StevenWaterman

4 ms·

31.
by StevenWaterman 3mo ago
I'm pretty sure that's the plan. Currently they're legally bound to keep it within 0.9s of solar noon (or something like that) but in 2035 it's changing to +-1 minute, which basically kicks the can down the road for anot
32.
by StevenWaterman 3mo ago
I thought about this more and realised your question might have been "what's the difference between knowing and learning". IE, how can we say the model believes something without having been taught it. I think you're rig
33.
by StevenWaterman 3mo ago
Believing and knowing are overlapping sets, imagine what you think of when someone says an AI "knows" something, it's the same mechanism (I'd describe it as something along the lines of "encoded abstractly in the we
34.
by StevenWaterman 4mo ago
I'd be very surprised if this was AI, it's too bad-looking. The lighting is all wrong, there's noticeable repeating rock textures
35.
by StevenWaterman 4mo ago
You read the OP backwards, they said Sonnet is a downgrade from Qwen, and prefer Qwen's tone
36.
by StevenWaterman 4mo ago
I think we'll get there. Right now it works for me, because I'm naturally pretty verbose in my prompts, and know the codebase well, so I know what it needs to look at. Plus subagents for anything exploratory. I think deepseek v4 p
37.
by StevenWaterman 4mo ago
Yep, I daily drive Qwen3.6-27B (including for work), have done pretty much since it came out. IMO it's the only (small-ish, local) model worth using, if you can run it. It might not be as good as Opus at "add X large feature"
38.
by StevenWaterman 4mo ago
> What happens if the checks stop rolling Late 18th century France
39.
by StevenWaterman 5mo ago
I agree with your premise, but let's not pretend we did a good job equitably distributing the benefits of the industrial revolution
40.
by StevenWaterman 5mo ago
The problem is, people see "they're not profitable once you account for training" and equate that to "AI will go away soon" But if all the AI companies stopped training new models, they would all instantly become pr
41.
by StevenWaterman 5mo ago
If you have ASI that follows instructions, you can just instruct it to not get stolen and then it won't get stolen. Most logic / intuition breaks down with ASI.
42.
by StevenWaterman 5mo ago
/r/localllama is one of the most useful places
43.
by StevenWaterman 6mo ago
*terrible, not trickle
44.
by StevenWaterman 6mo ago
My first instinct was that the essay would just be "67" as a stupid and harmless but nonsensical response. Somewhat amusingly, mine depends on the examiner knowing how advanced AIs are. In the 1960s mine would just look like a tri
45.
by StevenWaterman 6mo ago
"Embarrassingly" has a history as a technically meaningful word roughly equivalent to "maximally", see "Embarrassingly parallel" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Embarrassingly_parallel
46.
by StevenWaterman 6mo ago
Yes, because it would fall down (sometimes, often enough that regulatory bodies forbid it)
47.
by StevenWaterman 6mo ago
This thread started because of "the cheapest bridge that just barely won't fail" My point was that safety factors are a part of this. A safety factor of 1.0, designing bridges so that they can perfectly withstand the expectat
48.
by StevenWaterman 6mo ago
Safety factors account for uncertainty. Uncertainty the quality of materials, of workmanship, of unaccounted-for sources of error. Uncertainty in whether the maximum load in the spec will actually be followed. Without a safety factor, that
49.
by StevenWaterman 6mo ago
Safety factors exist because without them, bridges fall down
50.
by StevenWaterman 6mo ago
"If the heat shield breaks then I will die" is the exact situation for the astronauts, and yet we still have astronauts. In fact it's worse for the astronauts, because in this hypothetical only the heat shield failing will
51.
by StevenWaterman 7mo ago
A covert signal is still beneficial even if the signal is secure. The existence of the signal is valuable metadata. For a contrived example, imagine I'm in a warzone: - Secure = Enemies can't read my messages. Good. But they can s
52.
by StevenWaterman 7mo ago
[2] Is sorted by profit/loss high to low, so you're seeing the first page of highest gains only, which is why it looks like he's always right. If you sort alphabetically / by date then there are losses
53.
by StevenWaterman 8mo ago
This is almost textbook countersignalling. The same as: - Signalling: I dress more formally than everyone else to make up for the fact I'm less professional in other ways - No signalling: I dress like everyone else because I am like ev
54.
by StevenWaterman 8mo ago
They're somewhat effective at stopping people applying if those people know they will have to lie
55.
by StevenWaterman 9mo ago
Cached tokens are cheaper (90% discount ish) but not free
56.
by StevenWaterman 11mo ago
That is true for gpt-image-1 but not nano-banana. They can do masked image changes
57.
by StevenWaterman 11mo ago
Yep. Insufficiently stimulated by normal life, a crisis brings your dopamine levels back up to normal and you hyperfocus. Get tested and medicated, for you and your family
58.
by StevenWaterman 1y ago
If you want to run it overnight, or while you're at work, so it finishes as you arrive and doesn't leave the clean clothes in a clump for hours (or so it runs during cheaper power hours)
59.
by StevenWaterman 1y ago
and your wireless modem has wires
60.
by StevenWaterman 1y ago
I'm currently working on adding a bot to our support chat at TalkJS. And it's great, it has probably a 90% success rate at handling complex queries. But that's because we're throwing money at it. That chat is normally st

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