axg11

14 ms·

91.
by axg11 4y ago
CPI crossed the 2% threshold in March 2021, meaning we've only just barely had 1 year of >2% CPI. If inflation were to nosedive over the next 6-9 months, it would be pretty easy to argue that the inflation was transitory. I'm n
92.
by axg11 4y ago
A/B testing is local optimization. It should only be done on a mature(-ish) product when you have given up on finding a global minimum. Running experiments and A/B tests are popular because it is _guaranteed_ to give you signal. I
93.
by axg11 4y ago
Incredible photo from a scientific perspective. The team must be ecstatic that everything went to plan so far. Truthfully I don’t think a random member of the public would be impressed by this photo. I’m surprised that they led with this du
94.
by axg11 4y ago
Meta wants Facebook to die a slow death. Reading between the lines for Zuckerberg's public communications over the last two years, Meta is treating Facebook as a legacy product in maintenance mode. FB is still a cash cow but their soci
95.
by axg11 4y ago
I think what is described here comes down to the fact that we don't have much (any?) _deep_ understanding of biology. The most concrete aspects of biology are observations. For example, anatomy is very well understood because it's
96.
by axg11 4y ago
If this works as advertised, I could see this being useful at the end of a night (as long as you remember to take it).
97.
by axg11 4y ago
You've never been more bearish than when the highest number of developers and builders are working on crypto?
98.
by axg11 4y ago
Apple has the ability to blacklist Apple ID accounts. No idea if they’re using that power, but it’s not something that any collections agency can do.
99.
by axg11 4y ago
That’s idealism whereas this hack deals with realism: many people don’t have their notifications setup perfectly and also feel the pressure to respond immediately.
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by axg11 4y ago
Every layoff I've witnessed first or second-hand was preceded by the same promise within <2 months from the layoff. I've come to the conclusion it's a necessary evil. These questions are only asked of leaders at companies
101.
by axg11 4y ago
>To see thousands of Americans who can't afford to lose their savings lose it to Coinbase due to wilful negligience, incompetence. This is a weird take. Coinbase isn't perfect but I don't see this as a valid criticism. Coi
102.
by axg11 4y ago
This is still a problem even if their product only uses public data. Coinbase has access to non-public data, which they can use to validate any analysis or algorithms. Until they explicitly say that no private information was ever used to v
103.
by axg11 4y ago
Same for Amazon.
104.
by axg11 4y ago
The early "killer" products and projects are there, but most people are looking in the wrong places (DeFi). Some examples below. Consumer apps: - STEPN - Superlocal The future of brands (NFTs): - Doodles - BAYC Science funding: -
105.
by axg11 4y ago
Two novel ways: 1) they're funding previously biotech companies (e.g. traditional venture not interested because insurance companies won't reimburse hair loss treatments) 2) incentivizing scientists (and other workers) from anywhe
106.
by axg11 4y ago
You're looking in the wrong places. Look up VitaDAO, Molecule, HairDAO - three projects making real scientific impact enabled by crypto.
107.
by axg11 4y ago
This is a much more level-headed take on web3. As someone building in web3, I admit that 99% of current web3 projects (including tokens and NFTs) will go to zero. That's a consequence of the sheer number of projects and diversity of ex
108.
by axg11 4y ago
I didn’t intend to use engagement metrics in a negative way. We also have to note that the audience has changed. The audience of the early web was very different to the average audience today (almost everyone).
109.
by axg11 4y ago
The best publicly available information just isn’t very good. We can speculate on the purpose of the X-37B programme but we won’t know for sure, perhaps for decades.
110.
by axg11 4y ago
It’s not a meme, it’s simply following history and reading declassified materials. The US government has a track record of developing advanced aircraft and weaponry in secret.
111.
by axg11 4y ago
You're not wrong. This is how the internet used to look like. Modern web layouts and designs evolved to be this way because they result in higher engagement metrics.
112.
by axg11 4y ago
Biotech/genomics and AI/ML are following very interesting parallel trajectories over the last ~10 years. In biotech, we have developed incredible tools: DNA editing (CRISPR), synthesis, and sequencing. We have a lot of tools but w
113.
by axg11 4y ago
It really is great that Meta released the notes/logbook. Credit where credit is due. Very few other academic or industry labs release materials like this, especially when the reality is so messy. Some interesting takeaways: - Meta aren
114.
by axg11 4y ago
Having worked for a different FAANG, I saw the immense pressure to incorporate data from other products. I imagine there’s a big internal push to aggregate all data from across Google services. It’s an easy win for product managers looking
115.
by axg11 4y ago
I believe this is already a feature that you can activate for Github Copilot.
116.
by axg11 4y ago
Is using a single embedding sufficient to capture the entire meaning of a sentence? High similarity scores between sentences is not the whole picture. A sentence and it’s negative/opposite are naturally very similar in topic and senten
117.
by axg11 4y ago
I don’t think high unemployment is a certain outcome. Layoffs are trending higher, but not because of bad economic metrics. Companies are laying off employees in anticipation of bad times. There’s a scenario where inflation returns to lower
118.
by axg11 4y ago
> We're a long, long way from this. We’re probably 18 months away from this. We’re probably less than 5 years away from being able to do this on local hardware. AI/ML is advancing faster than most people realise.
119.
by axg11 4y ago
Don’t be worried at all. Software has been one of the most in demand skills for the last 10 years and will still be over the next 10 years. Salaries at the very top end might go down. Open vacancies might reduce. Even in the worst case scen
120.
by axg11 4y ago
Listen to his interview with Mark Zuckerberg. That interview demonstrates why he is really special and nobody else is doing interviews like him: 1. Who else is landing guests like Zuckerberg? 2. Of those people, who has the willingness to a

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