ben_w

27 ms·

541.
by ben_w 3mo ago
> The WFH aficionados that emerged during Covid had no concept of bargain power or power structures. IMO the wrong thing to point at. How many of us have ever, even before Covid, been in a trade union? Unions definitely know about barga
542.
by ben_w 3mo ago
> guy Summer Yue, she. > Metaverse Zuckerberg may indeed be hiring people who are less than the best, same for Musk, but the people they hire are making the UX that the rest of us have to put up with. Given I keep reading claims about
543.
by ben_w 3mo ago
If the director of alignment at Meta Superintelligence Labs gets it wrong, what hope does anyone else have?
544.
by ben_w 3mo ago
> Writing code is not hard. Writing correct code is. Knowing what is correct in a setting with paying customers generally involves interacting with those customers. Invoice: $1000 One bolt tightened: $1 Knowing which bolt to tigh
545.
by ben_w 3mo ago
As a first order approximation perhaps; but consider false positives vs false negatives, and that "3% worse outcomes" has many possible measures, e.g. 3% of cases going catastrophically wrong may bump up insurance (or externalised
546.
by ben_w 3mo ago
Seems to me like you're being contrarian for the sake of being contrarian. Economics (/ˌɛkəˈnɒmɪks, ˌiːkə-/)[1][2] is a social science that studies the production, distribution, and consumption of goods and services.[3][4
547.
by ben_w 3mo ago
> Get paid enough by who and for what reason? By their customers, for doing the same thing they'd been doing for much of their working lives up to this point. > Do they realize that the money has to come from someone who decides
548.
by ben_w 3mo ago
LLMs can build their own code or close enough, and are used for AI work directly (both from what METR study shows and from reports I've read from the bigger companies themselves), but this is not what I meant as there isn't much p
549.
by ben_w 3mo ago
I consider that implicit in what I wrote, perhaps explicit given I wrote about LLMs writing AI. My surprise was the ordering.
550.
by ben_w 3mo ago
They want to get paid enough to pay human models. Stops being "other people's money" once they get paid.
551.
by ben_w 3mo ago
Your list is the "from" part, UBI could be the "to" depending on how people choose to live when they don't need to work.
552.
by ben_w 3mo ago
> If you mean UBI that would allow anyone to stop working and live a modest life, that just doesn't work. UBI is essentially redistribution from those who work to those who don't work. That's not just a "safety net&qu
553.
by ben_w 3mo ago
I remember that. It was export banned, wasn't it? A gigaflop being enough for a cruise missile visual guidance or something like that?
554.
by ben_w 3mo ago
"Normal tech" puts people out of careers every so often, and kinda randomly. Society has benefited as everyone who isn't put out of a job significantly outnumbers those who are. I was expecting AI to put me, a software develo
555.
by ben_w 3mo ago
(2024) Rewatching clips of old Star Trek the next generation, I find that the debates haven't really changed since Pulaski was accusing Data of having simply memorised Sherlock Holmes (and when he passed that test, of simply remixing),
556.
by ben_w 3mo ago
It remains unclear to me if anyone funding new models will actually benefit economically from having funded these models. I think is possible that these models can *culturally*(/memetically) benefit the creator via e.g. being trained t
557.
by ben_w 3mo ago
Transistors can be used to amplify signals, they are not limited to acting as binary switches. If you use analog rather than digital, using transistors in this way means you can replace however many transistors it would have taken for multi
558.
by ben_w 3mo ago
> whereas fossil fuel infrastructure is built in places you'd never go to voluntarily. IMO that's the consequence, not the cause, of the infrastructure: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hambach_surface_mine O
559.
by ben_w 3mo ago
Always meant that, so far as I can see.
560.
by ben_w 3mo ago
More like: (1) oil getting cheaper makes (2) cars possible which means (3) the average person can now go further to commute which means (4) they buy a car and get a higher paid job which mans (5) their oil consumption goes from "cookin
561.
by ben_w 3mo ago
Yes, but irrelevant. While these models are improving at the present rate, the manufacturer can save money at no loss of feature-bullet-point-on-website by letting you download a model after you bought the thing and running it on normal har
562.
by ben_w 3mo ago
> it already is the dominant culture. just look at the birth rate, as well reported damage from hardcore sex eg anal fissure rates, as well the existence of the western term gooning. When I was about 10, playground rumour was that alllll
563.
by ben_w 3mo ago
Right now the models are doubling in performance (by the METR time horizon metric at least) every 4 months, so 3 doublings in a year; conversely, I hear (not my field) it takes around a year to make a prototype IC and another year to turn t
564.
by ben_w 3mo ago
There will be be plenty of people, they just wouldn't be in Silicon Valley. Or possibly anywhere in the USA. $800k/year in the UK is "Buy nice house in commuter belt in one year without bothering with a mortgage, three years
565.
by ben_w 3mo ago
> I also don't see how there could ever be a reliable way of identifying origin of digital content such as text on a forum. Perfectly reliable, no. But: 1. these models aren't even trying to hide their nature, if anything the o
566.
by ben_w 3mo ago
Ironically given how much hate I have seen for them, this is what patents are for. Invent something novel, get patent, you have exclusive economic rights to that for however long the patent lasts.
567.
by ben_w 3mo ago
> Cars are actually the best solution to transportation "the" is the error here. There's places and people for whom cars are so. There's other cases where public transport covers the people while business-owned vans c
568.
by ben_w 3mo ago
> One thing I fear is going to happen when more and more people use LLM's for coding is that they will default to the "average taste" of the LLM, and we will stop getting new interesting ideas about how to build things. I
569.
by ben_w 3mo ago
One of the many things I do not understand: how using a constitutionally guaranteed right can be punished. Or more specifically, given I know perfectly well that rules are only as good as their enforcement, how the people who decided to vot
570.
by ben_w 3mo ago
At this point, and given how close SotA hidden ("closed") weights models are to downloadable ("open") weights models, I kinda have to assume some system somewhere is running purely because the model itself hacked (or bla

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