mo ago
This brings to mind the Tony Hsieh quote, "You show what your values really are by the opportunities you turn down." All successful startups are fighting a battle against entropy. And entropy is becoming indistinguishable from all
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by btilly 11mo ago
I agree that the image concept was a problem, but I think that you're focused on the wrong detail. The problem with an image based ecosystem that I see is that you are inevitably pushed towards using tools that live within that image.
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by btilly 11mo ago
No, they are related. Corporal punishment of children predicts later bullying. Here are two random links into the research. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37267760/ https://www.cambridge.org/core/
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by btilly 11mo ago
As a kid, yes. As an adult protecting your kid, also yes. As a way to discourage bullies from bullying? Unless you are willing to escalate to jail, no. And even then it isn't that you have dissuaded them, it is that you are physically
289.
by btilly 1y ago
I absolutely love this take. Then again it matches what I've been saying for decades, so I would. Generalizing briefly, the same phenomena of identity underlies a lot of our religious wars. Be it language, braces, indentation, or a var
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by btilly 1y ago
This idea is naively appealing, but is not backed up by research. Closely related, corporal punishment results in kids who are more likely to try to get their way through violence. Though they'll also take care not to be caught doing s
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by btilly 1y ago
No, that is absolutely not a misconception, and is backed by peer reviewed research such as https://www.hks.harvard.edu/publications/why-stigmatized-ado... . What you may be thinking of is research showing that when kid
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by btilly 1y ago
What's going on here is that your momentum changes whenever you experience a force. Your energy changes whenever you experience a force towards or from the direction that you are traveling. The force from the rails at all points is at
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by btilly 1y ago
I wanted to come back to this, and make it explicit how the US program may be running. If there is a run on Tether, the US government will step in behind the scenes and buy Tether at a discount. This gives Tether a backstop. It also gives t
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by btilly 1y ago
About half of the USA thinks that the USA has become one of those countries...
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by btilly 1y ago
I know. I'm a little surprised that they expected people to forget that translation services exist. But it fits with how people get sucked into a lot of cults, fraudulent cults, MLMs and the like. (I'm obviously listing nefarious
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by btilly 1y ago
If you believe their attestations, they pretty much are. See, for example, https://assets.ctfassets.net/vyse88cgwfbl/2SGAAXnsb1wKByIzkh... . Most of the money is in Treasuries, or markets like overnight repos that behav
297.
by btilly 1y ago
Tether is a bubble because it is an organization run by criminals, that has in the past been convicted of fraud, and is unable to pass a basic financial audit. The most reasonable explanation is that it is a Ponzi scheme. Which will appear
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by btilly 1y ago
Given how conveniently Tethers have appeared in the past to prop up key parts of the crypto ecosystem, many are skeptical that they have actually received as much money as they claim.
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by btilly 1y ago
Presumably the figures for Tether's holdings are based on their attestations. Should we believe those figures to be real? There is no other source for estimates of their financial holdings than those attestations. For years, Tether has
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by btilly 1y ago
What you describe is not a contrast to chess. Current LLMs also do not play chess well. Generally they play at the 1000-1300 ELO level. Playing specific games well requires specialized game-specific skills. A general purpose LLM generally l

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