ashdksnndck

6 ms·

61.
by ashdksnndck 5mo ago
I believe the (apparently AGI-pilled?) folks running the indices are more afraid of the public’s pitchforks in the scenario where the AI stocks go public at $3T value, then increase to $30T before the index rules dictate they buy in. Hence
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by ashdksnndck 5mo ago
It’s a category error to compare the equity value of Twitter during its purchase to the amount of cash to be raised by SpaceX during its IPO. Twitter has about $13B of debt, and about $1.5B of annual interest payments (that’s how much cash
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by ashdksnndck 5mo ago
If you intend to remain a passive investor, keep doing what you’re doing. If you have conviction that AI boom will bust and you want to become an active investor, follow the advice from other comments on how to prevent these companies from
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by ashdksnndck 5mo ago
The twitter debt is a negligible portion of the money at stake here. It’s a footnote compared to the trillions of dollars in wealth that are moving around. We are only talking about it because the internet commentariat has special interest
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by ashdksnndck 5mo ago
I don’t believe similar scores on small bounded tasks mean models are interchangeable. I’ve found that heavy token-burning workflows are good for my productivity (letting multiple sessions run async working of different stuff). Claude ultra
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by ashdksnndck 5mo ago
The narrative is that inference on existing models is profitable. All of the profits and many billions of additional capital invested go into training the next model, which is some multiple more expensive to train than the last. Each new mo
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by ashdksnndck 5mo ago
> I do think the tech industry would be wise to do more outreach and less sneering, though. The industry is actually doing real work on water issues in response to these complaints. Big tech companies are funding projects that will allow
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by ashdksnndck 5mo ago
When I bought my house the realtor gave me a free home warranty for a year (a $600 value vs the tens of thousands in commission they got paid). The old washing machine broke during that year and the home warranty did replace it, so on paper
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by ashdksnndck 5mo ago
I’ll try to steelman this comment. Anyone who uses coding tools knows that the output is heavily affected by details of the task you give it. The same model can give you garbage code or genius code for the same problem with slightly differe
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by ashdksnndck 5mo ago
In 2020, there was a campaign (prop 15) to legalize increases on the property tax rate in California that only applied to commercial and industrial properties. Intuitively, the constituency for prop 15 should be very similar to a wealth tax
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by ashdksnndck 5mo ago
This is a familiar style in abstracts. Weird as it sounds, it’s normal to have some language implying the reader is a hermit living in a cave. If it sounds like something an AI would say, maybe it’s because models have been trained on acade
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by ashdksnndck 5mo ago
“More blood” seems to imply that somebody has already been hurt or died from Waymo driving into floods, but I don’t think that is the case?
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by ashdksnndck 5mo ago
I have personally had success telling Claude that some AI-written system is too complicated and ask it to rewrite it in a more logical way. This sometimes results in thousands of lines of code being deleted. I give an instruction like that
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by ashdksnndck 5mo ago
To be clear, what you’re supposed to do is dump your trash in places you’re allowed to dump it. If you have a lot of trash, most economical option is often to go to the public transfer stations or landfills in the Reno area (but that only w
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by ashdksnndck 5mo ago
The org has huge amounts of food and water. It won’t be fine dining but nobody is going to starve.
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by ashdksnndck 6mo ago
The people in that community have been talking about superintelligence for decades and it’s part of an ideology. It’s not some recently-invented story for headlines.
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by ashdksnndck 6mo ago
> Basically the prime bet that they made (that one needs extremely expensive hardware to have useful AI) has already failed. I thought the prime bet was that the winning lab who reaches takeoff through recursive self improvement will mak
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by ashdksnndck 6mo ago
The basic 16GB Mac mini is also hard to buy. I bought one used not to save money but because I couldn’t find any store online with it in stock.
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by ashdksnndck 6mo ago
Mac mini has first-class access to iCloud, photos, iMessage etc. So if you are deep in the Apple ecosystem you might prefer it for that reason. I have a windows gaming desktop that I could use as a server for openclaw/cowork but I real
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by ashdksnndck 6mo ago
I suppose Ramp must try to become Excel before Excel becomes Ramp. Don’t want to end up like Slack and have to work for Marc Benioff.
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by ashdksnndck 6mo ago
I sometimes prompt with leading questions where I actually want Claude to understand what I’m implying and go ahead and do it. That’s just part of my communication style. I suppose I’m the part of the distribution that ruins things for you.
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by ashdksnndck 7mo ago
Many of the juicy stories from the book have no supporting evidence other than the claims of the author. Their credibility is all we have to go on here. If someone wrote a message here saying that they were a fly on the wall at the publishe
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by ashdksnndck 7mo ago
Same commenter, 3 hours later, defending bombing of children: > Parents are solely responsible for bringing their children on stolen land. There were indigenous children living there that were murdered.
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by ashdksnndck 7mo ago
Ok, it sounds the principle here is if any land was stolen in the 20th century the people who live there now aren’t citizens (regardless if they are children or not) and deserve to be bombed? I hope nobody tells the balkans.
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by ashdksnndck 7mo ago
You believe that anyone who lives on stolen land is not a citizen and deserves to be bombed? Americans live on stolen land too, as does much of the rest of the world population.
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by ashdksnndck 7mo ago
Iran and its proxies frequently target civilians. They would make an exception for the US?
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by ashdksnndck 7mo ago
So to clarify, your argument is it’s ok to target civilians with bombs as long as they are located in a nation that practices terror?
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by ashdksnndck 7mo ago
The only reason Iranian bombs aren’t hitting America is because their range isn’t long enough. Iran-commanded forces (located in Iran, Lebanon, Yemen) have been targeting civilians for many years.
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by ashdksnndck 7mo ago
Can you clarify what you mean by: “they refuse to repurpose a downstream dam” California has insufficient water storage to meet demand, it’s not like we have huge dams lying around that we leave empty when there is water available to fill t
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by ashdksnndck 7mo ago
The country club is also negligible compared to agriculture. Farmers are politically not an attractive punching bag though.

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