bruce511

25 ms·

271.
by bruce511 9mo ago
Yes, I agree, the musicians aren't mystros. And their technique could use improvement. But I think the analogy holds (from an output point of view), the musicians will continue to improve, and some sections play better than others. The
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by bruce511 9mo ago
True. The market for "coders" will likely go down. The market for developers will remain the same (which means go up, the market for developers has always gone up.)
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by bruce511 9mo ago
Not so much a built up area. We're talking about main roads, or even motorways.
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by bruce511 9mo ago
You clearly haven't lived in my city :). About half our road fatalities are pedestrians. About 80% of those are intoxicated with alcohol. When you're driving at 40mph, at night, and some drunk guy chooses to cross the road, no amo
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by bruce511 9mo ago
I saw someone use the term "orchestration", which seems to be the word for building the software using LLM tools. It made me think of the conductor, seemingly the most skillless job in the orchestra. All you do is wave the batton,
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by bruce511 9mo ago
Returns are better on the lower end of the market, and demand for rent there is higher. Which is why most residential investment is at the bottom end, not the top end. In most markets I'm guessing an 800k house is at the higher end of
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by bruce511 9mo ago
I think the benefits of "low fat" may have been dulled by how literally people took that message, and what companies replaced the fat with. Most available "low fat" products compensated by adding sugar. Lots of sugar.
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by bruce511 9mo ago
I'll add one more data point to the thread; The timing and pricing of investor selling is different to residents selling. Residents sell (mostly) for reasons other than profit. They might be moving up, or moving away, or whatever. Ther
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by bruce511 9mo ago
Not sure why the downvotes, it's a coherent post, and certainly there is a perception that food, and particularly beef, is a partisan issue. Of course Democrats haven't actually taken any steps to penalize beef farming or consumpt
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by bruce511 9mo ago
I'm not sure "gym goer" defines the "average American " :). So I think you can consider your regular breakfast to be an outlier with regard to beef consumption.
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by bruce511 9mo ago
> I care about the health and happiness of my fellow humans. It's not unusual to seek restrictions for the community if they prevent harm. Seat belts? The list of things that cause harm to the community is certainly very long. We co
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by bruce511 9mo ago
How will my work make you feel better? I think what you're really asking is how can your work make the world a better place? And you're looking for ideas? How many people do you need to "improve" to make you feel sel
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by bruce511 9mo ago
First thanks for the "anecdotal evidence" for consciousness being a mentally ill person. That's an excellent laugh on multiple levels. But my main question is this - why do you care if people believe it is sentient or not, an
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by bruce511 10mo ago
Takeoffs are substantially more hazardous than landing. The margin for error is small, and the options for handling the unexpected are minimal. To be clear, take-off is more than just the runway. It extends to the point where the aircraft h
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by bruce511 10mo ago
Yes, I agree, I don't see cargo plane pilots being replaced here. Or indeed commercial pilots in general. Pilots are an unusual species because most of their utility and training is in the ability to deal with (very) edge cases. Indeed
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by bruce511 10mo ago
For most books, but technical non-fiction in particular, the payout isn't nearly worth enough for the effort. And by "most" there I mean "all". Yes, there are exceptions, but those exceptions prove the rule. I'
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by bruce511 10mo ago
I think existing skilled programmers are leveraging AI to increase productivity. I think there are some people with limited, or no, programming experience who are vibe coding small apps out of nothing. But I think this is a tiny fraction of
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by bruce511 10mo ago
I guess two things can be true at the same time. And I think AI will likely matter a lot more than detractors think, and nowhere near as much as enthusiasts think. Perhaps a good analogy is the spreadsheet. It was a complete shift in the wa
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by bruce511 10mo ago
"Economy" is a catchall word here. The answer to your question is dependent on your definition of economy. A traditional economist might define it as "the velocity of money". In a "hot" economy there's a l
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by bruce511 10mo ago
It also makes support more or less impossible. Even if we ship as source, even if the user has the skills to build it, even if the make file supports every version of the kernel, plus all other material variety, plus who knows how many depe
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by bruce511 10mo ago
You are not alone. You like coding. That's where all the fun is. You code things uou want, things that interest you. Since you like to, you know, eat occasionally, you start thinking about monetizing your code. Unfortunately, as you ar
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by bruce511 10mo ago
If you go to a golf coach to "learn golf", they will teach you how to hit the ball. A crucial step, no doubt, but that's well short of "playing golf". Golf is first understanding what to do, then executing it. It&
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by bruce511 10mo ago
Microsoft spent a billion 1995 dollars marketing Win 95. Plus they had existing DOS and Windows 3.x users. Arguably OS/2 was "better" (depending on your definition) but MS were all-in on Windows, and for IBM OS/2 was a
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by bruce511 10mo ago
I mean, define "wasted"? Presumably money will flow to American companies, American employees, American steel industry and so on. In other words, yes it is billions pushed back into the economy, and yes, there will likely be very
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by bruce511 10mo ago
>> "I have the solution, but it works only in the case of spherical cows in a vacuum". I get the joke, but that's not really what modeling means. There's no "only" determination here. So sure, the researc
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by bruce511 10mo ago
In a nutshell, a lot more understanding of how computers work, and how that affects software design. From theory like Order(n), 3rd Normal Form, P versus NP, Recursion, Logic (including bit logic) etc, to practical things like exploration o
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by bruce511 10mo ago
>> A some point the company says "you know what, we like this software so much that we're going to fork it, but the fork isn't going to be free or open source. It's going to be just ours, and we're not going t
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by bruce511 10mo ago
Of course it will shrink! Every industry ever has shrunk as tooling got better. That said, we are a long way from "peak software". There is a lot of scope for new things, so there's room for a lot of high-level people. And
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by bruce511 10mo ago
I've had a long career, and seen a number of systemic changes. I've lived through two software "explosions" where minimal skills lead to large output. The first was web sites and the second was mobile. Web sites are (eve
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by bruce511 10mo ago
Thats not exactly a new question. Netscape would also like an answer. Obviously the short answer, for you personally, is "nothing". You cannot affect either the closing business or Google. The somewhat longer answer is that there

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