Zigurd

21 ms·

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Poll: Will there be a major IPO failure in 2026?
2 points by Zigurd 7mo ago|0 comments
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
SpaceX fails
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
OpenAI fails
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
Both fail
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
Booth succeed
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
How much of a hurry depends on whether Trump gets his $200 billion to continue the war. Have you checked the odds on Kalshi?
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
Traders sometimes go to prison for insider trading. The wisdom of the crowd human when the crowd is following someone with insider information is deemed legal.
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
Some of the features of Marxism Leninism may look like fascism when you step back and squint, but it's f-cked up in its own way. It's not even a far right versus far left thing. That's one of those neat symmetries that doesn&
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
Many (most?) "smart" TVs will work fine if their network connection is never set up. Many of those can be set to wake on an HDMI signal from, for example, an outboard streamer box. That means you can take advantage of the subsidy
670.
by Zigurd 7mo ago
Addictive patterns in games and other online activity is a bit less innocent than you are portraying it: knowingly causing harm is too low a standard. A lot of the profitability of online games, prediction markets, etc. comes from the whale
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
That's called a "feed generator" on Bluesky.
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
What if a monstrously ambitious morally flexible snake is exactly what the Democrats need now? Would anyone less Machiavellian done prop 50 instead of a strongly worded letter?
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
I don't think this accelerationism/fascism hobby of many tech bros is going to age well.
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
A $4.99/mo subscription would yield more revenue than Facebook makes in ARPU from all that fancy, creepy, and intrusive ad tech. Paying YouTube to not advertise to you makes it a 10X better experience.
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
Dark patterns are real. Deceptive advertising is real. So-called prediction markets amount to unregulated gambling on any proposition. Many online businesses are whale hunts and the whales are often addicts.
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
The French thought they had it somewhat under control until they found out that they had way under budgeted decommissioning costs.
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
Plastic packaging can be substituted. Engineered plastics are a tiny fraction of petroleum.
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
Also solar and wind are much more often on time and on budget.
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
20 years from now and billions of dollars over budget? Or by variety do you mean wind, solar, geothermal, and hydro?
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
> choked access to the city Citation needed. Pedestrian and cyclist friendly cities have more vibrant street life, and are more attractive places to live. I've never heard of car restrictions leading to more suburbanization.
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
You are assuming that financial markets are fair and transparent. They're not as everyone is seeing in, for example, private credit asset valuations. The value extracted when securities fraud and market manipulation take place is milli
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
Search for the phrase "Vision Zero"
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
Starlink is the worst case of a deceptive EBITDA story having no path to a GAAP profit or free cash flow. The IPO needs to happen before people realize that the satellites that are being counted as an asset spread the deception throughout t
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
You were right in broad strokes, but buses are too much like collective action for the taste of Americans. The most optimistic outcome I can think of is that people start buying large quantities of E bikes and pressure their towns to use al
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
The people in the US chose chaos. Maybe we need a harsh lesson not to do that. If we are permitted to vote this November, we'll get an indication whether or not we've learned anything.
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
What would the founders of Palantir know about bankrupting small journalistic ventures? Oh.
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
What you're saying amounts to: ambitious assholes know they need better PR than people who just get the job done. In principle this is an approach open to anyone, but in modern America, it is just a clique of strange white men.
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by Zigurd 7mo ago
If someone tells you they are a pronatalist, odds are they are actually a eugenicist. And they probably espouse other tech bro oddball philosophies and pseudoscientific beliefs. How did we get to this place where a small number of strange w
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by Zigurd 8mo ago
I would go with rationalism being a delusion of tech bros rather than blaming a failure of rationalism on those lumpen proles inventing silly sports propositions.
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by Zigurd 8mo ago
Up to this point nobody has staked out a territory that exists between securities on the one hand, and wild anything goes betting markets on the other hand. Requiring the use of national currencies does nothing to prevent what are effective

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