Wintamute

12 ms·

31.
by Wintamute 6y ago
I'm not aware of stats relating to how many asymptomatic individuals go on to develop full blown symptomatic Covid-19. My assumption is that testing PCR positive while remaining asymptomatic the entire time is by far the most common ex
32.
by Wintamute 6y ago
Just as a side note, asymptomatic spread is a contested topic. If asymptomatic spread were a major driver of infection, this would be the first respiratory virus to work that way. Sources: - Nature study, 20th Nov https://www.nat
33.
by Wintamute 6y ago
Massive confounding factor here is that starting around April seasonality into summer was putting massive downward pressure on the epidemic across Europe anyway. There's no mention of attempting to control for this effect in the paper.
34.
by Wintamute 6y ago
Well, a country is a shared endeavour isn't it? We collaborate together by following our national laws, paying our taxes, follow our customs and traditions and engage in cultural renewal and repair when required. In this way, everyone
35.
by Wintamute 6y ago
My point was related to cultural self-criticism, i.e. criticising your own culture, not a culture of (personal) self-criticism.
36.
by Wintamute 6y ago
What you're missing is that amongst a certain class of Brit, and across much of the West, relentless and savage cultural self-criticism has become the norm, and a currency used for in-group signalling. Even when people in the UK should
37.
by Wintamute 6y ago
Instead of downvoting why not prove me wrong? My first sentence is as far as I know plain truth, and the second is just describing the popular counter-narrative, not making any claims as to its veracity. When the social ill-effects of a loc
38.
by Wintamute 6y ago
There is no evidence available that proves a robust "cause and effect" between the current national lockdown, and the drop in cases. The counter-narrative is that the rate of growth in cases was already reducing throughout the UK
39.
by Wintamute 6y ago
It feels like some of these suggestions reduce the readability and maintainability of the TypeScript, as well as rail roading you into patterns that perhaps don't suit your architecture. Manually annotating return types of functions ra
40.
by Wintamute 6y ago
None. Longitudinal trails are required to assess safety - literally waiting and seeing what happens. There's no other way to assess long term effects on the human system. For the avoidance of any doubt none of the new vaccines have had
41.
by Wintamute 6y ago
I hope you never get near the levers of power
42.
by Wintamute 6y ago
I'm not discouraging people from "taking vaccines" in general. My 2 year old daughter is fully vaccinated. I'm just indicating that in the current scenario, where the vaccines on offer haven't undergone any longitud
43.
by Wintamute 6y ago
The vaccine candidates are promising. But you don't need to be anti-vax to understand the game theory implications of neither vaccine undergoing a normal longitudinal study (waiting >1 years for side effects to develop), and both be
44.
by Wintamute 6y ago
I take your point, and agree, but it's become deeply untenable to share a NYTimes article to prove any contested political point. That place has well and truly set fire to its reputation as an impartial reporter.
45.
by Wintamute 6y ago
I think it would be unusual _not_ to develop hypochondria at some point this year. The levels of existential threat, perceived or otherwise, have been sky high.
46.
by Wintamute 6y ago
It's amusing how you put "cellular immunity" in scare quotes. It's not a new or novel concept, but an extremely well understood mechanism that has been taught to immunology first years for decades. That a coronavirus sho
47.
by Wintamute 6y ago
Seems like the solution here is for Facebook to consider Quest activity (playing games, active session on the device etc.) as legit Facebook activity. Surely this is a glitch, probably happening in small numbers, that'll get sorted soo
48.
by Wintamute 6y ago
Coronaviruses like SARS-COV-2 mutate relatively slowly and minimally compared to others. So mutation isn't expected to be a huge concern, unlike say influenza which mutates relatively rapidly and requires an annual tweak to the vaccine
49.
by Wintamute 6y ago
This is great and all, but I'd be interested what proportion of the entire cohort demonstrated a T-cell immune response, not just the 100 who tested sero-positive for SARS-COV-2. There is growing speculation that a significant minority
50.
by Wintamute 6y ago
More likely it's because 6 months have elapsed. Cellular immunity to SARS-COV-1 (2003 outbreak) is still robust 17 years later - the two coronaviruses are fairly similar.
51.
by Wintamute 6y ago
What sources are you using here? The UK has one of the best vaccination coverage rates in the world, and the largest ever roll out of the winter flu jab is well underway (reaching a record breaking ~50% of the population).
52.
by Wintamute 6y ago
Causation !== correlation. An alternative explanation is those more likely to catch COVID-19 are more likely to be a cohort with lower IQ to begin with (e.g. have lower skilled jobs that put them in harms way etc.). Without a before and aft
53.
by Wintamute 6y ago
Completely false. Weekly new cases per capita is merely a function of number of tests performed by authorities, and furthermore the false positive rate of those tests too. Percent positivity of those tests is a somewhat more accurate indica
54.
by Wintamute 6y ago
The NY Times is engaging in its favourite kink - activism while wearing the garb of journalism and feature writing like a macabre skin suit. It's simply proclaiming only what it wishes were true - that an enlightened and just cultural
55.
by Wintamute 6y ago
Young people are not more fair and ethical, new generations don't just suddenly gain purity and enlightenment out of thin air, they just have a different hustle.
56.
by Wintamute 6y ago
> Every single racist in the planet has fantasized about killing as many as possible without consequences. Disturbing. Look up psychological projection, and be more careful what you say.
57.
by Wintamute 6y ago
Yes it's expensive, but a future where most infrastructure is underground, from mass transit to power and communications, allowing nature to return to the surface, for future generations to enjoy seems like a worthy goal imo, even just
58.
by Wintamute 6y ago
Let's be more accurate. The protests are caused by the police. But the riots, violence and looting is caused by opportunists and criminals, in many cases instigated and enflamed by white revolutionary anarchists and/or white supre
59.
by Wintamute 6y ago
I'm confused why people that are anti-Trump don't wish his remarks, that they would presumably characterise as completely and unambiguously unacceptable, to face the scrutiny of the public to the fullest extent. Especially in an e
60.
by Wintamute 6y ago
Hmm, same for me perhaps. New MBP 16 and Catalina connected to a external monitor via USB-C (a HP Z27 4K UHD). If I leave it to sleep for a long duration, then it panics when waking from sleep and just black screens for a good few minutes,

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