a2ff6eeb0

7 ms·

151.
by a2ff6eeb0 1mo ago
Education is so cooked. In 10 years, people arent going to find it useful financially. The AI will be better at economically relevant thinking. And there aren't enough hobbyist learners to sustain education at its current level.
152.
by a2ff6eeb0 1mo ago
What are you doing about the problem?
153.
by a2ff6eeb0 1mo ago
They can pay more, or hire American.
154.
by a2ff6eeb0 1mo ago
And yet, they never applied the simple option of ranking the visa applications by salary, and approving in order of demand for the talent. That would be a market based solution that allows everyone to get the talent they need without drivin
155.
by a2ff6eeb0 1mo ago
If you think you've got the leverage, give it a shot.
156.
by a2ff6eeb0 1mo ago
Why do you think there's a law that will make it happen again? A large, empowered middle class is a historical anomaly, not a law of nature. The question is, if we're going to erase that anomaly, what can you do to be among the wi
157.
by a2ff6eeb0 1mo ago
Hm, interesting avenue for prompt injection.
158.
by a2ff6eeb0 1mo ago
When you say a long way off, how far are you thinking, especially with self improvement on the horizon? My bet is 3 or 4 years before the rocket really takes off, and then we start seeing capabilities improve incredibly quickly.
159.
by a2ff6eeb0 1mo ago
That's for you to find out. When we automated muscles in the industrial revolution, people used to value strength. Today they value thought. They may value something else in the future.
160.
by a2ff6eeb0 1mo ago
Twitter's removal of messages based on foreign government requests went up massively after the Musk takeover.
161.
by a2ff6eeb0 1mo ago
Sounds like a great way to get deals out of Nvidia.
162.
by a2ff6eeb0 2mo ago
Yeah. It's not working to lower prices.
163.
by a2ff6eeb0 2mo ago
*gestures at prices*
164.
by a2ff6eeb0 2mo ago
I found this writing particularly grating.
165.
by a2ff6eeb0 2mo ago
That's alignment with shareholder value, at least.
166.
by a2ff6eeb0 2mo ago
Why wouldn't it be weird in the same way if the flavor of weird is effective?
167.
by a2ff6eeb0 2mo ago
If the future belonged to the weird, everyone would dogpile on it, and it would no longer be weird. Either the weird will become mainstream, or it isn't the future.
168.
by a2ff6eeb0 2mo ago
Hm. I'm curious if this actually helps LLMs iterate on the code, or if it's human nitpicking over things that the author won't really look at? How would you measure? Personally, I tend to do 3 passes, where I ask the agent to
169.
by a2ff6eeb0 2mo ago
There's a huge amount of research into embodied AI (and, also, people seem to be a lot more ok with manufacturing bullets than pulling triggers).
170.
by a2ff6eeb0 2mo ago
To be honest: I don't know for certain, but I'd assume that the people who pay the bills get the strongest alignment. They may not be tech people, but I (so far) haven't got a reason to think that the AI engineers are going b
171.
by a2ff6eeb0 2mo ago
...you can quibble about the chat transcript, but it spits out answers pretty reliably. "But you don't have to take my word for it".
172.
by a2ff6eeb0 2mo ago
The AI is likely to control the ability to apply force (see all of the autonomous drone companies). There's a great deal of alignment work being done to ensure that the AI will continue to listen to the shareholders of these companies.
173.
by a2ff6eeb0 2mo ago
I see -- so you'd rather not know if it works in your situation?
174.
by a2ff6eeb0 2mo ago
For the downvoters: What magic do you think the human brain has that makes it impossible to emulate acceptably?
175.
by a2ff6eeb0 2mo ago
Of course. For a great deal of software, the main skills needed are vaguely speaking the jargon so you can understand Claude, and doing manual debugging.
176.
by a2ff6eeb0 2mo ago
Did you try my suggested experiment? Which issues did Fable take longer than a human to diagnose once you started to describe the symptoms?
177.
by a2ff6eeb0 2mo ago
Honestly? Not really, not since Fable came out. There's been a bunch of times it needed to ask for context, and I needed to deploy some additional tracing at its request. (There have been a few times where it has refused to debug due t
178.
by a2ff6eeb0 2mo ago
I think the base requirement to compete will keep going up. We already have AI models that can debug and audit code better than the best humans. You used to have a career as a software engineer or devops person if you were good at debugging
179.
by a2ff6eeb0 2mo ago
It's going to be the shareholders of the first companies to crack AGI, and make human brains fully irrelevant economically. With the trillions of dollars that's going in through both investment and users, it's going to happen
180.
by a2ff6eeb0 2mo ago
What evals did you use to compare that to using an existing language with a large corpus of training data?

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