astrange

27 ms·

661.
by astrange 1y ago
> Is there a way to predict when central banks aren't "good enough" then? https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAHMREALTIME
662.
by astrange 1y ago
Housing is the largest component of both inflation measures. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Personal_consumption_expenditu...
663.
by astrange 1y ago
It's almost impossible for the standard of living to not be higher than ever. That becomes true if you assign any value at all to new medical discoveries. Like, people have been cured of type 1 diabetes in the last year. I don't t
664.
by astrange 1y ago
Households can have more than two incomes - roommates, children who work, grandparents etc. In practice, household sizes have gone down over time as more people live on their own, which means the income graph is lower than it otherwise woul
665.
by astrange 1y ago
Slightly overestimates. Alternatives like Truflation show it lower. You may be thinking of Shadowstats, which is run by a crank who just takes the official numbers and adds a number he made up to them. I don't know why cranks always th
666.
by astrange 1y ago
The housing crisis is limited to California and other blue states; most places have the opposite problem. Also, most US households are homeowners, which means housing prices going up increases their (imputed) income. > Is that chart cont
667.
by astrange 1y ago
I would simply correctly price the equities in the first place.
668.
by astrange 1y ago
There isn't a "the market". The stock market isn't that important (though Trump does care about it). It's the bond market that everyone pays attention to when it stops working. In a sense, stock market crashes are g
669.
by astrange 1y ago
Graph looks like it's going up to me. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEHOINUSA672N
670.
by astrange 1y ago
Recessions can be avoided if you know about them ahead of time, so if you ever successfully predicted one your central bank isn't good enough.
671.
by astrange 1y ago
There isn't such a justification. They can refuse to answer questions but they can't proactively lie. And if they were ordered to lie I'm not aware of anything that indemnifies them for securities fraud either.
672.
by astrange 1y ago
Computers don't "do" things in the first place, they compute things. The rest is side effects. You have to ignore those, otherwise you've declared all computers quantum computers because parts of it use quantum effects.
673.
by astrange 1y ago
I think it's very unlikely, in fact physically impossible, that brains are a higher complexity class than classical computers.
674.
by astrange 1y ago
Did those people become unemployed? (Not because of that they didn't. There was a Great Depression and a few wars that could've caused it.) They mostly stopped working in those fields because everyone hates farming and mining and
675.
by astrange 1y ago
6GHz is blocked by almost all walls, so this would only be an issue if your network was outside.
676.
by astrange 1y ago
You should use the lowest setting that works for you, because high power can mean worse performance - either due to high distortion, multipathing (reflections) or the AP heating up and throttling.
677.
by astrange 1y ago
> "To our surprise, those who were eating meat smelled slightly worse than when they were not eating meat," says Havlíček. My guess would be non-adapted gut microbiome.
678.
by astrange 1y ago
The article says that people who eat a lot of garlic smell better than without it. (Although maybe not their breath. Last time I was in Japan I tried an iekei ramen place and smelled so much like garlic to myself I was too embarrassed to go
679.
by astrange 1y ago
Roleplay and the real thing are often the same - this is the moral of Ender's Game. If an LLM pretends to do something and then you give it a tool (ie an external system that actually performs things it says) it's now real.
680.
by astrange 1y ago
Automation increases employment. The mechanism which causes job less is that when your competitors automate, all the business goes to them because they're more productive.
681.
by astrange 1y ago
It's a PBC. If you have a strictly incentive-based views of for-profit companies, this shouldn't apply, because it's not one of those.
682.
by astrange 1y ago
This is the worst possible objection to scientific research. All medication in the US is approved by research conducted by the company trying to sell it, because nobody else is motivated to do it. And if it's properly conducted and pre
683.
by astrange 1y ago
We don't know how LLMs work. We create them in a process that's sort of like if you had a rock tumbler that if you put in watch parts it creates a fully assembled watch. It would be very impressive if someone showed you one of tho
684.
by astrange 1y ago
I looked this up the other day and "reasoning" in AI is used as far back as McCarthy (1959), and was certainly well established for expert systems in the 80s, so I think it's a little late to complain about it.
685.
by astrange 1y ago
If it didn't introspect that wouldn't mean much anyway. LLMs can't web search -> give them a search tool and they can. LLMs can't introspect -> give them an introspection tool!
686.
by astrange 1y ago
That was disproven the same year (when transformers were shown to do in-context learning and that you can program algorithms into them) so hopefully noone ever believed it who was paying attention.
687.
by astrange 1y ago
> The idea is to inject the concept at an intensity where it's present but doesn't screw with the model's output distribution (i.e in the ALL CAPS example, the model doesn't start writing every word in ALL CAPS, so it
688.
by astrange 1y ago
We solve this by assigning some projects to execs to manage directly, skipping management in between. The result of this is that I meet directors less often than anyone else and am not actually sure what a director even does.
689.
by astrange 1y ago
Samsung is not an American company and what you're claiming would conflict with other countries' laws, namely EU Cyber Resilience Act.
690.
by astrange 1y ago
If you think Apple lied about this you can sue them for securities fraud, as it's illegal to lie to shareholders.

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