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bryan0
searching PlanetScale…
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22 ms
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331.
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by
bryan0
4y ago
Yeah this a fair point, I’m coming off way too confident on a complicated topic. I’d revise my comment to say: I think this is not true, which can be seen if you make 2 basic assumptions: 1. Scalpers want to make money and 2. There is a max
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bryan0
4y ago
I personally love this type of blog post, and I think it’s good for articles on complicated topics to show their analysis. Have you read Scott Alexander? He does a similar style but with more humor to keep it entertaining.
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bryan0
4y ago
Why do you think sales will decline? The difference is who makes the profit. If Nike increases prices then profit shifts from the scalpers to Nike. The same number of shoes are sold for the same market prices.
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bryan0
4y ago
I’m not sure what you’re talking about. In this case they’re not destroying anything, they’re simply performing arbitrage because of price inefficiency.
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bryan0
4y ago
> That will just raise the market price, scalpers will keep scalping and overall sales will decline. This is not true. Market price will not go up arbitrarily. Scalpers will not keep scalping if the retail price is greater than what they
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Opinion: Kevin McCarthy is getting schooled in history
(cnn.com)
2 points
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bryan0
4y ago
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0 comments
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bryan0
4y ago
Which interviews are you talking about? He repeatedly talks about the horrors of the Soviet Union. Did you see his interview with Fiona Hill? Didn’t seem pro-Putin to me at all. Of course he sees Putin, just like everyone else, as a human b
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bryan0
4y ago
I don’t think you’ve heard too many of his interviews then. He will sometimes go into pot-mode meaning-of-life stuff but that will be for a few minutes in a several hour long interview. If someone is an expert in a niche technical field and
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bryan0
4y ago
> There is a competing “source” from another news organization that is claiming they caught this guy when his phone pinged a “smart device” (Alexa or similar) and its MAC address was logged. Link? I haven’t seen this story yet, but I am
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bryan0
4y ago
I think it was more parallel than that: while we’re running crime scene dna against genealogy dbs, let’s also look for hits on an a white Elantra at the scene. Notice they also said the Elantra was a dead-end last week, so at that point the
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bryan0
4y ago
What’s the use case here? A state wants to find all members of a certain family, so they get DNA from the population and compare against a genealogy database? Seems like there would be more straightforward ways to achieve this?
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A truncated manuscript
(inference-review.com)
14 points
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bryan0
4y ago
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1 comments
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bryan0
4y ago
> Based on these observations, I'd bet the house that no, large language models cannot under any circumstance reason about medical questions at present. Did you read the paper? You already lost this bet. And even if this paper didn’
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bryan0
4y ago
> now that we're getting close to actually being able to build intelligent systems, what's the point ?! What’s the point of going to the moon? It would be a great human achievement and life will never be the same. It also doesn
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bryan0
4y ago
Yeah I think you make good points. > IMO it's even more meaningless if we attempt to test for these before defining precisely what we mean by these terms, since otherwise passing is a subjective measure. This what I think is the bea
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bryan0
4y ago
You say: “The Turing test is a meaningless benchmark” and then in the next sentence you say: “there’s not anything today that would come remotely close to passing the Turing test” So which is it? I think you’re confused because there’s a di
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bryan0
4y ago
This article made more sense pre-GPT. Now I’m not so sure. I think if a transformer based architecture was able to live update its weights and was trained on the proper abstraction of data, then it could possibly pass the Turing test. Edit:
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bryan0
4y ago
What is understanding if not correlations of words and ideas and concepts? I totally respect Penrose but unless he has an noncomputable alternative for the brain then that’s just magic (and completely unnecessary). Now I know Penrose used
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bryan0
4y ago
Yeah not a lawyer and not sure if it’s a good for employees not, but I think companies started recently removing arbitration clauses because of this reason?
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bryan0
4y ago
This article is kind of a mess, but if you get to the end you learn yes these cases were found to be illegal in arbitration hearings. Unfortunately they were not allowed to proceed with a class action lawsuit because of arbitration rules, s
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bryan0
4y ago
I think you are replying in good faith but you are overreacting to the “help” comment which I do not think was intended to be offensive. I think “convergence” is a good term which the Parent used, and based on the context I would interpret
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bryan0
4y ago
The type of computation used in AI is irrelevant for understanding. If our brains are computable then they are Turing machines. If our brains can understand, then so can any UTM using any system of symbol manipulation it likes. If you want
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bryan0
4y ago
Just because it is confused in many instances, you cannot infer that it is incapable of understanding. I would argue that if it is trained with the right data then it will “understand”
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bryan0
4y ago
I disagree, but I think this is one of the most interesting questions of our time.
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bryan0
4y ago
I think you’re also misunderstanding the point of the Chinese Room. The Chinese room purports to show that strong AI is not possible because all computer programs cannot “understand”. I think this argument falls apart unless you can expla
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bryan0
4y ago
Not sure why you’re getting downvoted. You are correct it is difficult to be sure what true understanding is. Philosophers have been debating this for longer than computer scientists.
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bryan0
4y ago
I could say the same thing for you. You’re not understanding you’re just composing words in a way which makes it appear that you do. If you can compose original and creative phrases from novel input, then I would argue that is “understandi
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bryan0
4y ago
> Have you tried better explaining how you flip the plate to ChatGPT and seeing what it replies? Of course, various prompts can change the output. Sometimes it talks about the cupcake sticking to the plate because of friction. Other time
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bryan0
4y ago
I think recombining text in novel ways can be original and creative if you understand the concepts behind the words. which is what ChatGPT is doing.
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bryan0
4y ago
I’ve also been trying to find the simplest examples where ChatGPT fails. I think these questions are way too hard. The questions I’ve been asking are ones a kindergartener can answer. For example: > If I have 1 cupcake on a plate and I f
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