_alternator_

6 ms·

31.
by _alternator_ 3mo ago
The tails could be heavy, it's true. This could make my usual 1-in-1000 heuristic overly conservative. Let's go with that, heavy tails. The data shows we are at something between a 1-in40 and 1-in-20 deviation. Normally (pun inten
32.
by _alternator_ 3mo ago
Fair, I had to click into the full size (I pinch zoomed on my phone). But now the fact that 1988/1989 are outliers raise a few more questions about the variance calculation. In particular, the title suggests that those weren't inc
33.
by _alternator_ 3mo ago
With a headline like that the graph should be at the beginning. Usually you'd put it up front and then talk about the graph, not put it at the bottom and talk about how people aren't talking about it. Anyway, I scrolled down to th
34.
by _alternator_ 3mo ago
Yeah, interesting finding in the headline, the rest is just Claude.
35.
by _alternator_ 3mo ago
Seems to me that both perspectives are true, and the relative importance of the metric incentive vs the discovery incentive varies. But the metrics and rewards are critical to the perpetuation of the scientific discovery system; its really
36.
by _alternator_ 3mo ago
They can happen mid-year too. They usually don't for this reason, but they can.
37.
by _alternator_ 3mo ago
You may be relived to know that Unix epoch time does not have this problem. But you may also be horrified to know why. First, epoch seconds are not the numbers of seconds since 1970/01/01. This is a lie we tell to children. Rath
38.
by _alternator_ 3mo ago
My understanding the problem is that GLONASS is aware of leap seconds at all. It sends messages in UTC, which has this leap second funny business. GPS uses a special "GPS time" (sometimes abbreviated UT) that doesn't have a
39.
by _alternator_ 3mo ago
Glonass is correct. On mobile, thanks for the correction.
40.
by _alternator_ 3mo ago
In short, yes, the weather, geology, and signicantly, human movement of water via aquifer draining and dam building, as well as glaicial and ice melts, all contribute to unpredictable changes in the earths rotational period, as well as the
41.
by _alternator_ 3mo ago
A quick skim of the article suggests it's a study of the implications of allowing query planning in programs which are notionally finite but may have unbounded computation. Interesting.
42.
by _alternator_ 3mo ago
Right. Maybe a better and more humble title is "Identifying General Instances of Market Collusion is NP-complete". Not as headline grabbing, but more in line with the actual result.
43.
by _alternator_ 3mo ago
I'd like to emphasize that coarsening is not just theoretically non-private, a number of attacks that lead to leaking personally identifiable data were demonstrated on the 2010 census. So it's not really a he-said/she-said si
44.
by _alternator_ 3mo ago
I don't know the technical details of this ZKP library, but there is no technical reason that I'm aware of that the ID provider would need to know who you are sharing with. Not to say Google didn't build it this way for busi
45.
by _alternator_ 3mo ago
This. In my experience, you have to replace peer review with reputation for preprints. That's highly imperfect, and it tends to lead to dismissing of good but work by less well-known researchers as "not peer reviewed", while
46.
by _alternator_ 3mo ago
Can you share more details? I ask because my experience suggests that models still require a decent amount of expertise to use for binary analysis (largely inferring because of use on other tasks of this level). I would expect models to alw
47.
by _alternator_ 3mo ago
I'd love for you to try this and report back. My guess is that no models today will successfully run a binary analysis for fingerprinting without a lot of handholding. If you try to use Opus it will almost certainly decline (and finger
48.
by _alternator_ 3mo ago
Yes, defeating this is relatively easy, particularly for sophisticated actors. But it's hard to always defeat all of the tricks. Sort of like how it's expensive and hard and uncertain to defeat all of the tricks when forging money
49.
by _alternator_ 4mo ago
This is cool, but note that it doesn't address one of the main (claimed) advantages of Mythos: lower false positive rates. That is, give it files without serious bugs and it will not raise alarms.
50.
by _alternator_ 4mo ago
If data exfiltration is a danger in your threat model, you need local LLMs (or at least ones you fully control) not just the full chain-of-thought reasoning.
51.
by _alternator_ 4mo ago
Neither are line endings. But like line endings, I just put it into git and get over it.
52.
by _alternator_ 4mo ago
Thank you for the truly excellent reply.
53.
by _alternator_ 4mo ago
This seems like the pi vs tau argument on steroids. A lot of people who know a bit of math think that tau simplifies things enormously. Professionals are like "not really"; dropping a 2 in places simplifies a few formulas, makes o
54.
by _alternator_ 4mo ago
Thanks for the context; how do you think this impacts plausibility? Presumably the fact that he made progress in a well studied passage is cause for skepticism? What's your take?
55.
by _alternator_ 4mo ago
I believe that the line was constructing exploits for bugs, not bug finding. This seems a reasonable cutoff to me, since bugs are revealed in security patches and pull requests (for open source). If you are to believe Anthropic, Fable was e
56.
by _alternator_ 4mo ago
Likely due to fairly low traffic this time of day, so easy to get momentum. Also, maybe marxists hang out in HN on Sunday night? But yeah a quick skim shows it's not really worth reading. If you want Marxism, read Marx. It's odd t
57.
by _alternator_ 4mo ago
What do you mean by 'very likely to be wrong' and 'not understood' (no scarecaps pls)? There are uncertainties, and there are still unanswered scientific questions, but the measured change in temperatures largely corresp
58.
by _alternator_ 4mo ago
I get the sentiment. I don't love that different browsers have different behavior even on standards compliant code. But I've also done enough web development to know that if your page crashes safari in the main user flow (in this
59.
by _alternator_ 4mo ago
Cool idea! Not sure if this was created with LLM help, but I suspect so? Not because the page is buggy (it is, though, crashed on my iPhone), but because they make data visualization so accessible. This type of presentation used to take day
60.
Humans Solve Erdos Problem(blog.computationalcomplexity.org)
4 points by _alternator_ 4mo ago|0 comments

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