alphazard

8 ms·

61.
by alphazard 9mo ago
If only there was some sort of way to see if a given market participant's behavior was best explained as a "high iq individual predicting geopolitical moves" vs. "just gambling". Maybe a number of some kind?
62.
by alphazard 9mo ago
Your criticism applies to any epistemic institution. Prediction markets are far more robust than any epistemic institution that humans have come up with so far. Contrary to what you insinuate, we don't have 2 parallel markets for each
63.
by alphazard 9mo ago
The headline is part of a widespread trend of the word "gambling" being used as synonymous with "betting". This new use isn't constructive, as it makes it difficult to talk about either precisely. Betting (risking s
64.
by alphazard 9mo ago
> It's symbolism. It's not. This is where the financial rubber meets the road, actions have consequences, and the rest of the world is looking at the US as increasingly unlikely to pay above inflation on its debts. The people
65.
by alphazard 9mo ago
> Nonviolent folks can be negotiated with. Its not permitted to negotiate with criminals/terrorists. This is definitely true to some extent, especially when non-violence has been used in the more distant past. But in recent history,
66.
by alphazard 9mo ago
If an idea or methodology leads to "internal dysfunction" more often than not, than maybe it's a problem with the idea, and not a "lack of nuance".
67.
by alphazard 9mo ago
DevOps only works when the developers are always right. What usually happens is the DevOps team thinks they know best (they are developers too, just not the ones using the tools), and they build a lot of garbage that no one wants to use, o
68.
by alphazard 9mo ago
Equating process to risk aversion is a mistake I hadn't seen before. It's true that moving slow makes it less likely to make something worse per unit time , but it also makes it less likely that anything will get better. It mea
69.
by alphazard 9mo ago
This is exactly right, and the article is clickbait junk. Given the domain name, I was expecting something about the physics of information storage, and some interesting law of nature. Instead, the article is a bad introduction to data stru
70.
by alphazard 9mo ago
If a single engineer can sabotage a project, then the company has bigger things to worry about. There should be backups, or you know, GitHub with branch protection. Aside from that, perverse incentives are a real problem with these systems,
71.
by alphazard 9mo ago
Companies need ways for individuals to bet against projects and people that are likely to fail. So much of the overhead in a large organization is from bad decisions, or people who usually make bad decisions remaining in positions of power.
72.
by alphazard 9mo ago
This sounds suspiciously like the average developer, which is what the transformer models have been trained to emulate. Designing good APIs is hard, being good at it is rare. That's why most APIs suck, and all of us have a negative pri
73.
by alphazard 9mo ago
Firewalls are a fundamentally bad approach and are avoidable with good design. Nothing should have access to the network by default. You can either get that right by limiting resource access (which is the job of the operating system) or you
74.
by alphazard 9mo ago
> Every time I've tried to deploy non-trivial software systems to highly secure setups it's been a tedious nightmare. I don't know exactly which "secure setups" you are talking about, but the false equivalency be
75.
by alphazard 9mo ago
We aren't there yet. You are talking about crafting a complicated window into the box holding the AI, when there isn't even a box to speak of.
76.
by alphazard 9mo ago
Microkernels lost "back in the day" because of how expensive syscalls were, and how many of them a microkernel requires to do basic things. That is mostly solved now, both by making syscalls faster, and also by eliminating them wi
77.
by alphazard 9mo ago
This isn't an AI problem, its an operating systems problem. AI is just so much less trustworthy than software written and read by humans, that it is exposing the problem for all to see. Process isolation hasn't been taken seriousl
78.
by alphazard 9mo ago
> things pressed down on each other because everything was expanding at the same rate I don't think this originates with him, it sounds like an amusing joke a physicist would say because the math happens to be equivalent, and there
79.
by alphazard 9mo ago
A lot of comments here use this metaphor of emotions as things that flow from a source, and need to be expressed or they will accumulate and explode. I think this can be traced to pop-psychology bullshit, and there isn't any neuroscien
80.
by alphazard 9mo ago
If you are sharing facts like "Wisconsin falls are more deadly than Alabama falls", then you need to address the more obvious hypotheses that are conjured in the readers head. I found no mention of "ice" or "slipper
81.
by alphazard 9mo ago
Unfortunately most of the existing communication protocols that are standardized conform to a broken model of networking where security is not provided by the network layer. Cryptography can't be thought of as an optional layer that pe
82.
by alphazard 9mo ago
> or is Iran just not yet prepared to deal with them? ... you could flood all channels with packets like a jammer or something A related question that someone here may be able to answer: Who wins the jamming game in principal? Is it $JAM
83.
by alphazard 9mo ago
Strange to think that the whole obesity epidemic was essentially people buying 5% more calories than they should have.
84.
by alphazard 9mo ago
> like every moment I spend with someone is just increasing or decreasing my score with them This is more of a statement about the other person, especially if true, than the person trying to estimate the score, who is just trying to mode
85.
by alphazard 9mo ago
Likely unconstitutional as it violates the 1st amendment, which has done a very good job of protecting the right to author and distribute software over the years. Clearly an unintended positive consequence, since no one who worked or voted
86.
by alphazard 9mo ago
Definitely agree with the concern here, but this is not a problem unique to the food pyramid. Children will be taught all kinds of propaganda if they attend a public school. It's part of the cost, just not the part that is taken from t
87.
by alphazard 9mo ago
> There is a lot of speculation that we will soon see a new food pyramid that is inverted. Pretty much everyone I know understands that the food pyramid is the product of various lobbies coming together and does not represent a legitimat
88.
by alphazard 9mo ago
> I'm not proposing to abandon ipv6, but at this point I'm really not sure how we proceed here. The status quo is maintaining two separate competing protocols forever, which was not the ultimate intention. The end game will be
89.
by alphazard 9mo ago
It seems like the industry is going to be forced to rediscover and implement capability based security models and process isolation by consumer demand. It is impossible for the average user to reason about a different security model for eac
90.
by alphazard 9mo ago
Entire roles have been created for people to do this, in exchange the headcount makes your manager look more important. In tech alone there exists: product managers, scrum masters, middle managers of all kinds. If you want to stay in tech,

More ›