benmanns

13 ms·

91.
by benmanns 5y ago
That doesn't change what the quoted pricing predicts. Theta means it's not free to make the bet. Also, with spreads like this, usually your short theta mostly cancels out your long theta, so it's not as expensive as you might
92.
by benmanns 5y ago
Buy 1 Dec 16, 2022 SPX $3,625 Put Sell 1 Dec 16, 2022 SPX $3,600 Put Midpoint price is $3.60 for $25 max gain if SPX is under $3,600, which implies something like a 14.4% chance that SPX is down by 20% more on Dec 16, 2022.
93.
by benmanns 5y ago
Perhaps they've all gotten big enough to run their own DNS?
94.
by benmanns 5y ago
's short for "is the list of"
95.
by benmanns 5y ago
I could see people doing this on old routers with outdated CA certs and etc. But agreed, it seems like a bad idea unless absolutely necessary.
96.
by benmanns 5y ago
Bids and asks are making bold predictions about the current value of an asset. If they are wrong then anyone can enter the market and make a profit. Bid/ask of 99.90/100.10 means that the true value of the asset is between 99.90 a
97.
by benmanns 5y ago
Yeah, and a good level of “yup that makes sense, should work.” [crash] “wait what?!”
98.
by benmanns 5y ago
Patrick McKenzie (@patio11)'s https://www.kalzumeus.com/archive/
99.
by benmanns 5y ago
Interesting, this would give isolation and security at the expense of wasted CPU and memory while waiting on IO that could be run concurrently across multiple requests.
100.
by benmanns 5y ago
This is cool! At my day job I work on a lot of entity resolution/record linkage and have wanted to do something like this for TV/movie content. Maybe also linking against (ahem) non-official sources. How are you disambiguating dif
101.
by benmanns 5y ago
GDAL and ogr2ogr has been helpful for converting formats into ones compatible with PostGIS for me. https://gdal.org/index.html https://gdal.org/programs/ogr2ogr.html
102.
by benmanns 5y ago
US law does. That may or may not be the case in the UK.
103.
by benmanns 5y ago
I don't have experience with video doorbells, but a pattern I use to find IoT devices is look at the Home Assistant integrations[1] for moderately open APIs, then drill down into each product to find one with "Local Polling"
104.
by benmanns 5y ago
I bonds in particular are closer to a CD and are not transferable. If you have access to credit, you could borrow and pay it back once your I bond matures is cashable. Other Treasury notes can be sold, though if rates go up you may get back
105.
by benmanns 5y ago
I bonds in particular cannot be cashed out before 12 months, and before 5 years there is a penalty. Bonds are not covered by FDIC insurance and can default (though less relevant for US Treasury bonds which can print USD and more relevant fo
106.
by benmanns 5y ago
Yes. With enough inflation your house would become worth 10x and your mortgage now represents at most 10% of the new value. Fixed rate leverage is a bet that inflation is understated.
107.
by benmanns 5y ago
There are, roughly speaking. You can look at option pricing to see market predictions on various outcomes, at least ones that can be boiled down to "what will the price of SPY/TLT/EURUSD be in 2022?" If you have a better
108.
by benmanns 5y ago
I would be a lot more willing if 1. I could do it without attaching my public real life identity and 2. I actually got something out of it. There’s no collaborative filtering or anything going on, just risk of a libel lawsuit.
109.
by benmanns 5y ago
Only if "has medical emergencies" is independent from "drives to work." My guess is more medical emergencies happen in hospitals than on the road, even though the average person spends a lot less time in the hospital tha
110.
by benmanns 5y ago
If we report p values around 0.05 wouldn’t you expect about 1 in 20 studies failing to replicate without being bad science?
111.
by benmanns 5y ago
Some that I bought: https://xn--ujdaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa... https://mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm... http://mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm
112.
by benmanns 5y ago
Can you serve images directly from S3 static website hosting? You’ll avoid any cold start (and Lambda costs) that way. You could also put CloudFront or Cloudflare in front for caching after the first request.
113.
by benmanns 5y ago
You might miss out on some credit card rewards or protections (chargebacks, extended warranties, extended return periods, etc).
114.
by benmanns 5y ago
This is correct. Also NYC leases are pretty standard, and NYC laws are tenant friendly at least as far as subletting goes.
115.
by benmanns 5y ago
Agreed. There's not enough disincentive for wasting potential renters time filtering through listings or even touring apartments.
116.
by benmanns 5y ago
We used this pre-COVID to get out of a Brooklyn lease and had a fantastic experience (back when it was Flip Instant). Flip basically charged 1 month rent and guaranteed a fill or they'd pay the rest (6 months) of my lease. Compared to
117.
by benmanns 5y ago
Do you have a recommendation on a quality smart lock for home use? Some ideal mix of security, style, open/compatible software.
118.
by benmanns 5y ago
Their 606 disclosure does have PFOF https://clearingcustody.fidelity.com/app/proxy/content?liter...
119.
by benmanns 5y ago
Everyone sells order flow. It’s: do you want sale of your order flow to be the only fee you pay or do you want to pay commissions on top of that, too?
120.
by benmanns 5y ago
You don't have to upload the plot after you have a verified proof. You do have to pay to store it, though, and that can be pretty expensive on AWS. If you just plot on AWS and store the plots elsewhere to save storage costs, you have t

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