RayVR

7 ms·

31.
by RayVR 1y ago
Why is this a person presenting a Twitter thread, recorded with terrible audio, and shared on Twitter?
32.
by RayVR 1y ago
Whatever metric or scenario you can think up, I guarantee governments, think tanks, private data companies, or universities are already tracking (or attempting to) There is a huge quantity of data about the US.
33.
by RayVR 1y ago
BLS reports breakdown changes in employment by sector. This is obviously watched closely by investors.
34.
by RayVR 1y ago
“God hates this one weird trick…”
35.
by RayVR 1y ago
https://google.github.io/opencasebook/remedies/
36.
by RayVR 2y ago
> I can’t tell you the number of times people have asked me for “development” or “leveling” conversations where I get excited and start talking about learning, skills gaps, and such and it’s clear all they wanted to talk about was salar
37.
by RayVR 2y ago
> programming languages can't be ambiguous This is "straightforwardly" false. Speaking specifically about the "language" part - while there is a formal specification for C++, many pieces are implementation depend
38.
by RayVR 2y ago
"Programming languages are simpler than human languages" this is a very stupid thing to say. The formal structure of a language doesn't easily determine the complexity of what can be done with a language, nor is it a way of p
39.
by RayVR 2y ago
100% agree. These systems serve best at augmenting information discovery. When I'm tackling a new area or looking for the right terminology, these models provide a quick shortcut because they have good probabilistic "understanding
40.
by RayVR 2y ago
Each release from openAI gives me less hope for them and this whole AI boom. They should be leading the charge of highlighting how the current generation of LLMs fail, not churning out half-baked overhyped products. Yes, they can do some co
41.
by RayVR 2y ago
I didn’t read this article in-depth. What are you referring to specifically?
42.
by RayVR 2y ago
ah...I don't miss the shockingly willful ignorance of the crypto boom days. Go try your conspiracy nonsense on reddit and leave us be.
43.
by RayVR 2y ago
Economists look at inflation in many, many ways. I don't think anyone that's reasonably well informed, especially economists, misunderstands the cumulative impact of price changes. Economists that make monetary policy decisions lo
44.
by RayVR 2y ago
I don't think you understand the numbers I listed. Read what I wrote again and try to think about the parts you don't understand, look them up, then read again.
45.
by RayVR 2y ago
I also read KSR's book. It was interesting at times. However, the research on the financial topics, including the central banks and "global financiers" was quite bad. I don't recall the glaring errors right now, however,
46.
by RayVR 2y ago
in Denmark, inflation is currently running at a 1.6% annualized rate, as of the most recent reading[0]. This is the full basket inflation rate, including volatile categories (food and energy). Core inflation is even lower, with the latest r
47.
by RayVR 2y ago
It’s also important to note that, at least in this specific situation, the effects of those hidden subsidies are extremely regressive.
48.
by RayVR 2y ago
Are you from the US? It is not at all difficult to imagine a situation where a restaurant worker is trained to do something like the following when an allergen is raised as an issue by a customer: 1. Check the labels of any items used in th
49.
by RayVR 2y ago
I am definitely not an expert, nor do I have inside information on the directions of research that these companies are exploring. Yes, existing LLMs are useful. Yes, there are many more things we can do with this tech. However, existing SOT
50.
by RayVR 2y ago
Why is market cap the most important metric? It does not exist in a void. Market cap + P/E or forward P/E, P/B, P/S, etc. are all metrics of high import. Market cap is one piece of a complicated picture. On its own, you
51.
by RayVR 2y ago
The 'magic' mouse is garbage is magically useless. I could not care less about the charging port location. The size and shape are completely wrong for adult human use. I think it's roughly the right size for my child, aged si
52.
by RayVR 2y ago
Sorry, but you’re just wrong. Yes, mistakes may happen. However, I’ve used it to translate a fairly complex MIP definition export into a complete CP-SAT implementation. I use these models all the time for complex tasks. One major thing that
53.
by RayVR 2y ago
Cool, thanks for the information! I did not realize the curves were that different. 3000 definitely bumps it up but it would still be worse than the top humans. stockfish is better by a lot.
54.
by RayVR 2y ago
I forget the rough adjustment factors, but it is worth noting that lichess Elo is not the same as chess.com or FIDE. I think lichess is typically ~300 points above chess.com. This implies the model is around 2500 blitz vs humans. As blitz e
55.
by RayVR 2y ago
What is AI?
56.
by RayVR 2y ago
Black Scholes is not used for any otc option pricing, except perhaps to provide an instantaneous estimate to get in the ballpark, but no one would use it for the final price.
57.
by RayVR 2y ago
Where are you going to build a 1GW solar installation with multiple days of storage capacity in the northeast? long transmission lines significantly reduce efficiency and add massive costs as well as creating easy targets for terrorism.
58.
by RayVR 2y ago
I think this is what you are saying, but to clarify, they will not own the power infrastructure. Execs from Google and Microsoft have already said this[0] Microsoft have already entered into an agreement with Constellation Energy which pays
59.
by RayVR 2y ago
Proprietary optimization software is very niche and very expensive but I really doubt a single innovation, unless really significant, could justify the cost. Being able to solve bigger problems faster than someone else might give you a comp
60.
by RayVR 2y ago
I’m amazed you have had any luck with 4o. I found 4 was much better than 4o but still quite bad. I tried to use 4/4o for a MIP several months ago. Frequently, it would iterate through three or four bad implementations over and over. Cl

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